14:50 Newbury

Friday 16 April 2021

All13:1013:4014:1514:5015:2516:0016:3517:05

Dubai Duty Free Full Of Surprises Handicap

Off time: 14:54 | Winning time: 1m 23.73s

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Selected odds by:

(9)

Saint Lawrence¹⁷⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-7| J: Ray Dawson⁽³⁾| T: R Varian| OR: 97| CD

12/1

C&D listed winner (good to soft) at 2 and also third in Horris Hill here (heavy) on final start. Clearly very useful but may prove vulnerable conceding weight to some less-exposed rivals.

Form: 144163-

(4)

Beautiful Bertie¹⁶²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: Jason Watson| T: H & R Charlton| OR: 95| D

9/2

Ended last year with a pair of AW novice wins. Hard to argue an opening mark in the mid-90s is generous but he should have more to offer.

Form: 4311-

(12)

Yazaman^b¹⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: R Kingscote| T: W J Haggas| OR: 92

16/1

Temperamental sort who has drawn a blank since his debut win last June. Below par on both starts this year and has a fair bit to prove now returning to the grass.

Form: 2423-76

(11)

Mithras^t¹⁵⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: L Dettori| T: J & T Gosden| OR: 90

16/5

Off mark at third time of asking when seeing off 6 rivals in 1m Newcastle novice in a tongue strap (retained) in November. Likely a smart prospect for top yard which has won this twice since 2012.

Form: 441-

(8)

Broxi²⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 8-13| J: George Downing| T: D K Ivory| OR: 89| D

100/1

Pair of 7f Musselburgh wins for Keith Dalgleish at 2. Off 6 months, respectable 3 lengths fifth of 6 on Kempton return last month and may be sharper for the run.

Form: 11375-5

(13)

Fountain Cross¹⁷⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 8-13| J: P J Dobbs| T: R Hannon| OR: 89

50/1

Fairly useful form at 2 but has quite an exposed looks about him and probably best to looks elsewhere even though his stable has a good record in this race.

Form: 453029-

(10)

Harold Shand²⁶⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 8-13| J: S De Sousa| T: R Spencer| OR: 89| D

25/1

Showed the benefit of debut experience when landing a fast-ground Yarmouth novice (7f) in July. Not disgraced when fifth in Ascot listed 10 days later and retains potential back from 8 months off.

Form: 615-

(3)

Alicestar¹⁸⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: David Probert| T: S Kirk| OR: 88

100/1

Debut winner for David Simcock last summer. Came up short at Group 3 level on her next 2 starts and has switched yards ahead of this reappearance/handicap debut.

Form: 158-

(15)

Rafiki³⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 8-11| J: James Doyle| T: A King| OR: 87| D

9/1

Wolverhampton novice winner last autumn and improved again when taking a similar event at Lingfield (1m) on reappearance 5 months later. Should be more to come from him now moving into handicaps.

Form: 31-1

(7)

Dingle²²³

Age: 3| Weight: 8-10| J: S M Levey| T: R Hannon| OR: 86

4/1

Good-looking colt who made a successful nursery debut switched to the AW at Kempton (1m) last September. 4 lb higher in a much stronger race on return but yard has won this 3 times since 2013.

Form: 631-

(5)

Caribou¹⁷⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 8-9| J: Hollie Doyle| T: D J Coakley| OR: 85| C

8/1

Progressive, winning over 6f on heavy ground at Goodwood (novice) and here (nursery) last October. Likely to have a quicker surface to contend with on return. Has the makings of a useful handicapper.

Form: 2411-

(2)

Knowwhentorun¹⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-8| J: W Buick| T: R A Teal| OR: 84| BF

20/1

Runner-up twice at 2, latterly in a 6.5f course novice on heavy. Disappointed on quicker ground when sent off 6/5 for a Doncaster novice on return 19 days ago. Handicap debut.

Form: 622-5

(6)

Decisive Edge^b1¹⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 8-6| J: M Dwyer| T: B J Meehan| OR: 82| D

50/1

Won a 7f Chelmsford novice last year but well held in Dewhurst and a Chelmsford conditions event since. Blinkers added now switching to a handicap. Stable had 25/1 winner of this race in 2017.

Form: 710-7

(16)

Clarendon Cross²⁵⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 8-6| J: Thore Hammer-Hansen⁽³⁾| T: R Hannon| OR: 82

33/1

Fair form in 3 outings over 7f on turf last summer. Not obviously well treated for this handicap debut/reappearance so perhaps best watched.

Form: 374-

(1)

Fangorn²⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 8-4| J: J Fanning| T: M R Channon| OR: 80| D

25/1

Lingfield turf maiden winner in 2020. Better form in defeat on AW at Kempton this year, including second on 7f handicap debut 20 days ago. Has the potential for better still.

Form: 61-22

(14)

First Lott¹⁸³

Age: 3| Weight: 8-2| J: Jane Elliott| T: Tom Dascombe| OR: 78

66/1

Successful nursery debut at Leicester (6f, good to firm) last September. Not seen to best effect back in a novice at Lingfield the following month. Off 6 months. Remains open to progress.

Form: 5514-

Forecasts

Mithras (16/5), Dingle (4/1), Beautiful Bertie (9/2), Caribou (8/1), Rafiki (9/1), Saint Lawrence (12/1), Yazaman (16/1), Knowwhentorun (20/1), Fangorn (25/1), Harold Shand (25/1), Clarendon Cross (33/1), Fountain Cross (50/1), Decisive Edge (50/1), First Lott (66/1), Broxi (100/1), Alicestar (100/1)

Traditionally a strong race and this year's renewal looks no exception. MITHRAS represents a yard whose last 4 runners in this have yielded 2 wins, a second and a fourth so he looks sure to make a bold bid on his first outing since an AW novice win at the end of last year. Rafiki, Beautiful Bertie and Dingle head the many possible dangers.