19:40 Chepstow

Tuesday 14 May 2024

All17:4018:1018:4019:1019:4020:1020:40

Blake Morgan Handicap

Off time: 19:40 | Winning time: 1m 16.73s

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Selected odds by:

(10)

Airshow^p,h¹⁶

Age: 9| Weight: 9-9| J: Oliver Searle⁽⁷⁾| T: B R Millman| OR: 70| D

8/1

Latest win at Chelmsford City in March. 10/1, bit below form sixth of 13 in handicap at Bath (5.7f, soft) 16 days ago. Needs a couple of these to falter.

Form: 641266

(7)

Beyond Equal²²

Age: 9| Weight: 9-8| J: Callum Shepherd| T: W S Kittow| OR: 69| BF| D

5/1

Twenty runs since last win in 2021. Tongue strap on for 1st time, respectable fourth of 9 in handicap at Windsor (6f, good to firm, 3/1) 22 days ago. Place possibilities.

Form: 236-564

(2)

Hiatus¹⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 9-8| J: Jack Gilligan| T: C Allen| OR: 69| D

7/2

Latest win at Southwell in January. Good second of 12 in handicap (6/1) at Haydock (6f, heavy) 17 days ago, running on. Live each-way chance.

Form: 417352

(5)

Concierge^p²⁰⁹

Age: 8| Weight: 9-6| J: Nicola Currie| T: M J Attwater| OR: 67| D

33/1

10/1, twelfth of 14 in handicap at Bath (5.7f, soft). Off 6 months and entitled to come on for the run.

Form: 031180-

(4)

Connie's Rose⁹

Age: 5| Weight: 9-6| J: Hollie Doyle| T: G Harris| OR: 67| CD

3/1

Four-time course winner. Very good second of 5 in handicap (3/1) at Salisbury (5f, heavy) 9 days ago, clear of rest. Back up in trip and she has to be high on the shortlist with Hollie Doyle booked.

Form: 016-282

(8)

Heartrate^p¹⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 9-5| J: Billy Loughnane| T: D M Loughnane| OR: 66| D

25/1

25/1, last of 12 in handicap at Haydock (6f, heavy) 17 days ago. Now 2 lb below last winning mark, so he would have a chance if able to bounce back.

Form: 393-380

(9)

Some Nightmare^p¹⁶

Age: 7| Weight: 9-4| J: Rossa Ryan| T: J G M O'Shea| OR: 65| CD

4/1

Three-time C&D winner. Twelve runs since last win in 2022. 11/1, respectable fifth of 13 in handicap at Bath (5.7f, soft) 16 days ago. Cheekpieces back on and should make his presence felt.

Form: 047-965

(12)

Local Bay¹³

Age: 6| Weight: 8-10| J: William Carson| T: A W Carroll| OR: 57

33/1

Seventh of 8 in handicap at Brighton (8f, good, 33/1) 13 days ago. Back down in trip and he's probably worth taking on.

Form: 76-4787

(3)

Savannah Smiles^p⁴⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 8-9| J: Callum Hutchinson⁽³⁾| T: G Harris| OR: 56| D

33/1

Latest win at Wolverhampton in March. Eighth of 11 in handicap back at that course 45 days ago. 0-6 on turf and it's probably best to look elsewhere.

Form: 241148

Rule 4

Rule 4 applies to all bets - deduction 10p in the pound

Non-Runners

(13)

King Of Scotia¹¹⁷

Weight: 9-8| Age: 4

T: J A Osborne J: Saffie Osborne

(1)

Jax Edge²²

Weight: 9-6| Age: 4

T: C Mason J: Gina Mangan

(6)

Big Bard¹⁵⁹

Weight: 9-4| Age: 6

T: G & J Moore J: Jack Doughty

(11)

Vape¹³²

Weight: 9-1| Age: 7

T: J L Flint J: William Cox

Forecasts

Connie's Rose (3/1), Hiatus (7/2), Some Nightmare (4/1), Beyond Equal (5/1), Big Bard (7/1), Airshow (8/1), King Of Scotia (9/1), Jax Edge (12/1), Vape (16/1), Heartrate (25/1), Local Bay (33/1), Savannah Smiles (33/1), Concierge (33/1)

Several to consider in this competitive handicap but, that said, CONNIE'S ROSE rates a pretty confident selection on the back of a recent near miss off this mark at Salisbury where she pulled clear of the third. Stepping back up to 6f will be no bad thing and the booking of Hollie Doyle adds to her appeal. Next on the list is Big Bard, while Some Nightmare is third choice ahead of Hiatus and Beyond Equal. Don't rule out prominent showings from Heartrate and Jax Edge either.

Previous Winners

2023

Vape

Weight: 9-6 |Age: 6

J: William Cox | T: J L Flint

13/2

Prize Money

1st: £3,716.002nd: £1,744.003rd: £871.004th: £436.005th: £217.00

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