14:20 Catterick

Wednesday 26 April 2023

All13:5014:2014:5015:2516:0016:3017:00

British EBF 40th Anniversary Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Off time: 14:22 | Winning time: 1m 1.5s

Settings

Selected odds by:

(7)

Changeofmind³⁰⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 9-11| J: Harrison Shaw| T: D Carroll| D

2/1

Sioux Nation colt landed 8-runner maiden at Chester (5.1f, good to firm) on sole start at 2 yrs. 10-month absence is minor worry but he looked a useful prospect on debut and can improve.

Form: 1-

(8)

Amerrone¹⁶²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: S H James| T: Grant Tuer

50/1

Towards rear in pair of minor events. Since been gelded but still makes little appeal.

Form: 60-

(4)

Erosion Risk^v¹⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: Callum Shepherd| T: P D Evans| OR: 70| BF

5/1

Placed 10 starts in a row prior to rare poor effort when only mid-field at Southwell last time. Type to bounce back quickly and he's respected with visor reapplied.

Form: 223227

(5)

Gimcrack Warrior²¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: Zak Wheatley⁽⁵⁾| T: D Carroll

40/1

Muhaarar gelding. Seventh of 9 in maiden at Nottingham (5f, heavy, 22/1) on debut 21 days ago. More required.

Form: 7

(1)

High Ovation⁴¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: Tom Marquand| T: W J Haggas| OR: 72

15/8

Thrice-raced maiden. Good second at Kempton on second outing and perhaps found race coming too soon when fourth of 7 in minor event at Southwell (6.1f) 41 days ago, carrying head shade awkwardly. Has to be taken seriously.

Form: 424

(2)

Rwenearlytheredad²²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: Connor Murtagh| T: D Carroll

40/1

Havana Grey gelding. Showed a bit when fifth of 9 in maiden at Thirsk (5f, soft, 22/1) on debut 22 days ago but others have stronger credentials.

Form: 5

(6)

Tawalla¹³⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: Rowan Scott| T: C Fellowes

14/1

Invincible Spirit colt. Green but hinted at ability when sixth of 9 in minor event at Chelmsford City (6f) on debut. Likely to improve.

Form: 6-

(9)

Whalley Road¹⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: Barry McHugh| T: Adrian Nicholls

11/2

Dandy Man gelding. 9/1, green but showed something to work on when sixth of 9 in minor event at Pontefract (6f, heavy) on debut 15 days ago. Should have more to offer.

Form: 6

(3)

Whisky McGonagall³⁶¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: D Allan| T: T D Easterby

33/1

Twice-raced maiden. 8/1, travelled well and caught eye when fourth of 10 in minor event at Thirsk (5f, good to firm). May do better, though has 12-month absence to overcome.

Form: 84-

Forecasts

High Ovation (15/8), Changeofmind (2/1), Erosion Risk (5/1), Whalley Road (11/2), Tawalla (14/1), Whisky McGonagall (33/1), Rwenearlytheredad (40/1), Gimcrack Warrior (40/1), Amerrone (50/1)

The percentage call is to side with HIGH OVATION, who was very well supported when second at Kempton on his second start and benefits from a longer break between outings this time. Changeofmind perhaps retains the most potential having won a Chester maiden cosily on his sole outing last summer and is feared, whilst Erosion Risk is a largely consistent sort and should be able to bounce back to form.