15:10 Lingfield

Thursday 15 October 2020

All13:3014:0014:3515:1015:4516:2016:5017:25

Betway EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (Plus 10/GBB Race) (Div 1)

Off time: 15:10 | Winning time: 1m 12.42s

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Selected odds by:

(1)

First Lott²⁴

Age: 2| Weight: 9-7| J: R Kingscote| T: Tom Dascombe| OR: 78| D

7/4

Promising sort. Won 9-runner nursery at Leicester (6f, good to firm, 11/2) 24 days ago, kept up to work. Remains open to improvement and should go close from the plum draw if taking to this surface.

Form: 551

(9)

Arion Fox⁶⁰

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: S De Sousa| T: R Varian

16/1

Twice-raced maiden. Eighth of 10 in minor event at Newbury (7f, good to soft, 6/1) 60 days ago, possibly amiss. Needs to raise her game considerably.

Form: 08

(5)

Beryl The Peril

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: David Egan| T: W Jarvis

20/1

Foaled February 19. €30,000 foal, 58,000 gns yearling. Half-sister to Italian 5f-7f winner Sou Incantada. Dam unraced half-sister to smart performer King of Arnor. Worth a second look in the betting.

Form:

(7)

Decadent²⁶

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Harry Bentley| T: T Ward

17/2

Tenth of 14 in minor event at Newbury (7f, good, 40/1) on debut 26 days ago. Likely to leave that form well behind in time.

Form: 0

(6)

First Smile¹⁵

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Callum Shepherd| T: S bin Suroor| OR: 78

6/5

Promising sort. Second of 9 in minor event (11/8) at Kempton (6f) 15 days ago. Should have more to offer and she's high on the shortlist.

Form: 22

(2)

Persaria²³

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: George Wood| T: J R Fanshawe

22/1

13/2, fifth of 10 in minor event at Newcastle (6f) on debut 23 days ago. Will be sharper now (yard's newcomers typically come on for a run) but this demands a significant step forward.

Form: 5

(8)

Rose Fandango²⁴

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: David Probert| T: Sir M Todd

66/1

Eighth of 10 in maiden (100/1) at Wolverhampton (6.1f) on debut 24 days ago, unable to sustain effort. Probably more one for handicaps further down the line.

Form: 8

(10)

Showtime Dancer^h1

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Rossa Ryan| T: R Hannon

40/1

Foaled May 3. 40,000 gns foal, 82,000 gns yearling. Half-sister to several winners, including useful winner up to 1m Van Der Art and 2-y-o 7f winner Ce La Vie. Wears hood. Market should point the way.

Form:

(11)

The Circus^b²⁸

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: N Mackay| T: J & T Gosden| OR: 70

14/1

Unreliable sort. Blinkered for 1st time, bit below form fourth of 8 in minor event at Yarmouth (6f, good to firm, 5/1) 28 days ago, finding nothing. Makes polytrack debut and she looks vulnerable.

Form: 33754

(4)

Tokyo Chic¹⁶

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Joey Haynes| T: C Banham

200/1

Sixth of 9 in minor event at Wolverhampton (6.1f, 50/1) on debut 16 days ago, not knocked about. Perhaps more of a long-term prospect.

Form: 6

(3)

Wish May Luck³⁵

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: L P Keniry| T: Mrs N S Evans

250/1

Twice-raced maiden. Last of 8 in minor event at Chepstow (7.1f, good to firm, 150/1) 35 days ago. Readily passed over.

Form: 98

Forecasts

First Smile (6/5), First Lott (7/4), Decadent (17/2), The Circus (14/1), Arion Fox (16/1), Beryl The Peril (20/1), Persaria (22/1), Showtime Dancer (40/1), Rose Fandango (66/1), Tokyo Chic (200/1), Wish May Luck (250/1)

This looks between FIRST SMILE and First Lott, with preference for the former who stepped up on her promising debut when chasing home a potentially useful filly at Kempton recently. First Lott did the job well in a Leicester nursery and won't go down without a fight if proving equally effective on polytrack, despite carrying a penalty. Newcomer Showtime Dancer is one to note in the betting.