16:30 Salisbury

Wednesday 16 August 2023

All13:4514:1514:4515:2015:5516:3017:00

British EBF 40th Anniversary Upavon Fillies' Stakes (Fillies' And Mares' Listed)

Off time: 16:31 | Winning time: 2m 5.66s

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Selected odds by:

(13)

Ameynah¹⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 9-4| J: David Egan| T: R Varian| OR: 106

7/1

Very lightly-raced 4-y-o who made an encouraging return from a 15-month absence when length fourth in 1m Ascot Group 3 18 days ago. Entitled to come on for that and merits respect. First attempt beyond 1m.

Form: 2/16-4

(11)

Makinmedoit⁸⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 9-4| J: Hayley Turner| T: Harry Eustace| OR: 100| CD

40/1

Won 3 times over this trip last year and ran well behind a promising filly at Lingfield in January. Just as good on turf though habit of missing the break caught up with her at Ayr on return from a break in May. Tongue tie removed.

Form: 1512-37

(5)

Queen Of The Skies¹⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-4| J: W Buick| T: Jane Chapple-Hyam| OR: 97| D

8/1

Useful sort who ran right up to her best when 3½ lengths fourth of 10 to Midnight Mile in listed race at York (1¼m, good) 19 days ago. More will be needed to win at this level, though.

Form: 860-324

(9)

Rousay¹⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 9-4| J: S M Levey| T: R Hannon| OR: 94| CD

25/1

Won this race last summer. Well below par on first 2 outings this summer but latest Goodwood handicap fourth was more like it. Needs to build on that now.

Form: 274-484

(12)

State Occasion⁹⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 9-4| J: Rossa Ryan| T: R M Beckett| OR: 103| D

6/1

Smart mare who was a respectable 5 lengths fourth in a 1¼m York Group 2 on her reappearance in May. Not seen since but she returns to action with her yard in flying form.

Form: 21148-4

(10)

Zenga¹⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 9-4| J: Thore Hammer-Hansen| T: R Varian| OR: 86

40/1

Useful sort who disappointed when behind reopposing stablemate Ameynah at Ascot last time but had shaped quite well when fourth in a Pontefract listed race prior to that.

Form: 120-748

(7)

Running Lion⁵⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: Oisin Murphy| T: J & T Gosden| OR: 108| D

6/4

Roaring Lion filly who was impressive when easily completing a 4-timer in the 1¼m Pretty Polly at Newmarket (soft) in May. Had possible excuses for her no show in the French Oaks 6 weeks later and no surprise were she to resume her progression after a break.

Form: 411-110

(1)

Caernarfon¹³

Age: 3| Weight: 8-11| J: Connor Beasley| T: J Channon| OR: 111

9/2

Reached the frame in the 1000 Guineas and the Oaks on her first 2 outings this year. Ran right up to her best when beaten only 2¾ lengths into fifth in the Nassau at Goodwood 13 days ago and leading form claims with her sights lowered slightly.

Form: 31-4365

(8)

Embrace⁵⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 8-11| J: Tom Marquand| T: Owen Burrows| OR: 93

33/1

Left debut form behind when comfortably off the mark at Wolverhampton (7f) in November. Progressed again when fourth in Fred Darling at Newbury (7f, heavy) on reappearance but well held in the 1000 Guineas and Sandringham at Royal Ascot since.

Form: 61-400

(6)

Heavenly Breath^p²⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 8-11| J: Hollie Doyle| T: A Watson| OR: 97

33/1

Runner-up at Group 3/listed level over 1m in France. Ran as well as could be expected when fifth in the Hoppings at Newcastle (1¼m) in June but dropped away tamely in the Aphrodite at Newmarket since. Blinkers off, cheekpieces back on.

Form: 2-28459

(2)

Karsavina³⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-11| J: R Kingscote| T: C G Cox| OR: 94

28/1

Landed 7f novice at Newmarket on debut last autumn and some quite useful efforts in defeat this term, including latest 1¾ lengths fifth of 11 to Mystic Pearl in listed race (14/1) at Sandown (1m, good). Up in trip.

Form: 1-4005

(3)

Liftoff⁶²

Age: 3| Weight: 8-11| J: Benoit D L Sayette| T: J & T Gosden| OR: 94

50/1

Dual novice winner last summer. Respectable 3¼ lengths sixth of 7 to Crack of Light in listed race at Longchamp (1½m, good) on reappearance in June. Off a further 2 months since. Running Lion looks the more obvious of the yard's pair.

Form: 6115F-6

(4)

Sparkling Beauty¹²⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-11| J: K Stott| T: D J S Ffrench Davis| OR: 97

80/1

Oasis Dream filly who was runner-up in a 7f Deauville Group 2 last year. Disappointed in a Longchamp Group 3 on her reappearance in April and hasn't been seen since. First run for new yard after leaving Richard Hughes.

Form: 2126-6

Forecasts

Running Lion (6/4), Caernarfon (9/2), State Occasion (6/1), Ameynah (7/1), Queen Of The Skies (8/1), Rousay (25/1), Karsavina (28/1), Embrace (33/1), Heavenly Breath (33/1), Makinmedoit (40/1), Zenga (40/1), Liftoff (50/1), Sparkling Beauty (80/1)

CAERNARFON has performed with credit in a trio of fillies' Group 1s this year and might be able to resume winning ways in these slightly calmer waters. Pretty Polly winner Running Lion is better than she showed in the French Oaks and can bounce back and provide the chief threat ahead of Ameynah and State Occasion.