17:30 Newcastle

Friday 30 June 2023

All16:5517:3018:0018:3519:1019:4520:2020:52

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap

Off time: 17:32 | Winning time: 58.71s

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Selected odds by:

(6)

Little Muddy⁴¹

Age: 7| Weight: 10-2| J: D Swift| T: S Spencer| OR: 75| BF| D

9/1

2 wins from 4 runs this year. Latest win at Ayr in May. Respectable fourth of 16 in handicap (7/2) at Doncaster (6f, good to firm) 41 days ago. In the mix.

Form: 63-1214

(13)

Dandy Dinmont¹⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 10-2| J: Phil Dennis| T: N Tinkler| OR: 75| CD

11/4

C&D winner. Below form fifth of 9 in handicap (5/1) at Haydock (5f, good to firm) 15 days ago, merely closing up late. Others more persuasive.

Form: 223425

(9)

Nelson Gay^p²⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 10-2| J: Connor Beasley| T: M Dods| OR: 75| D

11/2

Fourteen runs since last win in 2021. 8/1, respectable third of 8 in handicap at Catterick (5f, good to firm) 20 days ago. Weighted to go well off a falling mark.

Form: 24-4683

(10)

Murbih¹⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 10-1| J: Cam Hardie| T: A Brittain| OR: 74| D

40/1

Latest win at Wolverhampton in March. Last of 17 in handicap at Beverley (5f, good to firm, 50/1) 19 days ago, lost all chance at start. Still needs a couple of these to falter.

Form: 120200

(5)

Show Me Show Me^p¹⁹

Age: 6| Weight: 10-0| J: J Garritty| T: R A Fahey| OR: 73| CD

13/2

C&D winner. 22/1, ninth of 17 in handicap at Beverley (5f, good to firm) 19 days ago. Can make presence felt if shrugging off latest effort.

Form: 433-009

(12)

Prodigious Blue³⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 9-13| J: Faye McManoman| T: N Tinkler| OR: 72| CD

15/2

C&D winner. Latest win here in May. 3/1, below-par fourth of 7 in handicap at Chelmsford City (5f) 36 days ago so needs to bounce back.

Form: 68-5014

(7)

Libertus⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 9-13| J: Tommie Jakes⁽⁷⁾| T: J R Fanshawe| OR: 72

20/1

Unseated rider start in handicap (8/1) at Chelmsford City (5f) 8 days ago. Good Lingfield second prior to that so he can give a good account.

Form: 10-972U

(4)

Newyorkstateofmind⁶

Age: 6| Weight: 9-11| J: Callum Rodriguez| T: Mrs R Carr| OR: 70| D

15/2

Latest win at Hamilton in June. 16/1, last of 9 in handicap at Ayr (6f, firm) 6 days ago. Merits consideration if back to his best.

Form: 607219

(2)

Jarvis^p¹⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 9-9| J: Hollie Doyle| T: Mrs A Duffield| OR: 68| D

33/1

Eleven runs since last win in 2022. 28/1, last of 8 in handicap at Thirsk (5f, soft) 10 days ago. Others appeal more.

Form: 000-548

(1)

Blazing Hot^b¹⁰

Age: 6| Weight: 9-8| J: Lewis Edmunds| T: D C Griffiths| OR: 67| CD

50/1

3-time C&D winner. Latest win at Southwell in December. Seventh of 8 in handicap (28/1) at Thirsk (5f, soft) 10 days ago. Needs more now.

Form: 51-7527

(3)

Run This Way⁵⁵

Age: 5| Weight: 9-7| J: P Mulrennan| T: P T Midgley| OR: 66

16/1

Eleven runs since last win in 2022. Below form seventh of 13 in handicap (11/1) at Thirsk (6f, heavy) 55 days ago. Others are preferred.

Form: 749-767

(11)

Elzaal⁵²

Age: 5| Weight: 9-7| J: G Lee| T: P T Midgley| OR: 66| CD

14/1

5-time C&D winner. 4 wins from 6 runs this year. Latest win here in March. Off 7 weeks before coming in last of 10 to Prodigious Blue in handicap at this C&D 52 days ago. Can bounce back now.

Form: 131110

(14)

Belsito²¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-6| J: T Eaves| T: K A Ryan| OR: 71| D

18/1

Tenth of 12 in handicap at Thirsk (6f, good, 13/2) 21 days ago, not ideally placed. No forlorn hope.

Form: 501-430

(8)

Ben Macdui⁴⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 9-4| J: P Hanagan| T: P T Midgley| OR: 63| C| D

22/1

Course winner. Seventh of 9 in handicap (18/5) at ipon (5f, good to firm) 40 days ago. Twelve runs since last win in 2022.

Form: 708-737

Forecasts

Dandy Dinmont (11/4), Nelson Gay (11/2), Show Me Show Me (13/2), Newyorkstateofmind (15/2), Prodigious Blue (15/2), Little Muddy (9/1), Elzaal (14/1), Run This Way (16/1), Belsito (18/1), Libertus (20/1), Ben Macdui (22/1), Jarvis (33/1), Murbih (40/1), Blazing Hot (50/1)

Not so competitive as the numbers suggest and NELSON GAY is fancied to capitalise on a good mark and end a losing run for his current yard. Little Muddy is feared most in her attempt to bag a third win of 2023 ahead of Libertus who appeals as the pick of the rest for place purposes.