19:25 Epsom Downs

Wednesday 5 July 2023

All18:2018:5019:2520:0020:3021:00

Betfred Nifty Fifty Handicap

Off time: 19:25 | Winning time: 1m 9.29s

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Selected odds by:

(3)

Lil Guff¹¹

Age: 4| Weight: 10-1| J: Cieren Fallon| T: D & C Kubler| OR: 87| D

7/2

Likeable filly who arrives at the top of her game, landing handicaps at Bath/Sandown prior to a solid second from this career-high mark at Haydock (5f) 11 days ago. Effective at this longer trip and hard to discount in this groove.

Form: 373112

(1)

Indian Creak²⁴

Age: 6| Weight: 9-11| J: David Probert| T: J Channon| OR: 83| BF| C| D

11/1

Strong in betting and stepped up on his comeback run to score readily at Windsor (6f, soft) in May. Filled the frame next 2 starts but been operating some way below best since, last of 6 in handicap at Goodwood (6f) 24 days ago.

Form: 613306

(6)

Rocking Ends¹²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-10| J: William Carson| T: B R Johnson| OR: 88| D

15/2

3-time winner as a juvenile who bounced back to best returned to a faster surface when runner-up in 3-y-o handicap at Windsor (6f) 2 starts back. Not at best in big-field affair at Royal Ascot subsequently but this more suitable for all he wouldn't too much rain to arrive.

Form: 232620

(4)

Lord Rapscallion^b,t³³

Age: 7| Weight: 9-10| J: Rossa Ryan| T: S C Williams| OR: 82| D

9/1

Bagged pair of 7f Chelmsford handicaps in December and went in again in change of headgear at Newmarket (7f) in May (arguably a shade fortunate). Did too much too soon when well held over 7f here 33 days ago but his mark does look about right on balance.

Form: 353610

(8)

Society Lion^t²⁷

Age: 6| Weight: 9-7| J: Tom Marquand| T: E A L Dunlop| OR: 79| BF| D

9/1

Confirmed promise of his AW reappearance when landing 11-runner Thirsk handicap (6f, heavy) in April and hard to knock his subsequent efforts, third at Yarmouth (6f) 4 weeks ago. Versatile as regards ground and expected to give another good account.

Form: 3-31723

(9)

Tyger Bay^b,t³⁰

Age: 6| Weight: 9-7| J: Billy Loughnane⁽³⁾| T: C Allen| OR: 79| D

13/2

4-time winner on AW during 2022 and largely consistent since the turn of this year, shaping better than bare result when fifth in 9-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (6f) latest. Equally effective on turf and the handicapper is slowly relinquishing his grip. One to note.

Form: 452255

(7)

Havana Pusey¹⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: J Mitchell| T: J Gallagher| OR: 83| D

3/1

Havana Grey filly who produced a promising first effort when second at Brighton (5.2f) in May and built on that to score at Nottingham (6f) 4 weeks later, doing it pretty convincingly. Unable to land a blow when fourth at listed level latest and this more suitable now handicapping.

Form: 214

(5)

Dream For Gold²⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-1| J: N Callan| T: K A Ryan| OR: 79

9/2

Fairly useful form at 2 yrs and he showed improved form to make a winning return in an AW novice (5f) in February. Had wind op, never figured from a poor draw at Beverley (5f) last month but too soon to be writing him off. Steps back up in trip now.

Form: 422-150

Non-Runners

(2)

Count Otto¹¹

Weight: 9-2| Age: 8

T: Mrs A J Perrett J: Jason Watson

Forecasts

Havana Pusey (3/1), Lil Guff (7/2), Dream For Gold (9/2), Tyger Bay (13/2), Rocking Ends (15/2), Society Lion (9/1), Lord Rapscallion (9/1), Indian Creak (11/1), Count Otto (16/1)

This looks wide open and with that in mind it could just pay to take a chance on TYGER BAY. He shaped better than the bare result on his latest outing at Wolverhampton 30 days ago and, from an easing mark, it would come as no surprise to see a good showing, particularly if any rain arrives. Lil Guff is enjoying a good campaign and is feared along with Rocking Ends. Havana Pusey also remains the type to do better.