16:55 Newcastle

Tuesday 17 October 2023

All16:2016:5517:3018:0018:3019:0019:3020:0020:30

BetUK. It's Where The UK Bets Handicap

Off time: 16:56 | Winning time: 2m 39.23s

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(1)

Military March⁹⁹⁹

Age: 6| Weight: 10-4| J: Oisin Murphy| T: S bin Suroor| OR: 107

11/4

11/8, eighth of 11 to Lord Glitters in Singspiel Stakes at Meydan (9f, good) when last seen in January 2021 (gelded since). Very promising prior to that (2-2 at 2 yrs and fourth in 2000 Guineas on sole 3-y-o start) and fascinating candidate now upped in trip for this handicap debut.

Form: 1148/

(12)

Haunted Dream¹⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 9-12| J: Daniel Muscutt| T: E A L Dunlop| OR: 101| D

4/1

Creditable eighth of 34 in handicap (20/1) at Newmarket (9f, good to firm) 17 days ago. Going back up in trip won't hurt and he's 4-6 on the AW. Bold show anticipated.

Form: 023238

(6)

Blanchland¹⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-9| J: B A Curtis| T: Jane Chapple-Hyam| OR: 104| C

18/1

Course winner. 14/1, tailed-off last of 6 to Tregony in listed race at Newmarket (12f, good to firm) 18 days ago. Needs to get back on track now pitched into a handicap.

Form: 6212-86

(7)

Stowell⁴⁵

Age: 5| Weight: 9-9| J: Hollie Doyle| T: A King| OR: 98| D

50/1

33/1, first run since leaving George Boughey when last of 7 in handicap at Beverley (12.1f, good to firm) 45 days ago, not knocked about. Makes tapeta debut and probably best watched.

Form: 4639-97

(3)

Wootton'sun⁵³

Age: 4| Weight: 9-5| J: D Nolan| T: R A Fahey| OR: 94| D

18/1

Latest win at Haydock in July. 5/1, twelfth of 14 in handicap at York (11.8f, good to firm) 53 days ago. Has otherwise done very little wrong this season and no surprise were he to bounce back. Yard also saddles Southern Voyage.

Form: 232120

(5)

Omniscient⁴⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 9-2| J: L Morris| T: Sir Mark Prescott| OR: 91| D

7/1

Sixth of 7 in handicap at Beverley (12.1f, good to firm, 13/2) 45 days ago. Eased 3 lb since but others make more appeal all the same.

Form: 81-7876

(11)

Valsad²⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 9-2| J: P Mulrennan| T: H & R Charlton| OR: 91| BF| D

4/1

Latest win at Southwell in September. Last of 7 in handicap at Newbury (13.3f, heavy, 3/1) 24 days ago. Perhaps the conditions were against him there and he's unexposed on the AW, so he's not discounted.

Form: 43-6217

(4)

Onesmoothoperator³⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 9-1| J: Ben Robinson| T: B Ellison| OR: 90| C

7/1

Course winner. Sixteen runs since last win in 2021. Respectable 3 lengths seventh of 12 to Valsad in handicap at Southwell (12.1f, 11/2) 34 days ago, needing stronger gallop. Place possibilities.

Form: 349727

(9)

Southern Voyage³¹

Age: 5| Weight: 8-13| J: D Tudhope| T: R A Fahey| OR: 88| CD

25/1

C&D winner. 12/1, first run since leaving Archie Watson when last of 10 in handicap at Chester (10.3f, soft) 31 days ago. Up in trip. Wootton'Sun appears to be the stable No 1.

Form: 0/8401-0

(2)

Capital Theory²⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 8-13| J: J Fanning| T: C Johnston| OR: 88

11/1

Five wins from 19 Flat runs. Won 9-runner handicap at Ayr (13.1f, good, 12/1) 24 days ago, well positioned. Remains on a workable mark up 4 lb and should make his presence felt.

Form: 527301

(8)

Sir Chauvelin²⁴

Age: 11| Weight: 8-11| J: S H James| T: J S Goldie| OR: 84| CD

33/1

Four-time C&D winner. Latest win at Southwell in September. 12/1, creditable 3¼ lengths fourth of 9 to Capital Theory in handicap at Ayr (13.1f, good) 24 days ago, left poorly placed. Looks vulnerable.

Form: 850914

(10)

Wynter Wildes^p²⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 8-11| J: Mikkel Mortensen⁽⁷⁾| T: C Fellowes| OR: 82| CD

28/1

C&D winner. 3 wins from 9 runs this year. Career best when winning 9-runner handicap at Yarmouth (11.5f, good to soft, 13/2) 27 days ago. This is much tougher and she's 4 lb 'wrong' at the weights.

Form: 171591

Forecasts

Military March (11/4), Haunted Dream (4/1), Valsad (4/1), Onesmoothoperator (7/1), Omniscient (7/1), Capital Theory (11/1), Blanchland (18/1), Wootton'sun (18/1), Southern Voyage (25/1), Wynter Wildes (28/1), Sir Chauvelin (33/1), Stowell (50/1)

It could be significant that connections are persevering with MILITARY MARCH, who looked so promising earlier in his career and while plenty needs to be taken on trust following such a lengthy spell on the sidelines (and tackling a new surface/trip), he would be thrown in off this mark on his handicap debut if anywhere near his best. Haunted Dream and Wootton'Sun have both performed admirably well in strong handicaps this season and rate the main dangers. Capital Theory completes the shortlist.