16:45 Chelmsford City

Saturday 28 May 2022

All14:2515:0015:3516:1016:4517:2017:55

Ministry Of Sound Disco 20th August Handicap

Off time: 16:47 | Winning time: 1m 24.98s

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Selected odds by:

(9)

Mobashr^h¹⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 9-9| J: N Callan| T: M Botti| OR: 89

12/1

Latest win at Lingfield in December. Last of 7 in handicap at Thirsk (7f, good to firm, 17/2) 14 days ago, fading entering final 1f. Hood back on.

Form: 131-547

(2)

Tomouh^p,t¹⁹

Age: 5| Weight: 9-6| J: Louis Steward| T: S bin Suroor| OR: 86| BF| D

16/1

Proved to be a disappointment after 6 months off when last of 8 in handicap at Windsor (6f, good to firm, 7/2) 19 days ago, possibly amiss. Needs to bounce back quickly.

Form: 14224-8

(3)

Natural Path^p,t¹⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 9-6| J: Dylan Hogan| T: M L W Bell| OR: 86| D

3/1

11/1, ran creditably after 12 weeks off when third of 11 in handicap at Newmarket (7f, good) 14 days ago. Makes polytrack debut. Enters calculations.

Form: 50-7543

(1)

State Occasion²¹⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 9-4| J: Rossa Ryan| T: R M Beckett| OR: 84| BF

13/8

Signed off 2020 with 1m nursery win at Kempton in October. Placed all 4 starts last year and with some strong all-weather form to her name, she merits respect on return from 7 months off the track.

Form: 21/3233-

(7)

Free Solo^p¹⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 9-4| J: L Morris| T: J A Osborne| OR: 84

40/1

Useful in Ireland, although 13 runs since sole win in 2019. Disappointing on both starts for current yard which leaves him with plenty to prove. Cheekpieces back on.

Form: 2095-56

(6)

Dutch Decoy⁸

Age: 5| Weight: 9-0| J: J Fanning| T: C & M Johnston| OR: 80| CD

9/1

Got his head back in front at Lingfield earlier this month and by no means disgraced when fourth of 8 in handicap at Goodwood (7f, good to soft, 10/1) 8 days ago. He's not the most genuine of types, though, and current mark probably sums him up.

Form: 377154

(8)

Puerto De Vega^t¹⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 8-13| J: S De Sousa| T: S C Williams| OR: 79| D

8/1

Winner of two of his five starts on the AW since joining this yard. Unable to translate that form back on turf at Newbury just over a fortnight ago but has to be respected back on a synthetic surface.

Form: 3-13145

(4)

Ostilio¹⁰

Age: 7| Weight: 8-13| J: Grace McEntee⁽³⁾| T: P S McEntee| OR: 79| D

150/1

Snapped a long losing run dropped to a claimer at Lingfield in January (final run for Archie Watson), but below form back in handicaps for current yard since.

Form: 080800

(5)

Blue Flame¹⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 8-12| J: Rhys Clutterbuck⁽³⁾| T: E A L Dunlop| OR: 78| D

6/1

2 wins from 5 runs this year. Latest win at Lingfield in April. 9/1, ran at least as well in defeat when third of 11 in handicap at this C&D 14 days ago. Should be bang there in his current mood.

Form: 1-25113

Result Amended

Tomouh - Original Position 1st. Amended Position 2nd.

State Occasion - Original Position 2nd. Amended Position 1st.

Forecasts

State Occasion (13/8), Natural Path (3/1), Blue Flame (6/1), Puerto De Vega (8/1), Dutch Decoy (9/1), Mobashr (12/1), Tomouh (16/1), Free Solo (40/1), Ostilio (150/1)

PUERTO DE VEGA has done well on the all-weather since joining this yard, and with his latest effort on the turf easily excused, Stuart Williams' charge is fancied to regain the winning thread back on a synthetic surface. Blue Flame has taken his form up a notch in recent weeks so he's put forward as the main threat to the selection, ahead of State Occasion, who has some strong all-weather form to her name.