17:20 Chelmsford City

Saturday 12 October 2024

All16:1016:4517:2017:5018:2018:5019:2019:5020:20

betting.betfair.com Handicap

Off time: 17:22 | Winning time: 1m 36.9s

Settings

Selected odds by:

(13)

Dutch Decoy¹⁴

Age: 7| Weight: 10-2| J: Oliver Stammers| T: C Johnston| OR: 87| C| D

18/1

Course winner. Sixteen runs since last win in 2023. 50/1, ran poorly after 6 weeks off when twenty-ninth of 31 in Cambridgeshire at Newmarket (9f, good to soft) 2 weeks ago. Goes without saying that this is significantly easier, and mark continues to slide.

Form: 532460

(3)

Baraq⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 10-1| J: L Morris| T: Sir Mark Prescott| OR: 89| D

16/5

2 wins from 6 runs this year. Improved again when winning 12-runner handicap (7/2) at Newcastle (8f) 8 days ago, deserving extra credit for hanging on after a rather inefficient effort. 4 lb higher and has a big shout of completing the hat-trick.

Form: 238211

(5)

Red Hat Eagle²¹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-12| J: Brandon Wilkie⁽³⁾| T: W J Knight| OR: 83| CD

18/5

C&D winner in July. Ran well when fifth of 14 in handicap (16/1) at Ayr (8f, good to firm) 3 weeks ago, caught further back than ideal. Looks competitive on form.

Form: 112945

(6)

Great Blasket^b²⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 9-11| J: Edward Greatrex| T: Dr R Newland & J Insole| OR: 82| D

16/1

4 wins from 15 runs this year. Found his run of form that has lasted all year finally coming to a halt when last of 8 in handicap at Redcar (10f, good to firm, 9/1) 25 days ago, missing break. Can bounce back.

Form: 216838

(2)

Hosanna Power¹⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 9-11| J: R Kingscote| T: Sir Michael Stoute| OR: 82

9/1

Winner at Newbury in May. 9/1, ended up running poorly after 11 weeks off when sixth of 9 in handicap at Pontefract (10f, good to soft) 16 days ago, lit up briefly by loose horse early on. Down in trip and is now just 1 lb above last winning mark.

Form: 23-1396

(1)

Sceptic¹⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 9-11| J: L P Keniry| T: P Morris| OR: 82| D

200/1

200/1, showed nothing on first outing since leaving Ian Williams after 7 months off when last of 8 in handicap at Haydock (8.2f, heavy) 2 weeks ago.

Form: 3287-08

(10)

He's A Gentleman^v²¹

Age: 5| Weight: 9-9| J: Alistair Rawlinson| T: H Palmer| OR: 80| D

22/1

Latest win at Ayr in July. 20/1, wasted no time getting back to form when second of 11 in handicap at Chester (10.3f, heavy) 3 weeks ago. Back down in trip.

Form: 072102

(4)

Eagle Day³³

Age: 4| Weight: 9-8| J: Dylan Hogan| T: P D Evans| OR: 79| BF| CD

12/1

C&D winner in July. Confirmed return to form back on all-weather when second of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f, 7/2) 33 days ago, leading briefly final 100 yds. Should go well again.

Form: 110052

(8)

Charming Whisper²¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-7| J: A J Farragher| T: P J McBride| OR: 81| BF| D

14/1

Dual 1m winner on turf in June. Ran creditably on form but couldn't justify substantial support when fifth of 8 in handicap (6/4) at Newmarket (9f, good) 3 week ago. Enters calculations on first all-weather start since his debut.

Form: 144425

(7)

My Margie⁴⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-6| J: Finley Marsh| T: R Hughes| OR: 80| D

4/1

Latest win at Southwell in April. 22/1, below form when eighth of 16 in handicap at Newbury (7f, good to firm) 44 days ago. Not easy to make a case for.

Form: 140758

(9)

King Of Charm²¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-6| J: Darragh Keenan| T: Martin Dunne| OR: 80| D

14/1

Latest win at Sandown in August. Ran creditably from 4 lb higher when third of 11 in handicap (9/1) at Newmarket (7f, good) 3 weeks ago, running on. Solid each-way claims provided this is well run.

Form: 262613

(12)

The Hun^v1⁸²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-1| J: Joe Leavy⁽³⁾| T: R Eddery| OR: 75

80/1

First run since leaving K. R. Burke (for 24,000 gns) when tailed-off seventh of 9 in maiden at Windsor (10f, good to firm, 16/1) back in July. Visor on 1st time. Tough to assess at present.

Form: 4-62287

(11)

Berkshire Nugget^p²⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: Jason Watson| T: A M Balding| OR: 72

17/2

Winner at Brighton in August. 11/1, wasn't in the same form when well-beaten eighth of 11 in handicap at Chester (7f, heavy) 29 days ago, possibly unsuited by conditions. Bounce back needed.

Form: 234818

Forecasts

Baraq (16/5), Red Hat Eagle (18/5), My Margie (4/1), Berkshire Nugget (17/2), Hosanna Power (9/1), Eagle Day (12/1), Charming Whisper (14/1), King Of Charm (14/1), Great Blasket (16/1), Dutch Decoy (18/1), He's A Gentleman (22/1), The Hun (80/1), Sceptic (200/1)

The hat-trick beckons for BARAQ, who deserves extra credit for hanging on after a rather inefficient effort at Newcastle last week and Sir Mark Prescott's colt can defy a 4 lb higher mark at the chief expense of Red Hat Eagle, who was a C&D winner back in the summer and came from a bit further back than ideal when a creditable fifth at Ayr 3 weeks ago. Eagle Day and Charming Whisper are another couple to consider, too.