16:15 Kempton

Monday 28 November 2022

All13:4514:1514:4515:1515:4516:1516:4517:1517:45

British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Off time: 16:16 | Winning time: 1m 27.54s

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Selected odds by:

(10)

Balance Play³³

Age: 2| Weight: 9-4| J: Rossa Ryan| T: R M Beckett

18/5

3/1, faded in the closing stages when fourth of 10 in maiden (3/1) at Nottingham (8.3f, heavy) on debut 33 days ago. Down in trip. Likely to do better.

Form: 4

(1)

Ceilidh¹⁵³

Age: 2| Weight: 9-4| J: Hayley Turner| T: H Morrison

66/1

10/1, fifth of 8 in maiden at Chepstow (7f, good) on debut in June. Will need to leave that well behind on return.

Form: 5

(4)

Clarko's Back²⁸

Age: 2| Weight: 9-4| J: Thomas Greatrex| T: J A Osborne

25/1

Twice-raced maiden. 40/1, fifth of 13 in maiden at this course (1m) 28 days ago. Probably more one for handicaps after this.

Form: 85

(8)

Dragon Icon

Age: 2| Weight: 9-4| J: David Egan| T: R Varian

4/1

360,000 gns Lope De Vega colt. Brother to Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf winner Aunt Pearl and half-brother to 1¼m/10.2f winner Cape Cavalli. Makes obvious paper appeal.

Form:

(12)

Elnajmm

Age: 2| Weight: 9-4| J: A J Farragher⁽³⁾| T: W J Haggas

3/1

Foaled February 16. Sea The Stars colt. Dam, 7f winner, sister to very smart winner up to 1m Lucky Nine. Noteworthy newcomer.

Form:

(14)

Graham³⁸

Age: 2| Weight: 9-4| J: S M Levey| T: R Hannon

33/1

20/1, eighth of 13 in novice at Newbury (1m, heavy) on debut 38 days ago. Should improve.

Form: 8

(6)

James Bradley

Age: 2| Weight: 9-4| J: Joshua Bryan| T: C Wallis

125/1

170,000 gns foal, €50,000 yearling. Sea The Stars gelding. Dam unraced out of useful winner up to 8.5f (2-y-o 7f winner) Soon, herself close relative of Derby runner-up Walk In The Park. Likely best watched.

Form:

(5)

Savvy Brilliance²¹

Age: 2| Weight: 9-4| J: Daniel Muscutt| T: S Woods

10/1

6/1, showed a bit when 4 lengths fourth of 11 in maiden at Wolverhampton (7f) on debut 21 days ago. Open to progress.

Form: 4

(3)

Solution

Age: 2| Weight: 9-4| J: Hector Crouch| T: R M Beckett

14/1

€45,000 New Approach gelding. Half-brother to winner up to 1¼m Deron Kit. Dam unraced sister to high-class 1¼m (Prix de l'Opera)/11f winner Lady Marian. Interesting to see how he compares in the market to Balance Play.

Form:

(2)

Brightly

Age: 2| Weight: 8-13| J: K T O'Neill| T: J & T Gosden

3/1

€200,000 Sea The Stars filly. Half-sister to French 8.5f winner Poliana. Dam unraced half-sister to multiple Group/Grade 1 winner up to 1½m (including Oaks) Midday. Likely type for top yard.

Form:

(7)

Scarlet⁷⁵

Age: 2| Weight: 8-13| J: Rhiain Ingram⁽³⁾| T: A G Newcombe

250/1

13/2, seventh of 8 in novice at Beverley (7.4f, good to soft, 13/2) on debut 75 days ago. First run for yard after leaving Kevin Philippart De Foy.

Form: 7

(9)

Sea Of Thieves

Age: 2| Weight: 8-13| J: Saffie Osborne| T: E Walker

40/1

Cracksman filly. Dam, French 7f winner, closely related to smart winner up to 6.5f Arecibo. Market should help guide to expectations with this one on debut.

Form:

Non-Runners

(11)

Nails Murphy²⁰

Weight: 9-8| Age: 2

T: R Hughes J: A Kirby

(13)

Stage Show³⁸

Weight: 9-4| Age: 2

T: H & R Charlton J: Non Runner

Forecasts

Elnajmm (3/1), Brightly (3/1), Balance Play (18/5), Dragon Icon (4/1), Nails Murphy (11/2), Savvy Brilliance (10/1), Stage Show (12/1), Solution (14/1), Clarko's Back (25/1), Graham (33/1), Sea Of Thieves (40/1), Ceilidh (66/1), James Bradley (125/1), Scarlet (250/1)

A few choicely-bred newcomers from leading stables so the market will be interesting but NAILS MURPHY did run to quite a good level on debut so might be up to defying a penalty. Dragon Icon, Brightly and Elnajmm are the first timers who make the most appeal, while Ralph Beckett's Balance Play is a likely improver on the back of his Nottingham debut fourth.