18:00 Southwell

Tuesday 21 February 2023

All16:5517:3018:0018:3019:0019:3020:0020:30

Spreadex Sports First Goalscorer Insurance Handicap

Off time: 18:01 | Winning time: 1m 39.74s

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Selected odds by:

(11)

Roman Dynasty¹⁰²

Age: 5| Weight: 9-10| J: Jason Watson| T: J Parr| OR: 71

18/1

One win from 24 Flat runs. Twenty three runs since last win in 2020. Tenth of 12 in handicap (16/1) at Wolverhampton (8.6f), slowly away. Off 102 days.

Form: 386700-

(5)

Big Narstie¹¹

Age: 5| Weight: 9-8| J: L Morris| T: M Appleby| OR: 69| C

5/1

Didn't need to improve to win 11-runner handicap at this course (7.1f, 13/8) 11 days ago. Retains plenty of handicap scope for this yard so he appeals as being the one to beat from 2 lb higher.

Form: 488-061

(12)

End Zone¹²

Age: 6| Weight: 9-8| J: S H James| T: R Fell & S Murray| OR: 69| BF| D

12/1

Twelve runs since last win in 2022. Below form fourth of 9 in handicap at Newcastle (8f, 10/3) 12 days ago, not ideally placed. No surprise were he to bounce back.

Form: 33-4324

(4)

Masqool¹⁵

Age: 5| Weight: 9-8| J: D C Costello| T: H J Evans| OR: 69| CD

15/2

C&D winner. Five wins from 20 runs last year. 8/1, seventh of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 15 days ago. Good AW record but looks to be in a lull for now.

Form: 2743-57

(13)

Rumnotred¹⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 9-8| J: Oliver Searle⁽⁷⁾| T: B R Millman| OR: 69

8/1

Lightly-raced maiden. 13/2, respectable fifth of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 15 days ago, left poorly placed. Unexposed and capable of a big showing from this sort of mark.

Form: 52-25

(10)

English Spirit³¹

Age: 5| Weight: 9-8| J: Joshua Bryan| T: H Main| OR: 69

14/1

Ninth of 12 in handicap (9/1) at Lingfield (8f, AW) 31 days ago. Likely needed that first run for 5 months.

Form: 41226-9

(14)

Covert Mission^t³¹

Age: 5| Weight: 9-8| J: Daniel Muscutt| T: K P De Foy| OR: 69| D

8/1

Four wins from 11 runs last year. Latest win at Kempton in October. Eighth of 12 in handicap (14/1) at Lingfield (8f, AW) 31 days ago.

Form: 56194-8

(1)

Custard The Dragon^p²⁸

Age: 10| Weight: 9-8| J: G Lee| T: J Mackie| OR: 69| C

100/1

Nine-time course winner. 28/1, ninth of 10 in handicap at this course (7.1f) 28 days ago. Just 1 lb above last winning mark if he's come on for that.

Form: 2/1269-9

(8)

Southwold⁵⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 9-8| J: R Kingscote| T: D & C Kubler| OR: 69| D

11/2

Winner at Newcastle on debut in November. 7/1, third of 10 in novice event at this C&D 54 days ago. Makes handicap debut and scope to rate higher but he's not obviously well treated.

Form: 13-

(7)

Beautiful Crown³¹

Age: 5| Weight: 9-7| J: Harry Burns⁽³⁾| T: B R Johnson| OR: 68

9/1

Eleven runs since last win in 2021. Creditable fourth of 12 in handicap (18/1) at Lingfield (8f, AW) 31 days ago, never nearer. Makes tapeta debut.

Form: 4077-34

(3)

Barney's Bay^b¹²

Age: 5| Weight: 9-7| J: D Allan| T: T D Easterby| OR: 68| C

9/2

Course winner. Twenty one runs since last win in 2021. 6/1, creditable third of 9 in handicap at Newcastle (8f) 12 days ago. That confirms stamina for this trip.

Form: 2253-43

(6)

Mabre¹¹

Age: 6| Weight: 9-2| J: K Stott| T: P D Evans| OR: 63| D

28/1

Latest win at Kempton in January. 4¾ lengths tenth of 11 to Big Narstie in handicap (16/1) at this course (7.1f) 11 days ago. Return to 1m will help.

Form: 54-1480

(2)

Barneys Gift¹²

Age: 4| Weight: 8-11| J: Cam Hardie| T: P A Kirby| OR: 58

50/1

25/1, seventh of 9 in handicap at Newcastle (8f) 12 days ago. Stamina for 1m remains unproven.

Form: 4755-87

(9)

Ladypacksapunch^p1⁸³

Age: 4| Weight: 8-9| J: K T O'Neill| T: G Harris| OR: 56

125/1

Ninth of 12 in handicap (40/1) at Kempton (8f) 83 days ago. Cheekpieces need to perk her up.

Form: 336049-

Forecasts

Barney's Bay (9/2), Big Narstie (5/1), Southwold (11/2), Masqool (15/2), Covert Mission (8/1), Rumnotred (8/1), Beautiful Crown (9/1), End Zone (12/1), English Spirit (14/1), Roman Dynasty (18/1), Mabre (28/1), Barneys Gift (50/1), Custard The Dragon (100/1), Ladypacksapunch (125/1)

BIG NARSTIE came good at the fourth attempt for Mick Appleby over 7f 11 days ago, and while he's not an easy ride, a 2 lb rise won't prevent a very bold follow-up bid. Rumnotred probably has a bigger performance in him and he's feared most, with End Zone another to consider.