17:58 Southwell

Friday 30 August 2024

All16:1316:4517:2317:5818:3319:0519:38

Airquick (Newark) Ltd Compressed Air Systems Handicap (Div 2)

Off time: 18:00 | Winning time: 1m 39.19s

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Selected odds by:

(6)

Thanks Dad¹²

Age: 4| Weight: 9-9| J: Tyler Heard| T: S Dixon| OR: 65

12/1

Respectable fifth of 12 in handicap (9/1) at this course (7.1f) 12 days ago. Well treated if he can build on that.

Form: 242755

(7)

Calder Valley¹⁶⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 9-9| J: A J Farragher| T: Miss J A Camacho| OR: 65

20/1

Lightly-raced maiden. Eighth of 10 in handicap at Newcastle (7.1f, 16/1), needing stronger gallop. Off 168 days. Uphill task.

Form: 0/348

(11)

Flying Secret^p,t¹⁵

Age: 5| Weight: 9-8| J: Mia Nicholls⁽⁵⁾| T: Eve Johnson Houghton| OR: 64

11/1

5/1, respectable fourth of 10 in handicap at Chepstow (7.1f, good to firm) 15 days ago, nearest finish. Not dismissed.

Form: 967464

(9)

Dumfries¹⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 9-7| J: Jason Watson| T: Mrs R Carr| OR: 63| CD

7/1

C&D winner. Twelve runs since last win in 2023. 28/1, sixth of 8 in handicap at Beverley (9.9f, good to firm) 16 days ago. Something to find on form.

Form: 068506

(3)

Embarked^b,h⁵

Age: 6| Weight: 9-7| J: L Morris| T: S Dixon| OR: 63

6/1

Creditable third of 10 in handicap (18/1) at Yarmouth (8f, good) 5 days ago. Should be on the premises if the race doesn't come too soon.

Form: 525623

(2)

Bernadine^b1⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 9-7| J: Daniel Muscutt| T: J R Fanshawe| OR: 63| BF| D

9/1

Respectable sixth of 11 in handicap (3/1) at Lingfield (8f, AW) 8 days ago. Blinkers on 1st time. Becoming well treated and headgear could have a positive effect.

Form: 478566

(4)

Mercurius Power^p,t¹⁴

Age: 6| Weight: 9-6| J: Lewis Edmunds| T: Jessica Macey| OR: 62| D

9/2

14/1, good fourth of 11 in handicap at Thirsk (8f, good) 14 days ago. Not one to rule out.

Form: 234544

(12)

Create^p¹³

Age: 4| Weight: 9-5| J: D Swift| T: S Dixon| OR: 61| CD

16/1

C&D winner. Latest win at Doncaster in July. 18/1, below form seventh of 12 in handicap at Doncaster (7f, good to firm) 13 days ago, not clear run. Not taken lightly.

Form: 853197

(1)

Beaming Light^h1¹⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 9-4| J: Frederick Larson⁽³⁾| T: L Horsfall| OR: 60

50/1

Lightly-raced maiden on Flat. 28/1, ninth of 10 in handicap at Chepstow (7.1f, good to firm) 15 days ago. Makes tapeta debut. Hooded for 1st time. Others make more appeal.

Form: 95409

(8)

L'Argent^h¹⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 9-4| J: Jason Hart| T: M Appleby| OR: 60

16/5

17/2, creditable third of 11 in handicap at Thirsk (8f, good) 14 days ago, doing well having met trouble. Good shout.

Form: 209853

(5)

Mickey Mongoose¹⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 9-1| J: D Fentiman| T: Olly Williams| OR: 57| CD

18/1

C&D winner. Latest win here in March. 14/1, twelfth of 14 in handicap at Beverley (8.4f, good) 15 days ago. Needs to get back on track.

Form: 104600

(10)

Chagall³⁸

Age: 8| Weight: 9-1| J: Dylan Hogan| T: Jack Jones| OR: 57| D

14/1

Eighth of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (12.2f, 9/1) 38 days ago. Significantly down in trip. Not disgraced last time and can't be discounted.

Form: 234448

Forecasts

L'Argent (16/5), Mercurius Power (9/2), Embarked (6/1), Dumfries (7/1), Bernadine (9/1), Flying Secret (11/1), Thanks Dad (12/1), Chagall (14/1), Create (16/1), Mickey Mongoose (18/1), Calder Valley (20/1), Beaming Light (50/1)

L'ARGENT is on a handy mark and has shaped like he's ready to capitalise recently, not getting a clear run when third at Thirsk a fortnight ago, so he's well worth taking a chance on. Embarked and his stablemate Thanks Dad both strike as feasible dangers.