14:15 Kempton

Friday 6 January 2023

All12:4513:1513:4514:1514:4515:1515:45

Unibet Support Safe Gambling Novice Stakes

Off time: 14:17 | Winning time: 2m 34.43s

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Selected odds by:

(2)

Aris De Crat²⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 9-7| J: Darragh Keenan| T: L Allan

150/1

First run since leaving Rebecca Menzies when last of 9 in bumper at Southwell (15.8f, good to soft, 125/1) 26 days ago. Easy enough to look elsewhere as he makes his Flat debut.

Form:

(5)

Independence²²²

Age: 7| Weight: 9-7| J: William Carson| T: B Barr| OR: 67

22/1

10/3, creditable fourth of 10 in handicap hurdle at Fontwell (21.8f, good) when last seen 7 months ago. Fair on the Flat, not ideally placed on last outing in April. More needed back down in trip on return.

Form: 3534/45-

(6)

Jack The Savage³⁴

Age: 6| Weight: 9-7| J: Nicola Currie| T: L Horsfall

11/1

Fair winner of first of 2 starts in bumpers. 40/1, improved from Flat debut when third of 7 in minor event at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 34 days ago. Needs to build on that again.

Form: 53-

(1)

Jersey Gift⁶⁶²

Age: 5| Weight: 9-7| J: Hollie Doyle| T: J A Osborne| OR: 72

8/1

Thrice-raced maiden. Hinted at a bit better still when fourth of 8 in minor event at Wolverhampton (12.2f, 25/1) on last outing back in March 2021. Yard going well as he returns from 22 months off (has been gelded).

Form: 634/

(4)

Aztec Empire⁶⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 9-4| J: David Probert| T: A M Balding| BF

1/2

After 15 months off, very strong in the market (1/2) but beaten only by a good prospect when second of 11 in maiden at Southwell (12.1f) 66 days ago, clear of rest. Can go one better.

Form: 4/2-

(7)

Deadlock

Age: 4| Weight: 9-4| J: Joey Haynes| T: D M Simcock

10/1

€52,000 foal, 40,000 gns yearling, El Kabeir gelding. Dam unraced half-sister to smart 1¼m-1½m winner Raa Atoll. Could be capable of getting involved on debut.

Form:

(8)

Vienna Girl^h⁹

Age: 5| Weight: 9-2| J: T E Whelan| T: K Frost

33/1

Fair winning form in bumpers. 5/2, well-beaten fourth of 8 in novice at Catterick (15.7f, soft) on hurdles bow 9 days ago. Hood worn in bumpers returns for Flat debut. Others preferred.

Form:

(3)

Carzola³⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 8-13| J: Rossa Ryan| T: R M Beckett

6/1

9/1, showed more than first time up when fourth of 7 in minor event at Wolverhampton (12.2f) 34 days ago, keeping on. Open to further improvement and can go well.

Form: 44-

Forecasts

Aztec Empire (1/2), Carzola (6/1), Jersey Gift (8/1), Deadlock (10/1), Jack The Savage (11/1), Independence (22/1), Vienna Girl (33/1), Aris De Crat (150/1)

AZTEC EMPIRE couldn't manage to land the odds on his return from a lengthy absence at Southwell, but he was beaten only by a good prospect and pulled clear of the rest of the field. He can get off the mark this time around, with Carzola the one who can give him most to think about. Deadlock is the pick of the remainder.