17:10 Doncaster

Friday 21 October 2022

All13:1013:4514:2014:5515:3016:0516:3817:10

Think Smart At Vertem Handicap

Off time: 17:11 | Winning time: 2m 18.5s

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(13)

Mustazeed¹³

Age: 4| Weight: 10-1| J: Kaiya Fraser⁽⁷⁾| T: C F Wall| OR: 76| CD

7/4

Won this race a year ago from 5 lb lower. Restricted to just 3 run over the autumn, merely plugging on at York, but this does represent a big drop in class.

Form: 451-029

(6)

The Flying Ginger³⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 9-13| J: Jason Hart| T: R Fell & S Murray| OR: 74| D

16/1

Over a year since her last win and she's essentially falling in the weights without looking ready to take advantage.

Form: 506847

(14)

Aldbourne⁸^{(ex 6)}

Age: 3| Weight: 9-12| J: Hayley Turner| T: Harry Eustace| OR: 71| D

4/1

Proved a revelation encountering heavy ground for first time when comfortably winning 16-runner handicap at Nottingham (10.2f). Duly followed up having escaped a penalty at Brighton but life gets quite a bit harder now from revised mark.

Form: 779511

(7)

Swift Tuttle¹¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-11| J: R Havlin| T: B J Meehan| OR: 76

14/1

Stiff mark on what he achieved in his qualifying runs and fared about as well as could be expected when eighth of 13 at Windsor 11 days ago. Needs to build on that.

Form: 7278

(3)

Shahnaz^p²⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 9-7| J: Laura Coughlan⁽⁵⁾| T: G Tutty| OR: 72| BF

16/1

Freshened up by a break when gaining third win of the summer at Carlisle in August. Excellent second at Pontefract and latest Hamilton run confirms she's still in good nick. Isn't really crying out for this step back up in trip, though.

Form: 415125

(10)

Samuel Spade²⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 9-7| J: D Tudhope| T: D O'Meara| OR: 72| D

7/1

Relished step up to 10.5f when off the mark at Haydock in August. Mid-field both starts since but in good hands and a strongly-run race would help his cause.

Form: 205176

(8)

Sharp Distinction^p1¹⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-6| J: Stefano Cherchi⁽³⁾| T: Miss A Murphy| OR: 71

20/1

Shaped well on first run since leaving Dean Ivory when fourth of 9 in handicap at Sandown (10f, heavy) last month. Didn't seem to see it out over 11f at Kempton 16 days ago and eases slightly in trip back on turf fitted with cheekpieces.

Form: 632-947

(5)

Menelaus¹⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-6| J: Joanna Mason| T: M & D Easterby| OR: 71

22/1

Strong at the finish when third on handicap debut over 1m at Ayr last month. Ridden differently and folded tamely fitted with cheekpieces at Pontefract but well worth another chance.

Form: 94430

(20)

Wots The Wifi Code^p¹⁸

Age: 5| Weight: 9-5| J: O McSweeney⁽⁵⁾| T: T Coyle & K Wood| OR: 66| CD

14/1

Well prepared to make a successful reappearance over C&D in March. Placed next 2 starts but lightly raced and pretty disappointing since.

Form: 237490

(9)

Ebony Maw¹⁵

Age: 5| Weight: 9-4| J: P J McDonald| T: Ewan Whillans| OR: 65| D

14/1

Twelve runs since last win in 2020 but down markedly in the weights and best effort this season when second at Ayr a fortnight ago. Task is to now back that up.

Form: 763642

(18)

Bristol Hill^h²⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 9-4| J: D Nolan| T: K Frost| OR: 65| D

66/1

AW maiden winner in France. Winless in 6 starts in Britain for Ivan Furtado and showed nothing for new connections at Redcar 3 weeks ago.

Form: 775499

(11)

Carlos Felix¹⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 9-0| J: Rossa Ryan| T: P A Kirby| OR: 61

40/1

On a very lengthy losing sequence and doesn't help himself out of the stalls, so easy-enough to look elsewhere.

Form: 378080

(1)

Red Derek²⁸

Age: 6| Weight: 8-12| J: K T O'Neill| T: L Williamson| OR: 59| D

9/1

Down to a career-low mark and runner-up for the fourth time at Haydock a month ago over (14f). Nudged up 3 lb for that but should be in the mix again with a repeat.

Form: 252752

(12)

Raiff¹⁷

Age: 6| Weight: 8-12| J: D Swift| T: P A Kirby| OR: 59

100/1

Made his reappearance as late as September and very few positives to draw from a trio of outings on the AW.

Form: 832-789

Non-Runners

(16)

Grand Libya³¹⁴

Weight: 9-10| Age: 3

T: Tom Clover J: J Mitchell

(4)

Flylikeaneagle²³

Weight: 9-9| Age: 5

T: Miss Lucinda V Russell J: Jim Crowley

(17)

Morning Sun⁵⁵

Weight: 9-9| Age: 3

T: Sir Michael Stoute J: R L Moore

(15)

Can Can Girl²³

Weight: 9-9| Age: 4

T: D H Brown J: Dylan Hogan

(2)

Red Astaire¹⁸

Weight: 8-12| Age: 3

T: T D Easterby J: D Allan

(19)

Shabs¹¹

Weight: 8-5| Age: 3

T: Martin Smith J: J Quinn

Forecasts

Mustazeed (7/4), Aldbourne (4/1), Morning Sun (6/1), Samuel Spade (7/1), Grand Libya (8/1), Red Derek (9/1), Flylikeaneagle (10/1), Wots The Wifi Code (14/1), Swift Tuttle (14/1), Ebony Maw (14/1), The Flying Ginger (16/1), Shahnaz (16/1), Sharp Distinction (20/1), Can Can Girl (20/1), Red Astaire (20/1), Menelaus (22/1), Shabs (25/1), Carlos Felix (40/1), Bristol Hill (66/1), Raiff (100/1)

MORNING SUN looks a typical slow burner for Sir Michael Stoute and having shaped like a stayer throughout his career, he can take a leap forward tackling this trip for the first time. Aldbourne arrives on a roll but this asks a different question from his revised mark, so Flylikeaneagle and Mustazeed are feared most.