18:45 Newcastle

Tuesday 17 November 2020

All15:4016:1516:4517:1517:4518:1518:4519:1519:45

Heed Your Hunch At Betway Handicap (Div 1)

Off time: 18:48 | Winning time: 1m 13.61s

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Selected odds by:

(11)

Reely Bonnie¹⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-7| J: Jamie Gormley| T: I Jardine| OR: 65| D

18/1

Winner at Ayr in July. 40/1, ninth of 12 in handicap at this C&D 18 days ago. Others more persuasive on balance.

Form: 415099

(2)

Hard Solution^v¹¹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-5| J: D Tudhope| T: D O'Meara| OR: 63| D

10/1

Three wins from 15 runs this year, the latest at Hamilton in September. Creditable fifth of 13 in handicap at this course (5f, 14/1) 11 days ago. Not taken lightly.

Form: 261805

(13)

Continental¹⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: Megan Nicholls⁽³⁾| T: Jedd O'Keeffe| OR: 63| CD

3/1

Career best when winning 14-runner handicap at this C&D (25/1) 14 days ago by short head from Mo Henry, just holding on. Up 3 lb, but she's lightly-raced and may well have more to offer.

Form: 53P1

(8)

Real Smooth¹⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 9-4| J: Ray Dawson⁽³⁾| T: R M Smith| OR: 62| BF

12/1

Below form sixth of 10 in handicap (9/2) at Redcar (8f, heavy) 14 days ago, slowly away. Back down in trip for this tapeta debut and again looks vulnerable from a win point of view.

Form: 982646

(10)

I Know How^b¹⁸

Age: 5| Weight: 9-4| J: P Mulrennan| T: Miss J A Camacho| OR: 62| CD

9/2

C&D winner. Eighth of 12 in handicap (14/1) at this C&D 18 days ago. Blinkers back on and couldn't rule out given that he's now 1 lb below his last winning mark.

Form: 144868

(3)

Miss Daisy²²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: Harry Russell⁽⁵⁾| T: B Ellison| OR: 61

20/1

Twice-raced maiden. 33/1, fourth of 10 in maiden at Redcar (7f, heavy) 22 days ago. Big step forward needed on this handicap debut.

Form: 64

(1)

Gigi's Beach^b²⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: K Stott| T: M Dods| OR: 60| D

12/1

22/1, below form fifth of 10 in handicap at this course (7.1f) 25 days ago. Easy enough to look elsewhere.

Form: 236805

(9)

Birdie Bowers¹¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: Aidan Redpath⁽⁷⁾| T: J J Davies| OR: 60

66/1

First run since leaving Michael Dods when fifth of 10 in minor event at this course (7.1f, 100/1) 11 days ago. Makes handicap debut and improvement is required.

Form: 395-995

(12)

Kilconquhar¹⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-1| J: Billy Garritty⁽⁵⁾| T: A C Whillans| OR: 59| CD

7/2

C&D winner in October. 4/1, 4 lengths ninth of 14 to Continental in handicap at this C&D 14 days ago. Needs to bounce back, but will be a danger to all if able to do so.

Form: 050129

(4)

Mo Henry¹⁴

Age: 8| Weight: 9-0| J: Jessica Anderson⁽⁷⁾| T: A Keatley| OR: 58| D

8/1

Twenty one runs since last win in 2017. 50/1, short-head second of 14 to Continental in handicap at this C&D 14 days ago. 1 lb better off with that rival now and should be on the premises once again.

Form: 27300/2

(14)

Star Cracker^p¹⁴

Age: 8| Weight: 8-6| J: Phil Dennis| T: J S Goldie| OR: 50| CD

22/1

Three wins from 12 runs this year. 25/1, 7½ lengths thirteenth of 14 to Continental in handicap at this C&D 14 days ago. Looks set to come up short once more.

Form: 580140

(5)

Kommander Kirkup²⁴⁹

Age: 9| Weight: 8-5| J: A Mullen| T: M Herrington| OR: 49| D

50/1

Temperamental sort. Twelve runs since last win in 2018. Last of 11 in handicap (14/1) at Southwell (6.1f). Off 8 months and ther percentage call is to take him on.

Form: 65-7540

(6)

Trevie Fountain^b²¹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-4| J: J P Sullivan| T: Mrs R Carr| OR: 48

40/1

9/1 and blinkered for 1st time, fifth of 11 in handicap at Catterick (6f, heavy) 21 days ago. Others make more appeal.

Form: 800785

(7)

Beignet⁵¹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-2| J: Paula Muir⁽³⁾| T: Miss L A Perratt| OR: 45

200/1

Remains a maiden after 18 Flat runs. 100/1, tenth of 13 in handicap at Musselburgh (5f, good) 51 days ago. Readily passed over.

Form: 860060

Forecasts

Continental (3/1), Kilconquhar (7/2), I Know How (9/2), Mo Henry (8/1), Hard Solution (10/1), Gigi's Beach (12/1), Real Smooth (12/1), Reely Bonnie (18/1), Miss Daisy (20/1), Star Cracker (22/1), Trevie Fountain (40/1), Kommander Kirkup (50/1), Birdie Bowers (66/1), Beignet (200/1)

CONTINENTAL will need to improve again in order to add to her recent C&D success, but with just 4 runs under her belt that's entirely possible. She displayed a good attitude in fending off the re-opposing Mo Henry on that occasion and a 3 lb rise looks manageable. Though he was only ninth in that race, Kilconquhar is clearly capable of better and may be a bigger threat than Mo Henry this time.