15:30 Tipperary

Monday 3 October 2022

All13:4514:2014:5515:3016:0516:4017:10

Tipperary Races Handicap Hurdle (80-95)

Off time: 15:30 | Winning time: 6m 7.08s

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Selected odds by:

Cher Why Not⁴^{(ex 7)}

Age: 10| Weight: 11-12| J: Cian Quirke⁽⁷⁾| T: T Doyle| OR: 85| D

13/8

1 win from 1 run this season. Won 15-runner handicap hurdle (25/1) at Clonmel (24.2f, good to soft) 4 days ago, driven out. Carries penalty. Enters calculations.

Form: 2120/9-1

Stellar Symphony^t³⁰

Age: 7| Weight: 11-12| J: Darragh O'Keeffe| T: E Kent| OR: 92

33/1

9/2, bit below form seventh of 12 in novice hurdle at Wexford (24f, good to soft) 30 days ago. Tongue strap back on. Needs a couple of these to falter.

Form: 255P37

Tullyhogue Fort^t¹⁰

Age: 6| Weight: 11-12| J: Mr P J O'Neill⁽⁷⁾| T: John F O'Neill| OR: 92| D

8/1

Career best when winning 17-runner handicap hurdle at Listowel (24f, good, 12/1) 10 days ago, shaken up to assert. Has good chance on form.

Form: 406641

Killinure Lass¹⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 11-11| J: Mr E Mahon⁽⁷⁾| T: B McMahon| OR: 91| D

8/1

Winner in hurdle at Kilbeggan in June. 24¼ lengths sixth of 17 to Tullyhogue Fort in handicap hurdle (15/2) at Listowel (24f, good) 10 days ago. Merits consideration.

Form: 1P2096

Silver Planeur^t⁹

Age: 10| Weight: 11-11| J: Gary Noonan⁽⁷⁾| T: E McNamara| OR: 91| D

22/1

Below form seventh of 16 in handicap hurdle (18/1) at Listowel (20f, good) 9 days ago, needing stiffer test. Has fallen to a workable mark.

Form: 0P-45P7

Chief Seattle¹⁰

Age: 7| Weight: 11-8| J: M J M O'Sullivan⁽⁷⁾| T: J P Ryan| OR: 88

16/1

Latest win in chase at Ballinrobe in September. 7/1, pulled up in handicap hurdle at Listowel (24f, good) 10 days ago won by Tullyhogue Fort.

Form: 25515P

Problem Solver⁸¹

Age: 6| Weight: 11-8| J: S O'Callaghan⁽⁷⁾| T: A Leahy| OR: 88

22/1

Unreliable sort. 18/1, fourteenth of 16 in handicap hurdle at Killarney (20f, good) 81 days ago. Others more persuasive.

Form: 47684-0

Citizen's Army^p1⁹

Age: 7| Weight: 11-7| J: Mr Alan O'Sullivan⁽⁷⁾| T: E M O'Sullivan| OR: 87| D

18/1

33/1, eighth of 18 in handicap hurdle at Listowel (20f, good) 9 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time.

Form: 8690-88

Blossom De Mai¹⁷

Age: 5| Weight: 11-6| J: J P O'Sullivan⁽⁵⁾| T: P J Rothwell| OR: 86

80/1

80/1, eleventh of 15 in novice hurdle at Downpatrick (18.8f, good) 17 days ago. Back up in trip. Makes handicap hurdle debut.

Form: 2-580P0

Trip To Milan²¹⁴

Age: 7| Weight: 11-5| J: G Brouder⁽⁵⁾| T: S Braddish| OR: 85

80/1

Lightly-raced maiden. 28/1, fell in handicap hurdle at Clonmel (24f, heavy) too far out to suggest outcome. Off 7 months.

Form: 0/00PF-

First Earl^b1,t⁶²

Age: 8| Weight: 11-4| J: S D Torrens| T: M Winters| OR: 84

50/1

Eighth of 12 in handicap chase at Roscommon (24.3f, soft, 28/1) 62 days ago. Switches from chase to hurdles. Blinkered for 1st time.

Form: 0-09768

Ned The Smith^t¹⁵

Age: 6| Weight: 11-4| J: Sean O'Keeffe| T: E M O'Sullivan| OR: 84

80/1

Lightly-raced maiden. Tongue strap on for 1st time, sixth of 10 in novice hurdle at Listowel (24f, good, 66/1) 15 days ago.

