20:00 Southwell

Tuesday 17 January 2023

All17:0017:3018:0018:3019:0019:3020:0020:30

Spreadex Sports First Goalscorer Insurance Handicap (Div 2)

Off time: 20:01 | Winning time: 1m 26.62s

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Selected odds by:

(4)

Ri Na Farraige¹⁸⁷

Age: 6| Weight: 9-11| J: O J Orr| T: R A Fahey| OR: 67

20/1

Thrice-raced maiden on Flat. Fair bumper winner. 9/1, third of 7 in minor event at Hamilton (8.3f, good to firm), nearest finish. Off 6 months. Return to the AW should suit now handicapping.

Form: 673-

(8)

Abnaa^b⁵

Age: 6| Weight: 9-9| J: Mark Winn⁽⁵⁾| T: A Brittain| OR: 65| D

8/1

Thirteen runs since last win in 2022. 20/1, eighth of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (8f) 5 days ago, hampered. Not easy to make a case for.

Form: 2847-58

(6)

Homer Stokes⁴⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 9-9| J: Gianluca Sanna⁽⁷⁾| T: T D Barron| OR: 65| CD

6/1

C&D winner. 11/2, good third of 14 in handicap at Newcastle (7.1f) 46 days ago, rallying. Ought to be a factor again from the same mark.

Form: 770753-

(1)

Surprise Picture^v¹⁹

Age: 5| Weight: 9-8| J: Billy Garritty| T: K Dalgleish| OR: 64

9/2

Thirteen runs since last win in 2022. 11/1, tenth of 14 in handicap at this course (6.1f) 19 days ago.

Form: 066450-

(2)

Bond Boy¹²

Age: 4| Weight: 9-8| J: K Stott| T: M Appleby| OR: 64| D

3/1

Ungenuine type. 5/4, career best when winning 12-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 12 days ago, driven out. Not yet fully exposed over 7f.

Form: 5972-41

(7)

Martin's Brig^b³²

Age: 6| Weight: 9-5| J: D Allan| T: D Thompson| OR: 61| CD

6/1

Three wins from 12 runs last year. 13/8, won 14-runner handicap at this C&D 32 days ago, driven out. Up further 4 lb but clearly in excellent order as he chases a hat-trick.

Form: 228811-

(3)

Crocodile Power¹⁸

Age: 5| Weight: 9-4| J: Jason Hart| T: J & S Quinn| OR: 60| BF| D

6/1

Latest win at Wolverhampton in November. 11/4, creditable fourth of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 18 days ago. Pretty consistent at this level.

Form: 226154-

(5)

Nat Love³⁵

Age: 6| Weight: 9-3| J: Joey Haynes| T: I Furtado| OR: 59| D

12/1

9/1, respectable seventh of 13 in handicap at this course (8.1f) 35 days ago, well positioned. Eased 2 lb so not taken lightly.

Form: 08/4367-

(9)

Giselles Izzy¹²

Age: 4| Weight: 9-1| J: A Mullen| T: I Jardine| OR: 57| C

11/1

Course winner. Winner here in December. Creditable 2¼ lengths fifth of 12 to Bond Boy in handicap (11/1) at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 12 days ago, running on.

Form: 85831-5

Forecasts

Bond Boy (3/1), Surprise Picture (9/2), Crocodile Power (6/1), Martin's Brig (6/1), Homer Stokes (6/1), Abnaa (8/1), Giselles Izzy (11/1), Nat Love (12/1), Ri Na Farraige (20/1)

This looks a reasonable race for the grade with BOND BOY just about the most persuasive option over his optimum trip representing a yard in terrific form. Martin's Brig is in pursuit of the hat-trick so has to command respect, with Crocodile Power another to consider.