16:50 Southwell

Friday 22 December 2023

All14:0714:4215:1715:5016:2016:5017:2517:55

Bet 10 Get 40 At BetMGM Handicap (Div 1)

Off time: 16:56 | Winning time: 1m 27.34s

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Selected odds by:

(9)

Khathak^t,v¹⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 9-9| J: D Nolan| T: R A Fahey| OR: 72

9/1

Temperamental sort. Twelve runs since last win in 2021. Good second of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (8f, 11/1) 14 days ago, just failing. That effort represented a step back in the right direction and he will be a threat if able to build on it.

Form: 830252

(12)

Novak³⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 9-8| J: A Mullen| T: I Jardine| OR: 71| D

14/1

Three wins from 17 runs this year. 13/2, ninth of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 38 days ago. Record on the AW stands at 1-17 and he looks vulnerable.

Form: 707339

(5)

Night On Earth¹⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 9-8| J: David Egan| T: Ian Williams| OR: 71

9/2

Twelve runs since last win in 2022. Respectable fourth of 12 in handicap (7/2) at Newcastle (5f) 14 days ago. Significantly up in trip and shouldn't be far away.

Form: 606534

(3)

Bowood^p⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-8| J: Ryan Sexton⁽³⁾| T: K Scott| OR: 71

11/4

Creditable second of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (7.1f, 9/2) 6 days ago, conceding first run. Big player off the same mark.

Form: 692532

(10)

Embarked^b⁸⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 9-7| J: Daniel Muscutt| T: J R Fanshawe| OR: 70| D

6/1

Two wins from 5 runs this year. Improved on recent efforts to win 13-runner handicap at Kempton (7f, 3/1) 86 days ago. 9 lb rise asks a question but he's a contender all the same.

Form: 744161

(8)

Anif¹⁴

Age: 9| Weight: 9-6| J: T Eaves| T: M Herrington| OR: 69| CD

22/1

C&D winner. Tenth of 12 in handicap (22/1) at Newcastle (7.1f) 14 days ago. Likely to come up short once again.

Form: 543400

(1)

Giogiobbo^p¹⁰

Age: 10| Weight: 9-5| J: D Swift| T: S Dixon| OR: 68| C| D

125/1

Course winner. 66/1, tenth of 12 in handicap at this course (6.1f) 10 days ago. Readily passed over.

Form: 114-800

(11)

At Liberty¹⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 9-5| J: Alistair Rawlinson| T: M Appleby| OR: 68

11/1

First run since leaving Michael Bell when bit below form sixth of 12 in handicap at this C&D (9/2) 15 days ago. No more than an each-way squeak.

Form: 466576

(4)

Royal Musketeer¹⁰⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 9-4| J: D Allan| T: Steph Hollinshead| OR: 67| D

15/2

Thirteen runs since last win in 2022. 33/1, ninth of 12 in handicap at Haydock (8.2f, good to firm). Off 104 days and others make more appeal.

Form: 7-25639

(2)

Mr Squires⁹⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: Jonny Peate⁽³⁾| T: R Fell & S Murray| OR: 66| CD

33/1

C&D winner. 20/1, bit below form fourth of 10 in handicap at Newcastle (7.1f). Off 94 days (gelded in the interim) and he could have a say if on-song.

Form: 555004

(6)

Masqool¹⁸

Age: 5| Weight: 9-3| J: D C Costello| T: H J Evans| OR: 66| BF| C| D

6/1

Course winner. Creditable fourth of 9 in handicap (16/5) at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 18 days ago, needing stronger gallop. On the face of it this drop back in trip doesn't look ideal but he will be a threat if they go hard up front.

Form: 435564

(7)

Reputation¹⁵

Age: 10| Weight: 9-1| J: J P Sullivan| T: Mrs R Carr| OR: 64| D

40/1

12/1, improved on recent efforts to win 9-runner handicap at Chelmsford City (7f) 15 days ago, just holding on. Remains on a good mark up 2 lb but his profile he is rather in-and-out.

Form: 970771

Forecasts

Bowood (11/4), Night On Earth (9/2), Masqool (6/1), Embarked (6/1), Royal Musketeer (15/2), Khathak (9/1), At Liberty (11/1), Novak (14/1), Anif (22/1), Mr Squires (33/1), Reputation (40/1), Giogiobbo (125/1)

The vote goes to EMBARKED, who made it 2 wins from his last 3 starts with a decisive display at Kempton and a 9 lb rise may not be enough to stop him in his tracks. Masqool caught the eye at Wolverhampton recently and he should be in the mix, granted a strong pace to aim at. Bowood's turn is surely near and he should also be on the premises.