Form: P8-08P6

A Dublin Job^p1⁷⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 11-2| J: E Walsh⁽⁵⁾| T: Ciaran Murphy| OR: 82

4/1

15/2, pulled up in handicap hurdle at Ballinrobe (21.6f, good) 76 days ago won by Chief Seattle, soon beaten. First run for yard after leaving Shane Kieran Ryder. Cheekpieces on 1st time.

Form: 060-03P

One More Lass^h¹¹⁰

Age: 8| Weight: 11-2| J: C Brassil⁽⁵⁾| T: Ms M Flynn| OR: 82

40/1

Creditable eighth of 13 in novice hurdle at Wexford (20.4f, good to soft, 28/1) 110 days ago. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Needs a couple of these to falter.

Form: 008-P38

Avec Espoir⁹

Age: 9| Weight: 11-0| J: Sam Ewing| T: V T O'Brien| OR: 80| C

9/1

Latest win in chase at Wexford in August. Below form tenth of 17 in handicap chase at Listowel (24f, good, 22/1) 9 days ago. Switches from chase to hurdles. Not taken lightly.

Form: 40P130

Fainche^b,t¹⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 11-0| J: K C Sexton| T: E Sheehy| OR: 80

25/1

Remains a maiden after 16 NH runs. 24 lengths fifth of 17 to Tullyhogue Fort in handicap hurdle (28/1) at Listowel (24f, good) 10 days ago.

Form: 9P0055

Knockraha Boss⁵⁷¹

Age: 13| Weight: 11-0| J: M P O'Connor⁽⁵⁾| T: R A Foley| OR: 80| D

80/1

One win from 49 NH runs. Fifteen runs since last win in 2020. 22/1, tenth of 14 in handicap hurdle at Thurles (16.2f, heavy). Off 19 months. Significantly up in trip.

Form: 40PP50/

Oh'herewego^p¹²⁵

Age: 13| Weight: 11-0| J: Donagh Meyler| T: V T O'Brien| OR: 80| CD

33/1

C&D winner. Fourteen runs since last win in 2019. Eighth of 11 in handicap hurdle (25/1) at Ballinrobe (25f, good to soft) 125 days ago. Needs a couple of these to falter.

Form: 00P/09-8

Secret Cargo^b¹⁹

Age: 8| Weight: 11-13| J: Niall Moore⁽⁷⁾| T: P Fenton| OR: 93

14/1

Blinkered for 1st time, career best when winning 8-runner handicap chase at Sligo (21.2f, good to soft, 10/1) 19 days ago, driven out. Switches from chase to hurdles. Can make presence felt. RESERVE.

Form: 661381

Non-Runners

Bearwithmenow¹⁰

Weight: 11-8| Age: 5

T: J P Flavin J: D E Mullins

Irish Reports⁴²

Weight: 11-7| Age: 5

T: D Queally J: D L Queally

Follow The Crowd⁶²

Weight: 12-1| Age: 7

T: A A Howard J: Reserve 1

Red Finch³⁶⁸

Weight: 11-0| Age: 8

T: T Doyle J: Reserve 2

Forecasts

Cher Why Not (13/8), A Dublin Job (4/1), Killinure Lass (8/1), Tullyhogue Fort (8/1), Avec Espoir (9/1), Bearwithmenow (12/1), Secret Cargo (14/1), Chief Seattle (16/1), Citizen's Army (18/1), Problem Solver (22/1), Silver Planeur (22/1), Fainche (25/1), Stellar Symphony (33/1), Oh'herewego (33/1), Irish Reports (33/1), One More Lass (40/1), First Earl (50/1), Blossom De Mai (80/1), Trip To Milan (80/1), Ned The Smith (80/1), Knockraha Boss (80/1)

Many of these have a bit to prove at present but that remark doesn't apply to recent winners CHER WHY NOT and Tullyhogue Fort. A 6 lb rise for the latter's Listowel success looks fair but he appears to be at his best on a sound surface, whereas Cher Why Not is proven on slow ground and looked on good terms with himself when scoring at Clonmel 4 days ago. The lightly-raced Irish Reports is one to keep an eye on, while Follow The Crowd will be a live danger if he gets a run.