16:45 Bellewstown

Thursday 3 October 2024

All13:3514:0514:3515:1015:4516:1516:4517:15

Mary Rogers Memorial Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)

Off time: 16:45 | Winning time: 2m 40.3s

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Selected odds by:

(3)

Numidia^v⁴⁴

Age: 6| Weight: 10-2| J: Patrick McGettigan⁽¹⁰⁾| T: P Lawlor| OR: 64| D

17/2

Latest win at Fairyhouse in June. Below form ninth of 15 in handicap at Roscommon (12.2f, heavy, 20/1) 44 days ago. Hard to make a strong case for.

Form: 271309

(1)

Grann's Boy^b1⁴⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 10-0| J: Adam Caffrey⁽³⁾| T: H Rogers| OR: 62| BF| D

10/3

Bit below form fifth of 12 in handicap (10/3) at Tramore (16.4f, good to soft) 47 days ago. Back down in trip. Shaped well on his previous outing and is tried in first-time blinkers, so worth chancing in a weak race.

Form: 231-735

(5)

Vierson³⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 9-11| J: S Foley| T: Ciaran Murphy| OR: 65

14/1

Lightly-raced maiden. Unseated rider in handicap at this course (8f, good to soft, 33/1) 37 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Very hard to make a case for.

Form: 47-9U

(11)

Preparations¹⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-10| J: A J Slattery| T: A Slattery| OR: 64

16/1

Cheekpieces on for 1st time, sixth of 9 in handicap (14/1) at Listowel (12f, good to soft) 10 days ago. Others more persuasive.

Form: 748026

(6)

Lord Park^t²⁷

Age: 7| Weight: 9-2| J: D W O'Connor| T: J C McConnell| OR: 50

13/2

One win from 33 Flat runs. Twenty runs since last win in 2021. Creditable sixth of 12 in handicap (12/1) at Down Royal (12.8f, good to firm) 27 days ago. Not dismissed.

Form: 00-0556

(12)

Noble Andy^p³²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-1| J: G M Ryan| T: M Fahey| OR: 55

22/1

Lightly-raced maiden. Cheekpieces on for 1st time, good eighth of 13 in handicap (14/1) at Tipperary (9f, good) 32 days ago, slowly away. Significantly up in trip.

Form: 00058

(2)

Slieve Bearnagh^t²⁶

Age: 7| Weight: 9-1| J: Ronan Whelan| T: M Halford & T Collins| OR: 49

2/1

9/1, creditable fourth of 17 in handicap at Navan (10.2f, good) 26 days ago, running on. Enters calculations in a thin race.

Form: 81309-4

(13)

Arcland^p²⁹

Age: 8| Weight: 8-13| J: Nathan Crosse| T: H Rogers| OR: 47| D

12/1

One win from 21 Flat runs. 10/3, fourth of 6 in handicap hurdle at Kilbeggan (19f, soft) 29 days ago. Cheekpieces on for 1st time in this code. Below form on last Flat run. Has a good deal to prove.

Form: 19707/5-

(10)

Final Endeavour¹¹⁵

Age: 8| Weight: 8-13| J: Siobhan Rutledge⁽³⁾| T: H Rogers| OR: 47| D

33/1

Twelve runs since last win in 2022. 9/1, below form seventh of 15 in handicap hurdle at Roscommon (15.6f, good) 115 days ago. Off 115 days. Poor on the Flat.

Form: 07000-7

(9)

Mater Matuta^p,t¹⁵

Age: 8| Weight: 8-13| J: Wayne Lordan| T: E D Delany| OR: 47| C

14/1

One win from 24 Flat runs. Seventeen runs since last win in 2019. 13/2, respectable fourth of 9 in handicap chase at Tramore (16f, good) 15 days ago. Poor on last Flat outing.

Form: 54300-9

(8)

Ballinahulla^p⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 8-10| J: Robert Whearty⁽³⁾| T: Conor Maxwell| OR: 50

14/1

66/1, below form eighth of 14 in handicap at Dundalk (12f) 6 days ago, racing closer to pace than ideal. Others preferred.

Form: 990208

Non-Runners

(7)

Jawhary⁵

Weight: 9-12| Age: 6

T: A McGuinness J: J A Powell

(4)

Tastyee⁵⁷

Weight: 9-3| Age: 6

T: D Budds J: D S O'Sullivan

Forecasts

Slieve Bearnagh (2/1), Grann's Boy (10/3), Lord Park (13/2), Numidia (17/2), Arcland (12/1), Tastyee (12/1), Vierson (14/1), Ballinahulla (14/1), Mater Matuta (14/1), Preparations (16/1), Jawhary (16/1), Noble Andy (22/1), Final Endeavour (33/1)

Having shaped as if well treated on his penultimate outing, GRANN'S BOY didn't fire last time, but he's had a break and blinkers are applied, so he's the most appealing in a weak race on paper. Slieve Bearnagh is one of the few to arrive in form and he's regarded as the main danger.