15:15 Carlisle

Wednesday 23 August 2023

All14:0514:4015:1515:4516:2016:55

Fred Says Don't Fall 80th Birthday Handicap

Off time: 15:19 | Winning time: 1m 12.08s

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Selected odds by:

(5)

Signora Camacho¹⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-11| J: Gianluca Sanna⁽⁷⁾| T: J & S Quinn| OR: 77| D

10/1

11/1, sixth of 7 in handicap at Doncaster (6f, heavy) 18 days ago. Not easy to make a case for in current form.

Form:

(3)

Naval Academy^t1²⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-11| J: Phil Dennis| T: M Walford| OR: 77

28/1

First run since leaving H-F. Devin when fourteenth of 17 in handicap (33/1) at Goodwood (8f, soft) on UK debut 20 days ago, hampered. First run for yard after leaving Kevin Ryan. Tongue strap back on. Others make more appeal.

Form:

(8)

Hougoumont^h¹⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-9| J: Ryan Sexton⁽³⁾| T: Miss J A Camacho| OR: 75| D

11/2

15/2, last of 9 in handicap at Pontefract (6f, good) 14 days ago, not much room. Latest run is best ignored and he's becoming well treated, so not without a chance.

Form:

(2)

Creative Style^b1¹⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-9| J: Mr Taylor Fisher⁽³⁾| T: A Watson| OR: 75

22/1

Winner at Wolverhampton in June. Third of 5 in handicap at Leicester (6f, good to firm, 7/1) 10 days ago. Blinkers on 1st time. Considered.

Form:

(9)

Elusive Angel³²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-7| J: B A Curtis| T: Harry Eustace| OR: 73

11/4

Thrice-raced maiden. Second of 9 in minor event (10/3) at Ripon (6f, good to soft) 32 days ago. Makes handicap debut. Arrives with potential and worth taking a chance on up against more exposed types.

Form:

(6)

Mersea¹⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-7| J: S H James| T: Grant Tuer| OR: 73| C

13/2

Course winner. Fifth of 7 in handicap at Doncaster (6f, heavy, 9/1) 18 days ago, possibly unsuited by conditions. Likely to be back on her game and handicapper has given her a chance.

Form:

(12)

Pocket The Packet^h²⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: Faye McManoman| T: N Tinkler| OR: 71| D

20/1

Five wins from 18 Flat runs. Twelfth of 16 in handicap (20/1) at York (7f, good) 25 days ago, merely passing beaten rivals. Better on AW than turf.

Form:

(10)

We'renotreallyhere^p⁷⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: Harry Russell| T: J & S Quinn| OR: 68| D

66/1

Latest win at Thirsk in May. Eleventh of 12 in handicap at Thirsk (6f, good, 9/1) 75 days ago. Others more persuasive.

Form:

(7)

B Associates²⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: P Mulrennan| T: J S Goldie| OR: 68| CD

15/2

C&D winner. 4 wins from 9 runs this year. Latest win at Ayr in June. 14/1, effort best excused when ninth of 16 in handicap at York (7f, good) 25 days ago, not ideally placed. Not one to write off.

Form:

(11)

Happier^p²⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: Sean Kirrane| T: T D Easterby| OR: 68| D

4/1

Winner at Redcar in May. 9/2 and cheekpieces on for 1st time, last of 7 in handicap at Thirsk (6f, good to soft) 26 days ago. Likely to bounce back quickly.

Form:

(1)

Reginald Charles^p¹¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: Cieren Fallon| T: B Smart| OR: 66

17/2

Seventh of 9 in handicap at Haydock (7.2f, good, 5/1) 11 days ago, slowly away. Cheekpieces back on. Ran well on penultimate outing and can't be completely ruled out.

Form:

Non-Runners

(4)

Hour By Hour³³

Weight: 9-6| Age: 3

T: I Jardine J: A Mullen

Forecasts

Elusive Angel (11/4), Happier (4/1), Hougoumont (11/2), Hour By Hour (6/1), Mersea (13/2), B Associates (15/2), Reginald Charles (17/2), Signora Camacho (10/1), Pocket The Packet (20/1), Creative Style (22/1), Naval Academy (28/1), We'renotreallyhere (66/1)

ELUSIVE ANGEL has created a positive impression on two of her three starts to date and is likely to take another step forward now handicapping, so she's preferred to Mersea and Happier, who are both liable to bounce back returning to a sounder surface.