18:30 Chepstow

Thursday 10 August 2023

All17:3018:0018:3019:0019:3020:0020:30

William Hill Epic Value Racing League Race 10 Handicap

Off time: 19:02 | Winning time: 1m 11.53s

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Selected odds by:

(7)

Dora Penny^t²⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 9-13| J: S D Bowen⁽⁵⁾| T: P D Evans| OR: 86| D

22/1

Back to winning ways at Kempton in April but well below that level more recently and makes limited appeal.

Form: 1-71878

(11)

Executive Decision^h⁹^{(ex 6)}

Age: 3| Weight: 9-13| J: Saffie Osborne| T: J A Osborne| OR: 84| D

5/2

Juvenile winner for Jessica Harrington (sold 82,000 gns) who improved away from top-end handicaps for the first time since joining current yard when scoring at Goodwood (6f, good to soft) 9 days ago, seeing it out in good style. Still relatively unexposed, so makes appeal under a penalty.

Form: 152-551

(3)

Society Lion^t¹²

Age: 6| Weight: 9-9| J: Callum Shepherd| T: E A L Dunlop| OR: 82| D

9/1

Capitalised on the drop in grade to notch his second win of the year when scoring at Windsor (6f, good, 5/1) 12 days ago, helped by the way things developed (suited by strong pace). 4 lb higher and no surprise to see him in the shake-up once again.

Form: 172351

(6)

Buccabay⁵⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: Charles Bishop| T: Eve Johnson Houghton| OR: 81| D

16/1

33/1, below form eleventh of 21 in handicap at York (6f, good to firm) 54 days ago, uncomfortable with pace throughout. Has had a break and will need to bounce back.

Form: 81-3640

(4)

Momaer^h,t1³³

Age: 4| Weight: 9-4| J: D McMonagle| T: D M Loughnane| OR: 77| D

15/2

After 6 months off, showed much improved form when making all in 10-runner handicap at Leicester (6f, good to firm) 33 days ago, travelling powerfully. Can score again with tongue strap on 1st time.

Form: 23-161

(2)

Hot Chesnut⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 9-3| J: Marco Ghiani| T: D K Ivory| OR: 76| BF

11/2

2 wins from 6 runs this year, latest at Newbury in July. Eighth of 9 in handicap at Newmarket (7f, good to firm, 7/2) 6 days ago, doing too much too soon. Sprinting for the first time this year and would be folly to discount.

Form: 761318

(8)

Snash^p²⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 9-3| J: D Allan| T: T D Easterby| OR: 76| D

14/1

Underperformed returned to sprinting when fourteenth of 16 in handicap (10/1) at York (6f, good) 26 days ago, dropping away over 1f out. Cheekpieces back on.

Form: 505440

(10)

Ramiro¹⁴

Age: 7| Weight: 9-0| J: Ben Robinson| T: B Ellison| OR: 73| BF| D

6/1

Latest win at Ayr in July. 10/3, shaped as if still in good form when third of 10 in handicap at Yarmouth (7f, good to soft) 2 weeks ago, running on after slowly away. Back down in trip and is one to consider.

Form: 552213

(1)

Indian Falcon¹²

Age: 3| Weight: 8-11| J: O J Orr| T: R A Fahey| OR: 74| D

16/1

Winner at Pontefract in April. Shaped better than the distance beaten suggested when seventh of 16 in handicap (14/1) at York (7f, good) 12 days ago, unable to sustain effort having made a big effort from the rear to get into contention. More needed.

Form: 9-1407

(5)

Sir Maxi¹³

Age: 5| Weight: 8-9| J: Cam Hardie| T: R A Fahey| OR: 68| D

10/1

Confirmed more positive signs from Beverley when successful at Pontefract (6f) last month, a well-run race/drop in trip serving him well. Again ran well when third under a penalty just under a fortnight ago and can figure again from the same mark.

Form: 844213

(9)

Nordic Passage²⁶

Age: 8| Weight: 8-8| J: A J Farragher⁽³⁾| T: J F Levins| OR: 67| D

10/1

Twenty four runs since last win in 2020. Creditable fourth of 15 in handicap at Navan (5f, good to soft, 13/2) 26 days ago, nearest finish. Back up in trip and he lurks on a very dangerous mark.

Form: 0-00874

Forecasts

Executive Decision (5/2), Hot Chesnut (11/2), Ramiro (6/1), Momaer (15/2), Society Lion (9/1), Nordic Passage (10/1), Sir Maxi (10/1), Snash (14/1), Buccabay (16/1), Indian Falcon (16/1), Dora Penny (22/1)

On her first attempt at sprinting, MOMAER doubled her tally in remarkably easy fashion at Leicester last month, and with further improvement on the cards, Mark Loughnane's 4-y-o gets the verdict to go in again with a first-time tongue tie added to her usual hood. Nordic Passage lurks on a very dangerous mark so he may emerge as the main threat, ahead of the penalised Executive Decision and Ramiro.