16:15 Carlisle

Monday 6 February 2023

All13:3514:1014:4515:1515:4516:1516:45

Happy Birthday Tony And Nora Wootten Handicap Chase

Off time: 16:19 | Winning time: 6m 33.79s

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Selected odds by:

Another Emotion^b⁴²

Age: 11| Weight: 12-2| J: B S Hughes| T: W Greatrex| OR: 107| CD

25/1

Dual chase winner (at around 3m) in early-2021. Best effort last season when second at Hereford in February but hard to draw many positives from his 4 subsequent outings (pulled up the last twice). Risky.

Form: 72P-9PP

Speak Of The Devil^p,t¹⁰⁹

Age: 10| Weight: 12-0| J: S Mulqueen| T: Miss Lucinda V Russell| OR: 105| DWS

28/1

Runner-up here and at Doncaster off higher marks last season but he has offered little on his last 3 starts, including on return here in October. Needs to bounce back in a major way following a wind op.

Form: 84257-3

Fix At All³⁴

Age: 7| Weight: 11-13| J: Luca Morgan| T: M Scudamore| OR: 104

18/1

Winning hurdler/chaser in France but record for current yard is disappointing and hopes pinned on this step up in trip helping to spark a revival.

Form: 365-335

Chris Cool²¹

Age: 7| Weight: 11-13| J: Henry Brooke| T: O Greenall & J Guerriero| OR: 104

11/2

Made a successful debut over hurdles at Bangor in 2021 and best effort since when fourth in a 10-runner Hereford handicap (21.7f, heavy) 3 weeks ago. Worth a second look off 2 lb lower now upped in trip for this chase debut.

Form: 515-0F4

Along Long Story³⁹

Age: 7| Weight: 11-12| J: Miss Becky Smith| T: Micky Hammond| OR: 103| D

125/1

Winner of Thurles maiden hunter last spring but no real impact both subsequent starts for Sean Aherne, and his reappearance effort at Kelso for new connections was anything but inspiring.

Form: 341-50P

Dawn Raider^p,t¹¹

Age: 11| Weight: 11-12| J: K Brogan| T: G Hanmer| OR: 103| C

12/1

Successful here and Leicester last term and bettered low-key reappearance when fifth of 10 at Wetherby (24.2f, soft) recently. Down another 3 lb and not without hope now eased in class.

Form: 23-4495

Trevelyn's Corn^t⁴²

Age: 10| Weight: 11-11| J: Emma Smith-Chaston⁽³⁾| T: Micky Hammond| OR: 102| D

10/1

Expensive point recruit who went the wrong way for Paul Nicholls after winning a maiden hurdle at Wincanton in March 2019. Runner-up twice in this sphere last spring, including here, but not in the same form since returning to action in December.

Form: 4522-4P

Who's In The Box^p⁴²

Age: 9| Weight: 11-9| J: Lewis Stones⁽⁵⁾| T: N Kent| OR: 100| D

14/1

Winless since 2020 and there were no signs of a revival when down the field in a first-time visor (discarded here) at Market Rasen last time. Cheekpieces refitted.

Form: P2-6FP9

Aire Valley Lad⁴²

Age: 9| Weight: 11-7| J: Ross Chapman| T: J Parkinson & S Smith| OR: 98| BF| D

6/1

Belatedly opened chase account at the twelfth time of asking at Wetherby in December. Took little interest back at that venue 3 weeks later, adding to what is a rather patchy profile, and clearly isn't one for maximum faith.

Form: 256210

Patient Owner³⁷

Age: 8| Weight: 11-3| J: David Noonan| T: Henry Oliver| OR: 94

7/4

Yet to win a race of any description but he has relatively low mileage and chase debut second at Uttoxeter (3m, heavy) represented a step forward. That form looks solid (third and fourth have both win since) and a bold show is on the cards.

Form: 6366-52

Kalaharry^p1³⁰

Age: 11| Weight: 11-0| J: Craig Nichol| T: Ewan Whillans| OR: 91| D

33/1

Has slipped to an attractive mark, now 23 lb below that off which he gained sole chase success to date at Hexham in May 2021. Little impact so far this season but interesting to see if the addition of cheekpieces help spark a return to form.

Form: 63-P066

Cudgel^t²⁴

Age: 10| Weight: 10-4| J: C O'Farrell| T: J Walton| OR: 81| D

25/1

All 4 wins gained at Hexham, most recently over fences last March. Would have a serious chance off this mark if on-song but has a fair bit to prove having performed poorly on both appearances this season.

Form: 15-3U05

To The Limit^b²²

Age: 8| Weight: 10-2| J: Sean Quinlan| T: W Coltherd| OR: 77

7/1

Perhaps forutnate to have won 4-runner handicap chase at Kelso (23.4f, heavy) last month, getting up late after becoming outpaced. Hadn't been in much form prior to that victory and he'll need to up his game to follow up here.

Form: PP8731

Espoir Moriviere^v1²²

Age: 9| Weight: 10-2| J: Dylan Johnston⁽⁷⁾| T: R Dobbin| OR: 74| D

25/1

Twice a winner over hurdles and solid efforts in this sphere prior to misfiring the last twice, latterly last of 4 in the Kelso handicap chase won by To The Limit. 5 lb 'wrong' at the weights.

Form: 24-72P4

Forecasts

Patient Owner (7/4), Chris Cool (11/2), Aire Valley Lad (6/1), To The Limit (7/1), Trevelyn's Corn (10/1), Dawn Raider (12/1), Who's In The Box (14/1), Fix At All (18/1), Cudgel (25/1), Another Emotion (25/1), Espoir Moriviere (25/1), Speak Of The Devil (28/1), Kalaharry (33/1), Along Long Story (125/1)

The one with the most compelling claims based on recent evidence is PATIENT OWNER, who made a positive start over fences upped to 3m last month at Uttoxeter where he found just one too good. A 2 lb rise for that looks very fair indeed, particularly in light of the fact that the third and fourth from that race have both won since. Chris Cool could have a part to play if taking to fences at the first attempt, while Dawn Raider is capable of going well off this mark.