19:20 Tipperary

Thursday 30 June 2022

All17:0017:3518:1018:4519:2019:5020:20

Tipperary Handicap Hurdle

Off time: 19:22 | Winning time: 5m 4.4s

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Selected odds by:

Guiri^p²⁷

Age: 7| Weight: 11-12| J: C G O'Dwyer⁽⁷⁾| T: Mrs J Harrington| OR: 120| BF

13/2

2/1, creditable second of 8 in handicap hurdle at Down Royal (20.4f, good to soft) 27 days ago, held when untidy last. Should give another good account.

Form: 1/6965-2

First Touch⁶⁴

Age: 10| Weight: 11-10| J: D J McInerney| T: D Commins| OR: 118

25/1

Latest win in hurdle at Clonmel in October. 125/1, respectable seventh of 24 in handicap hurdle at Punchestown (19.8f, good to soft) 64 days ago.

Form: 412107-

Kingston Retreat²⁶

Age: 7| Weight: 11-7| J: D E Mullins| T: S O O'Brien| OR: 115

9/1

4/1, career best when winning 12-runner handicap hurdle at Tramore (21.6f, good to soft) 26 days ago, easily. Should give another good account.

Form: 0U9-441

Smitty Bacall²⁷²

Age: 11| Weight: 11-7| J: S F O'Keeffe| T: J P Flavin| OR: 115| CD

28/1

C&D winner. Latest win in hurdle here in July. 14/1, eighth of 11 in handicap hurdle at Gowran (20f, good). Off 9 months. First run for yard after leaving J. R. Barry.

Form: 316588-

Varna Gold⁸³

Age: 5| Weight: 11-6| J: J G Gilligan⁽⁷⁾| T: P J Gilligan| OR: 114

50/1

Twelve runs since last win in 2020. Below form seventh of 12 in handicap hurdle (5/1) at Ballinrobe (17.6f, good to soft) 83 days ago. Others preferred.

Form: 2B5767-

Merry Poppins¹⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 11-5| J: D J O'Keeffe| T: J Motherway| OR: 113| C

10/1

Course winner. 3/1, creditable fifth of 10 in handicap hurdle at Roscommon (20.6f, good) 16 days ago, staying on gradually having not jumped with much confidence. Each-way possibilities.

Form: 3F037-5

Vadaly⁴⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 11-5| J: P Townend| T: W P Mullins| OR: 119

9/1

14/1, shaped better than distance beaten suggests when eighth of 14 in handicap hurdle at Killarney (22.2f, good to soft) 45 days ago, bad mistake 3 out and no threat thereafter. In excellent hands and she may well do better still.

Form: 1840-8

Clonbury Bridge^p,t⁵⁶

Age: 6| Weight: 11-4| J: L P Dempsey| T: J P Dempsey| OR: 112

80/1

25/1 and tongue strap on for 1st time, seventh of 10 in novice chase at this course (23.3f, good to soft) 56 days ago. Switches from chase to hurdles. Cheekpieces back on. Uphill task.

Form: 060F0-7

Nelly's Money^h,t¹⁵

Age: 9| Weight: 11-3| J: P T Enright| T: R Tyner| OR: 111

11/1

6/1, career best when winning 6-runner handicap chase at Wexford (16f, good to soft) 15 days ago. Switches from chase to hurdles. Up in trip. Merits consideration.

Form: 412F-21

Sweet Sting³²

Age: 7| Weight: 11-2| J: C M Quirke⁽⁷⁾| T: M J Bowe| OR: 110| C| D

9/1

Course winner. Latest win in hurdle here in May. Respectable fourth of 12 in handicap hurdle (13/2) at Punchestown (24f, good) 32 days ago. Needs a couple of these to falter.

Form: 985-814

Staging Post^t³⁴⁵

Age: 6| Weight: 11-1| J: P J O'Hanlon⁽⁵⁾| T: M M McNiff| OR: 109

50/1

Below form fourth of 8 in minor event hurdle at Ballinrobe (17.4f, good, 7/1). Off 11 months. Makes handicap hurdle debut.

Form: 530/144-

Nazine³¹

Age: 5| Weight: 11-0| J: M M McDonagh⁽⁵⁾| T: M J McDonagh| OR: 108

12/1

Thirteen runs since last win in 2021. Blinkered for 1st time, good third of 16 in handicap hurdle at Ballinrobe (18.5f, good to soft, 9/1) 31 days ago.

Form: U576-53

State Of Fame²⁴⁹

Age: 6| Weight: 10-12| J: J C Gainford| T: R O'Sullivan| OR: 106

20/1

Winner in bumper at Sligo in July. Creditable fourth of 14 in novice hurdle at Wexford (16f, heavy, 10/1). Off 8 months. Back up in trip. Should progress further now handicapping.

Form: 40/9154-

Navigator Jack²⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 10-10| J: Rachael Blackmore| T: E Griffin| OR: 104| D

12/1

11/1, career best when winning 15-runner handicap hurdle at Listowel (20f, soft) 24 days ago, responding well. Not taken lightly.

Form: 60848-1

The Big Chap³⁵

Age: 5| Weight: 10-9| J: K C Sexton| T: P W Flynn| OR: 103

17/2

Lightly-raced winner over hurdles. Career best when winning 17-runner handicap hurdle (10/3) at Limerick (19f, good to soft) 35 days ago, driven out. 8 lb higher mark shouldn't prevent another bold bid.

Form: 3666-1

Moving Water³⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 10-8| J: M P Walsh| T: D McDonogh| OR: 102| D

7/2

Promising type. 15/2, career best when winning 11-runner novice hurdle at Wexford (20f, good to soft) 36 days ago, easily. Makes handicap hurdle debut. Has good chance on form.

Form: 040-61

Lost Oscar⁵⁸

Age: 7| Weight: 10-6| J: S D Torrens| T: Peter Fahey| OR: 100

18/1

22/1, pulled up in novice chase at Ballinrobe (17f, good) on debut over fences 58 days ago, pulled up before 4 out. Switches from chase to hurdles and market may prove the best guide now.

Form: 0007/2-P

Non-Runners

Bang On Target⁴²

Weight: 10-4| Age: 6

T: L Fowler J: Reserve 1

Great Realisation⁵²

Weight: 10-2| Age: 4

T: P J Rothwell J: Reserve 2

Forecasts

Moving Water (7/2), Great Realisation (6/1), Guiri (13/2), Bang On Target (13/2), The Big Chap (17/2), Sweet Sting (9/1), Vadaly (9/1), Kingston Retreat (9/1), Merry Poppins (10/1), Nelly's Money (11/1), Navigator Jack (12/1), Nazine (12/1), Lost Oscar (18/1), State Of Fame (20/1), First Touch (25/1), Smitty Bacall (28/1), Staging Post (50/1), Varna Gold (50/1), Clonbury Bridge (80/1)

MOVING WATER showed improved form to run out an impressive winner of a Wexford novice over this sort of trip 5 weeks ago and, with further progress likely now handicapping, he earns the vote to follow up. This is competitive though, with The BIg Chap, Kingston Retreat and Nelly's Money others to consider.