19:22 Chelmsford City

Thursday 25 May 2023

All17:2017:5018:2218:5219:2219:5220:2220:52

Racing Welfare Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2)

Off time: 19:28 | Winning time: 1m 37.85s

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Selected odds by:

(7)

Dotties Star¹⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 10-2| J: Paddy Bradley⁽³⁾| T: P Phelan

125/1

Fair form in a trio of bumpers but comfortably held in maiden/novice events on the Flat in recent weeks and surely more one for handicaps after this.

Form: 45

(5)

Royal Dubai¹³²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-11| J: Andrea Atzeni| T: M Botti| OR: 93WS

9/1

Looked useful when making a winning debut for Bhupat Seemar on dirt at Meydan in November. Ran as if amiss when last of 8 there 7 weeks later. Has had wind surgery ahead of this British debut. Betting perhaps the best guide to expectations.

Form: 1-8

(10)

Beau Vintage²²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: R Coakley| T: Tom Clover

125/1

Twice-raced maiden. 7/1, last of 11 in novice at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 22 days ago. Likely one for handicaps after this.

Form: 6-0

(1)

Covert Legend²³

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: Harry Burns⁽³⁾| T: J Parr

18/1

Twice-raced maiden. Fourth on 1m Kempton debut in April. Not in the same form when sixth (Fly Zone second) on turf at Yarmouth since and quickly reverts to AW.

Form: 46

(3)

Fly Zone²³

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: Rhys Clutterbuck| T: Sir Michael Stoute

2/1

Left last year's Kempton debut behind when chasing home the impressive Embesto in a 1m Yarmouth maiden at the start of this month. More to come and leading claims.

Form: 0-2

(11)

Leading Lion

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: Cieren Fallon| T: J & T Gosden

9/2

€80,000 Roaring Lion colt. Half-brother to 1m winner Al Battar and 9f/1¼m winner Gareth. Dam, 1m (Falmouth Stakes)-1¼m winner, half-sister to smart 1m/8.6f winner Big Baz. From a top yard and market confidence could prove significant.

Form:

(2)

Mathematician^h¹⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: Raul Da Silva| T: R Varian

66/1

33/1 and hooded, last of 11 in novice at Lingfield (1m, AW) on debut 16 days ago. Needs to leave that well behind.

Form: 0

(6)

Show Me The Wire²⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: Marco Ghiani| T: M Murphy & M Keady

250/1

Twice-raced maiden. 200/1, last of 11 in maiden at Leicester (10f, heavy) 26 days ago.

Form: 70

(9)

Louaizeh

Age: 3| Weight: 8-13| J: Benoit D L Sayette⁽³⁾| T: J Ferguson

25/1

Ribchester filly. Half-sister to 1m-9.5f winner Savrola and 1m/9f winner Principled Stand. Newcomer to note in the betting.

Form:

(4)

Mubhijah^h³⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 8-13| J: David Egan| T: R Varian| OR: 80

5/2

Fair form. Respectable seventh of 16 in maiden at Newmarket (1m, good to soft, 7/1) 36 days ago. Makes polytrack debut. Hood back on. Might be vulnerable to less-exposed types.

Form: 6323-27

(8)

Nigiri²³⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 8-13| J: Rob Hornby| T: R M Beckett

11/2

11/2, showed a bit when fourth of 9 in maiden at Newmarket (7f, good) on debut last autumn. Should have more to offer for a leading stable in good form.

Form: 4-

Forecasts

Fly Zone (2/1), Mubhijah (5/2), Leading Lion (9/2), Nigiri (11/2), Royal Dubai (9/1), Covert Legend (18/1), Louaizeh (25/1), Mathematician (66/1), Beau Vintage (125/1), Dotties Star (125/1), Show Me The Wire (250/1)

Although FLY ZONE couldn't live with a smart prospect at Yarmouth earlier this month he still showed more than enough to think a race like this should be within his grasp. Leading Lion is a well-bred newcomer from the Gosden stable and would be a threat if the betting vibes are strong, although his draw isn't an easy one for a debutant. Nigiri showed promise on last autumn's Newmarket debut and also makes the shortlist.