20:00 Chelmsford City

Thursday 29 September 2022

All17:2518:0018:3019:0019:3020:0020:30

Illuminate Christmas Ball Handicap

Off time: 20:00 | Winning time: 57.7s

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Selected odds by:

(9)

High Velocity²⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-13| J: Rossa Ryan| T: J Tate| OR: 87| CD

6/1

C&D winner. 3 wins from 8 runs this year. 4/1, career best when winning 8-runner handicap at Southwell (5f) 29 days ago. More on his plate having been raised 4 lb.

Form: 395561

(6)

Lucky Ava³³

Age: 4| Weight: 9-10| J: N Callan| T: C Allen| OR: 83| CD

13/2

Three-time C&D winner, the latest in June. Seventh of 8 in handicap (9/2) at Windsor (5.1f, good) 33 days ago. Others more persuasive on balance.

Form: 379147

(7)

Astro Jakk^b⁷

Age: 6| Weight: 9-9| J: Liam Wright⁽⁷⁾| T: Darryll Holland| OR: 82| D

40/1

Eighth of 9 in handicap at Southwell (5f, 50/1) 7 days ago and he's hard to warm to at present.

Form: 644088

(5)

Nelson Gay^b⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 9-8| J: A Kirby| T: R Hughes| OR: 81| D

6/4

Blinkered for 1st time, creditable second of 8 in handicap at this course (6f, 9/1) 5 days ago. Very much the one to beat back at 5f off the same mark.

Form: 554062

(1)

Miss Nay Never¹³

Age: 4| Weight: 9-7| J: Jason Hart| T: J & S Quinn| OR: 80| D

7/1

19 lengths last of 18 to Gale Force Maya in listed race at Ayr (5.5f, good, 100/1) 13 days ago, finding little. This is more realistic and she's in with an each-way shout.

Form: 659510

(4)

Shanko^t,v¹⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: Ray Dawson| T: S C Williams| OR: 79| CD

9/1

C&D winner. 25/1 and tongue strap on for 1st time, creditable fifth of 10 in handicap at Yarmouth (5.2f, good) 16 days ago. Looks vulnerable.

Form: 039665

(8)

Autumn Flight⁸⁵

Age: 6| Weight: 9-4| J: Alistair Rawlinson| T: R M H Cowell| OR: 77| CD

40/1

C&D winner. 16/1, last of 7 in handicap at Bath (5f, good to firm) 85 days ago. Risky proposition at present.

Form: 357-777

(2)

The Defiant^t¹⁶

Age: 6| Weight: 9-1| J: Joshua Bryan| T: D Steele| OR: 74| D

11/1

Four wins from 14 runs this year. Latest win at Lingfield in August. 8/1, last of 10 in handicap at Yarmouth (5.2f, good) 16 days ago and will probably find a few too good once more.

Form: 353120

(11)

Yimou⁹

Age: 7| Weight: 8-12| J: Charlie Bennett| T: D K Ivory| OR: 71| D

10/1

Twenty-three runs since last win in 2020. 5/1, creditable second of 11 in handicap at Lingfield (6f, AW) 9 days ago. Enters calculations.

Form: 450352

(3)

Han Solo Berger^b1¹⁶

Age: 7| Weight: 8-8| J: Saffie Osborne⁽³⁾| T: R M H Cowell| OR: 67| D

18/1

Sixth of 10 in handicap (6/1) at Yarmouth (5.2f, good) 16 days ago. Blinkers on 1st time and will be a threat if he puts his best foot forward.

Form: 046646

Non-Runners

(10)

Obtain²⁶

Weight: 9-6| Age: 3

T: Alice Haynes J: K T O'Neill

Forecasts

Nelson Gay (6/4), Obtain (4/1), High Velocity (6/1), Lucky Ava (13/2), Miss Nay Never (7/1), Shanko (9/1), Yimou (10/1), The Defiant (11/1), Han Solo Berger (18/1), Astro Jakk (40/1), Autumn Flight (40/1)

Having returned to form with blinkers replacing cheekpieces over 6f here recently, NELSON GAY is likely to prove a tough nut to crack. Indeed, dropping back to the minimum trip looks a good move and he remains 3 lb below his last winning mark. Last-time-out winners High Velocity and Obtain are bound to attract support, but bigger threats may be posed by Yimou and Miss Nay Never.