17:30 Tipperary

Sunday 1 October 2023

All13:4014:1014:4015:1515:5016:2517:0017:30

Peppermill Restaurant Nenagh Fillies Flat Race

Off time: 17:30 | Winning time: 4m 1.2s

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Selected odds by:

Alice Morgan^t1

Age: 4| Weight: 11-5| J: Miss J Townend| T: W P Mullins

2/1

€20,000 3-y-o, Yeats filly. Dam bumper/dual 2½m hurdle winner. Wears tongue strap. Plenty of appeal on paper for top yard with a formidable record in bumpers.

Form:

Erne Star

Age: 4| Weight: 11-5| J: Mr I Ryan⁽⁷⁾| T: Francis Casey

66/1

Mount Nelson filly. Dam unraced half-sister to fairly useful 2m hurdle winner Fingal Rock. Entitled to come on for the run.

Form:

Familiar Dreams¹³⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 11-5| J: Miss A B O'Connor⁽³⁾| T: A McCann

4/1

Lightly-raced maiden. Good second of 12 in bumper at Wexford (16f, good to soft, 13/2) 134 days ago, going with enthusiasm. Likely to be on the premises.

Form: 42-22

French Hill

Age: 4| Weight: 11-5| J: Mr D O'Connor| T: A B Joyce

11/1

Kingston Hill filly. Half-sister to 3 winners, including fairly useful hurdler/useful chaser Moyhenna, stayed 3½m, and fairly useful hurdler/chaser Moskovite.

Form:

Glens Lullaby

Age: 4| Weight: 11-5| J: Mr J L Gleeson⁽⁵⁾| T: Peter Fahey

11/2

Mount Nelson filly. Half-sister to bumper winner Shantou's Melody. Worth a second look in the betting.

Form:

Highland Dew^t1²⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 11-5| J: Paddy Cody⁽⁷⁾| T: R P Cody

150/1

Once-raced maiden. Last of 14 in bumper at Galway (16.6f, soft, 25/1) on NH debut 20 days ago. Tongue strap on for 1st time.

Form: 0

Ma Belle Etoile

Age: 4| Weight: 11-5| J: Mr D Kiely⁽⁷⁾| T: John E & Kiely

17/2

€28,000 3-y-o, Doyen filly. Half-sister to 3 winners, including useful hurdler First Approach and fair hurdler/chaser Hidden Charmer, stays 25f. Watch the betting for clues.

Form:

Onebrightbluerose¹³

Age: 4| Weight: 11-5| J: Mr C J Shine⁽⁷⁾| T: Patrick Cronin

150/1

Thrice-raced maiden. Last of 9 in bumper (150/1) at Listowel (16f, soft) 13 days ago.

Form: 009

Pampar Lady^h¹³

Age: 4| Weight: 11-5| J: Mr F R Buckley⁽⁷⁾| T: G P Cromwell

16/1

Lightly-raced maiden under NH rules. 66/1, second of 14 in novice hurdle at Listowel (16f, soft) on hurdles bow 13 days ago, no match for winner. Switches from hurdles to bumpers.

Form: 0-462

Sansrisk¹⁴⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 11-5| J: Mr H C Swan⁽⁵⁾| T: J P Dempsey

9/1

Once-raced maiden. Third of 18 in bumper (6/1) at Cork (16f, good to soft) on NH debut 148 days ago. Each-way chance.

Form: 3

Smiling Bess^v1³⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 11-5| J: Mr F Maguire| T: K Prendergast

14/1

Twice-raced maiden. 7/2, fourth of 8 in bumper at Ballinrobe (16.2f, good to soft) 34 days ago. Visor on 1st time.

Form: 34

Switch From Diesel¹⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 11-5| J: Mr R W Barron⁽⁷⁾| T: S Fahey| BF

7/1

Twice-raced maiden. Second of 8 in bumper at Ballinrobe (16f, good to soft, 13/8) 16 days ago. Live chance.

Form: 22

Non-Runners

Bigira⁸⁷

Weight: 11-5| Age: 4

T: M Fahey J: Mr A P Ryan

Dancing Dame¹³

Weight: 11-5| Age: 4

T: T Doyle J: Mr D Doyle

Western Summer²³

Weight: 11-5| Age: 4

T: R P Rath J: Miss F Fox

Forecasts

Alice Morgan (2/1), Familiar Dreams (4/1), Glens Lullaby (11/2), Dancing Dame (11/2), Switch From Diesel (7/1), Ma Belle Etoile (17/2), Sansrisk (9/1), French Hill (11/1), Smiling Bess (14/1), Pampar Lady (16/1), Bigira (33/1), Erne Star (66/1), Western Summer (66/1), Onebrightbluerose (150/1), Highland Dew (150/1)

The vote goes to FAMILIAR DREAMS, who arguably posted her best effort yet when runner-up at Wexford in May and she is taken to deservedly get her head in front. Confidence behind likely-looking newcomer Alice Morgan in the betting would look highly significant and she is greatly respected. Switch From Diesel is third choice, albeit only marginally as Dancing Dame is also pretty high on the shortlist.