13:20 Salisbury

Thursday 1 October 2020

All12:2012:5013:2013:5514:3015:0515:4016:15

Byerley Stud British EBF Novice Stakes (Plus 10) (Div 1)

Off time: 13:23 | Winning time: 1m 31.96s

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Selected odds by:

(3)

Ak Fortyseven²⁷

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: R P Downey| T: B Barr

200/1

Twice-raced maiden. 300/1, twelfth of 13 in minor event at Kempton (7f) 27 days ago. Hard to make a case for on what he has showed to date.

Form: 00

(5)

Autumn Twilight

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: K Shoemark| T: D Menuisier

20/1

Foaled February 21. Buratino half-brother to numerous winners, including winner up to 6f Titus Shadow, 5f/6f winner Choisir Shadow and winner up to 6f Orpen Shadow, all smart. Market should guide.

Form:

(10)

Billy Mill¹³

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: P J Dobbs| T: R Hannon

4/1

Once-raced maiden. Fourth of 15 in maiden (12/1) at Newbury (6f, good) on debut 13 days ago, running green but keeping on final 1f. Expected to be sharper with that under his belt.

Form: 4

(2)

Dual Identity

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: David Egan| T: W J Knight

14/1

Foaled March 5. €77,000 foal, 50,000 gns yearling, Belardo colt. Half-brother to several winners, including useful winner up to 1m Ayaar and winner up to 5.7f Albany Rose. Dam 9f winner.

Form:

(9)

Ensyaaby¹²

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: Jim Crowley| T: M P Tregoning

11/4

Once-raced maiden. 14/1, fair form when sixth of 14 in minor event at Newbury (7f, good) on debut 12 days ago. Possible he will do better.

Form: 6

(12)

Good Cop¹⁶

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: S W Kelly| T: J M P Eustace

80/1

Once-raced maiden. 40/1, last of 9 in minor event at Yarmouth (6f, good to firm) on debut 16 days ago, looking green and going with little fluency. Likely longer term project.

Form: 9

(14)

He's A Latchico

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: H Crouch| T: G & J Moore

25/1

Foaled March 18. €20,000 yearling, £30,000 2-y-o, Fast Company gelding. Half-brother to 2-y-o 6f winner My Dear Baby and 6f winner Heartbreak Hotel.

Form:

(11)

Mahaamel²⁴

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: James Doyle| T: C Hills

9/2

Once-raced maiden. 5/1, sixth of 9 in minor event at Leicester (7f) on debut 24 days ago, very green and unable to make an impact. Clearly thought capable of better and not one to write off.

Form: 6

(13)

Real Dude

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: Jason Watson| T: H & R Charlton

14/1

Foaled February 22. 30,000 gns yearling, Dawn Approach gelding. Half-brother to useful winner up to 5.5f Lady Penelope. Yard's newcomers always require market scrutiny.

Form:

(1)

Youllovemewheniwin²¹

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: J Quinn| T: R A Teal

66/1

Once-raced maiden. 18/1, seventh of 8 in minor event at Chepstow (7.1f, good to firm) on debut 21 days ago.

Form: 7

(6)

Entwine

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: David Probert| T: J R Boyle

40/1

Foaled February 11. 36,000 gns 2-y-o, Fast Company filly. Half-sister to 5f winner Merge and 2-y-o 5f winner Dandizette. Speedily-bred sort who is worth a market check on debut.

Form:

(8)

Free Will

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Rob Hornby| T: R M Beckett

5/1

Foaled March 10. Lope De Vega filly. Sister to useful 2-y-o 7f/1m winner Fintas and half-sister to useful 2-y-o 7f winner West End Girl. Makes appeals on paper and she's one to note here.

Form:

(7)

Sky Blue Thinking²¹

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: L P Keniry| T: C G Cox

13/2

Twice-raced maiden. 33/1, eleventh of 15 in stronger contest at Doncaster (6.5f) 21 days ago. Had previously showed promise when third at Chepstow (7f) on debut and that gives her claims.

Form: 30

Non-Runners

(4)

Oriental Spirit

Weight: 9-5| Age: 2

T: W S Kittow J: K T O'Neill

Forecasts

Ensyaaby (11/4), Billy Mill (4/1), Mahaamel (9/2), Free Will (5/1), Sky Blue Thinking (13/2), Dual Identity (14/1), Real Dude (14/1), Autumn Twilight (20/1), He's A Latchico (25/1), Oriental Spirit (33/1), Entwine (40/1), Youllovemewheniwin (66/1), Good Cop (80/1), Ak Fortyseven (200/1)

Those with previous form don't set a tall standard and it may pay to take a chance on FREE WILL. Closely related to precocious sorts, she represents a stable more than capable of readying a newcomer and is well worth considering without the benefit of market clues. Billy Mill shaped well on debut at Newbury and rates a likely improver. Sky Blue Thinking and Mahaamel complete the shortlist.