14:45 Southwell

Friday 17 December 2021

All11:5012:2513:0013:3514:1014:4515:2015:50

MansionBet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap (Div 1)

Off time: 14:45 | Winning time: 1m 30.44s

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Selected odds by:

(8)

Peachey Carnehan^v¹⁸

Age: 7| Weight: 9-7| J: Tyler Heard⁽⁵⁾| T: M Mullineaux| OR: 55| D

13/2

3 wins from 18 runs this year. Latest win at Wolverhampton in October. 17/2, creditable third of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 18 days ago, running on. Enters calculations.

Form: 840143

(14)

Masquerading¹⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 9-7| J: D Tudhope| T: B Smart| OR: 55

12/1

Lightly-raced maiden. 14/1, creditable eighth of 14 in handicap at Newcastle (6f) 17 days ago. Still unexposed and step up in trip should suit.

Form: 3548

(4)

Rocking Reg^p¹⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 9-6| J: George Rooke⁽³⁾| T: R A Teal| OR: 54

14/1

22/1, below form sixth of 12 in handicap at Kempton (8f) 18 days ago. Needs to bounce back.

Form: 5-74736

(7)

Mostallim^p²¹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-6| J: Jason Watson| T: M Appleby| OR: 54| D

6/1

3 wins from 18 runs this year. 18/1, ninth of 14 in handicap at Chelmsford City (8f) 21 days ago. Dropped 3 lb since last run but needs to get back on his game.

Form: 325279

(12)

Scota Bess⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: Josephine Gordon| T: P Winks| OR: 52

80/1

Last of 10 in maiden at this course (11.1f, 125/1) 7 days ago, not running on. Significantly back down in trip. Hard to make any sort of case for.

Form: 34-0080

(13)

Ballyvil⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 9-4| J: Jack Duern⁽³⁾| T: S A Harris| OR: 52

50/1

200/1, eleventh of 14 in handicap at this course (8.1f) 7 days ago, slowly away. Others more appealing.

Form: 9-09000

(9)

Vitesse Du Son¹⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 9-2| J: Joshua Bryan| T: M Pattinson| OR: 50| D

40/1

Eleventh of 12 in handicap (66/1) at Kempton (8f) 18 days ago. Has fallen to a workable mark, but not treatening to capitalise.

Form: 185400

(6)

Birdie Bowers¹⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 9-2| J: Callum Rodriguez| T: D Thompson| OR: 50

7/2

13/2, creditable third of 14 in handicap at Newcastle (6f) 17 days ago. Likely to be on the premises again in a weak race.

Form: 5-50433

(2)

Chantreys⁵²

Age: 4| Weight: 9-2| J: T Hamilton| T: I Furtado| OR: 50

10/3

Thrice-raced maiden. Sixth of 8 in minor event (12/1) at Newcastle (6f) 52 days ago, slowly away. Makes handicap debut. May do better.

Form: 356

(5)

Global Acclamation^b¹⁸

Age: 5| Weight: 9-1| J: J Mitchell| T: P R Chamings| OR: 49| D

11/1

Latest win at Lingfield in September. 11/2, below form fifth of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 18 days ago. Not discounted.

Form: 468135

(3)

Atrafan^b1³

Age: 7| Weight: 9-0| J: Paula Muir⁽³⁾| T: A D Brown| OR: 48

18/1

Form: 562800

(10)

Western Music¹⁰⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-13| J: Connor Beasley| T: T D Barron| OR: 47

8/1

Lightly-raced maiden. Eleventh of 12 in handicap (11/1) at Wolverhampton (7.2f). Off 109 days. Uphill task.

Form: 07-620

(1)

Rockesbury^v¹⁸

Age: 6| Weight: 8-13| J: P J McDonald| T: P S McEntee| OR: 47| D

33/1

33/1, seventh of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 18 days ago. Others more persuasive.

Form: 456807

(11)

Kraka^p⁸

Age: 6| Weight: 8-13| J: K T O'Neill| T: Mrs C A Dunnett| OR: 47| C| D

25/1

Course winner. Fifteen runs since last win in 2020. 14/1, respectable fifth of 13 in handicap at Chelmsford City (6f) 8 days ago. Not firing at present.

Form: 078065

Result Amended

Peachey Carnehan - Original Position 5th. Amended Position 4th.

Rocking Reg - Original Position 4th. Amended Position 14th.

Scota Bess - Original Position 14th. Amended Position 13th.

Ballyvil - Original Position 6th. Amended Position 5th.

Vitesse Du Son - Original Position 12th. Amended Position 11th.

Birdie Bowers - Original Position 11th. Amended Position 10th.

Chantreys - Original Position 9th. Amended Position 8th.

Global Acclamation - Original Position 10th. Amended Position 9th.

Atrafan - Original Position 8th. Amended Position 7th.

Rockesbury - Original Position 13th. Amended Position 12th.

Kraka - Original Position 7th. Amended Position 6th.

Forecasts

Chantreys (10/3), Birdie Bowers (7/2), Mostallim (6/1), Peachey Carnehan (13/2), Western Music (8/1), Global Acclamation (11/1), Masquerading (12/1), Rocking Reg (14/1), Atrafan (18/1), Kraka (25/1), Rockesbury (33/1), Vitesse Du Son (40/1), Ballyvil (50/1), Scota Bess (80/1)

PEACHEY CARNEHAN is in good order and shaped better than the bare result when third in a slightly stronger race than this at Wolverhampton last time, so he gets the nod ahead of the unexposed Masquerading, who could improve for the longer trip. Birdie Bowers has been there or thereabouts lately, so he's another one to consider.