14:12 Ayr

Thursday 19 September 2024

All13:4214:1214:4215:1215:4216:1516:4817:23

Western House Hotel EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Off time: 14:15 | Winning time: 1m 40.9s

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Selected odds by:

(11)

Bambalam²⁷

Age: 2| Weight: 9-7| J: O J Orr| T: R A Fahey

10/11

Promising type. 11/1, fared best of the newcomers when seventh of 17 in the valuable Convivial maiden at York (7f, good to firm) 27 days ago. Likely to improve and hard to beat.

Form: 7

(1)

Black Sky^v1⁴⁴

Age: 2| Weight: 9-7| J: Joanna Mason| T: M & D Easterby

100/1

Modest form at best in 2 outings 12 weeks apart. A first-time visor needs to spark improvement.

Form: 95

(6)

Elsass

Age: 2| Weight: 9-7| J: J Fanning| T: C Johnston

28/1

Sottsass colt. Dam, German 1¼m listed race winner, half-sister to smart German winner up to 1¼m Elle Shadow out of multiple German Graded race winner Elle Danzig. Newcomer from a leading stable. The betting should help guide to expectations.

Form:

(5)

Hill O Rue

Age: 2| Weight: 9-7| J: P Mulrennan| T: K A Ryan

25/1

Ulysses gelding. Half-brother to 3 winners, including useful 5f winner Wise Words and 5f/6f winner Left Alone. Dam 8.3f-1¼m winner who stayed 1½m. One of 3 runners for a stable no stranger to first-time-out success. The betting should provide more clues.

Form:

(4)

Homeland³⁴

Age: 2| Weight: 9-7| J: Connor Beasley| T: M Dods

150/1

Down the field in 2 runs over 6f in recent months. The much longer trip needs to spark significant improvement.

Form: 69

(8)

Hornsea Bay

Age: 2| Weight: 9-7| J: D Tudhope| T: D O'Meara

5/1

New Bay colt who was bought for €45,000 at the breeze-ups. Dam 1¼m-11.4f winner. Needs monitoring in the betting on debut.

Form:

(2)

Methgal⁴⁷

Age: 2| Weight: 9-7| J: C Lee| T: K R Burke

4/1

Fair form in 2 outings over 7f this summer. Won't need to raise his game too much to play a leading role here.

Form: 46

(7)

Off Spin¹¹

Age: 2| Weight: 9-7| J: D Allan| T: T D Easterby

8/1

Encouraging third of 9 on 1m Ripon debut (good to firm) last month. Bit below that level when fifth over 1m at York since but retains potential. Each-way claims.

Form: 35

(3)

Sherlock²⁷

Age: 2| Weight: 9-7| J: S A Gray| T: K A Ryan

16/1

Twice-raced maiden, including finishing well behind the reopposing Bambalam in the Convivial maiden at York.

Form: 50

(10)

Uncle Liam

Age: 2| Weight: 9-7| J: Mohammed Tabti⁽⁵⁾| T: I Jardine

100/1

Gleneagles colt. Closely related to winner up to 13f Annandale and half-brother to 3 winners, including 1m-2m winner Three Castles and 2-y-o 7f winner Lady McGuffy.

Form:

(9)

West Tyrone⁵¹

Age: 2| Weight: 9-7| J: T Eaves| T: K A Ryan

40/1

20/1, fourth of 6 in novice at Beverley (7.5f, good to firm) on debut 51 days ago, merely closing up late. Will need to leave that well behind.

Form: 4

Non-Runners

(12)

Gaelic Gladiator

Weight: 9-7| Age: 2

T: Miss Lucinda V Russell J: Jason Hart

Forecasts

Bambalam (10/11), Methgal (4/1), Hornsea Bay (5/1), Off Spin (8/1), Sherlock (16/1), Hill O Rue (25/1), Gaelic Gladiator (25/1), Elsass (28/1), West Tyrone (40/1), Uncle Liam (100/1), Black Sky (100/1), Homeland (150/1)

This looks significantly easier than the Convivial maiden at York which BAMBALAM contested on debut and he should prove hard to beat for Richard Fahey. Methgal and Off Spin may give him most to do unless the betting speaks in the favour of one or more of the newcomers.