19:30 Southwell

Friday 15 December 2023

All17:0017:3018:0018:3019:0019:3020:0020:30

BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap (Div 1)

Off time: 19:35 | Winning time: 1m 28.13s

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Selected odds by:

(1)

Tea Sea^b⁸^{(ex 6)}

Age: 3| Weight: 9-10| J: William Carson| T: A W Carroll| OR: 55| C

10/11

1 win from 3 runs this year. Career best when wide-margin winner of 12-runner handicap (9/1) at this course (8.1f) 8 days ago. Carries 6 lb penalty but expected to be bang there.

Form: 070-721

(7)

Willow Baby³¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-9| J: D Swift| T: J Ward| OR: 60

12/1

Lightly-raced maiden. Good second of 8 in minor event at Newcastle (6f, 9/1) 31 days ago. Makes handicap debut. Can give a good account.

Form: 0322

(3)

Explorers Way^p²⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 9-8| J: Ben Robinson| T: B Ellison| OR: 59| D

16/1

Latest win at Newcastle in October. Eighth of 12 in handicap (10/1) at Newcastle (8f) 26 days ago, not ideally placed. Can make presence felt.

Form: 619168

(9)

Swinging Eddie²⁰

Age: 7| Weight: 9-8| J: P J McDonald| T: Grant Tuer| OR: 59| D

16/1

20/1, respectable sixth of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 20 days ago. Given a chance by the assessor.

Form: 317406

(12)

Al Suil Eile²⁹⁰

Age: 7| Weight: 9-7| J: Laura Pearson| T: S A Harris| OR: 58| CD

28/1

C&D winner. Below form sixth of 14 in handicap (9/2) at this C&D, slowly away. Off 9 months.

Form: 66-4246

(2)

Sydney Bay^p³⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 9-6| J: D Tudhope| T: G A Harker| OR: 57| BF

4/1

2 wins from 5 runs this year. Latest win at Newcastle in October. Good second of 9 in handicap at Newcastle (6f, 6/4) 38 days ago. Merits consideration.

Form: 9-00112

(10)

Rains Of Castamere³⁵

Age: 6| Weight: 9-5| J: D Allan| T: R M Smith| OR: 56| D

150/1

Tenth of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (8f, 125/1) 35 days ago. Has work to do.

Form: 0748-00

(11)

Camacho Star⁷⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: T Eaves| T: K A Ryan| OR: 55| DWS

13/2

Latest win at Catterick in July. Tongue strap on for 1st time, took a big step back in the right direction when fourth of 8 in handicap at Newcastle (8f, 17/2) 70 days ago. Not discounted.

Form: 710004

(6)

Eagle Creek^b³¹

Age: 9| Weight: 9-4| J: Billy Garritty| T: M & D Easterby| OR: 55| D

50/1

Twelve runs since last win in 2021. 22/1, last of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (6f) 31 days ago. Blinkers back on. Needs a couple of these to falter.

Form: 006000

(8)

Pop Favorite^b⁵

Age: 5| Weight: 9-2| J: Elisha Whittington⁽⁵⁾| T: S Dixon| OR: 53

9/1

3 wins from 20 runs this year. Latest win at Newcastle in October. 33/1, respectable fourth of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 5 days ago. Shortlisted.

Form: 414254

(4)

Atrafan^b²²⁴

Age: 9| Weight: 9-1| J: D C Costello| T: A D Brown| OR: 52| CD

66/1

C&D winner. Twelfth of 13 in handicap (33/1) at Newcastle (6f). Off 7 months. Blinkers back on.

Form: 212180

(5)

Brother Dave²⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 8-9| J: Joanna Mason| T: Mrs R Carr| OR: 46

40/1

33/1, eleventh of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (7.1f) 26 days ago. Not easy to make a case for.

Form: 709480

Forecasts

Tea Sea (10/11), Sydney Bay (4/1), Camacho Star (13/2), Pop Favorite (9/1), Willow Baby (12/1), Swinging Eddie (16/1), Explorers Way (16/1), Al Suil Eile (28/1), Brother Dave (40/1), Eagle Creek (50/1), Atrafan (66/1), Rains Of Castamere (150/1)

TEA SEA took his form up a notch when scooting in here last week and a 6 lb penalty doesn't look sufficient to prevent him from following up. Explorers Way wasn't seen to best effect when eighth at Newcastle last time and is next on the list, with Camacho Star another who can have a say if building on his encouraging Newcastle fourth.