13:40 Ayr

Friday 18 September 2020

All13:4014:1014:4515:2015:5516:2516:5517:25

British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (Plus 10)

Off time: 13:41 | Winning time: 1m 34.41s

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Selected odds by:

(1)

Crystal Guard¹⁷

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: D Tudhope| T: M L W Bell

3/1

70,000 gns half-brother to several winners, including useful 1m-1¼m winner Grande Melody. Green and shaped well when fourth of 11 in maiden at Kempton (8f, 25/1) on debut 17 days ago. Will improve.

Form: 4

(4)

Depp

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: T Eaves| T: K A Ryan

18/1

Foaled April 14. €40,000 yearling, £60,000 2-y-o, Acclamation colt. Dam unraced half-sister to smart winner up to 6f Blaine. Certainly the part on paper and yard's 2-y-os generally been going well.

Form:

(11)

Fairmac¹⁴

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: J Fanning| T: C & M Johnston| OR: 75

10/1

Upped in trip and 11/2, much improved from debut when length second in similar event at Thirsk (7f) a fortnight ago, sticking to his task. Could progress further.

Form: 62

(6)

Hear Me Roar²³

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: P Mulrennan| T: M Dods

125/1

Little impact in a couple of heavy-ground events in Scotland last month.

Form: 85

(13)

Intrusive

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: C Lee| T: K R Burke

28/1

Foaled January 28. Half-brother to several winners, including useful winner up to 1m Equitant and 7f winner Rebel Soldier Boy. Dam 2-y-o 6f winner at this track. Newcomer to note.

Form:

(9)

Invincibly¹⁴

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: Harrison Shaw⁽³⁾| T: K R Burke

7/4

From a good family and fetched six-figure sum for a second time earlier this year. 6/1, promising start when second to useful prospect with experience at Thirsk (7f) 14 days ago and capable of better.

Form: 2

(8)

Kentucky Kitten¹²

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: D Allan| T: T D Easterby

7/1

Half-brother to a couple of useful winners and held back by inexperience on debut at York (7f, 33/1) 12 days ago, the penny dropping only late on. Should progress.

Form: 4

(5)

Louis The Warrior

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: Connor Beasley| T: M Dods

40/1

Foaled April 28. Half-brother to 2-y-o 6f winner Desperados Destiny. Dam 5f/6f winner. Starts out in a warm novice and already gelded.

Form:

(12)

Macmerry Jim¹⁸

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: Jamie Gormley| T: I Jardine

9/2

£40,000 The Last Lion colt from good US family and showed fairly useful form first time up when second in 6.1f Southwell maiden 18 days ago. Winner has gone in again since and he will improve.

Form: 2

(7)

Subtle Innuendo

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: K Stott| T: M & D Easterby

50/1

Foaled March 16. €16,000 yearling, Lawman gelding. Dam maiden half-sister to very smart winner up to 15f Wajir out of useful 9f-12.5f winner War Game. Likely to need time.

Form:

(14)

Trevolli

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: P Mathers| T: A West

150/1

Foaled March 31. Outstrip gelding. Half-brother to 2-y-o 7f winner Il Nero. Dam, 12.5f winner, closely related to smart 1¼m winner (stayed 1½m) Inchila.

Form:

(3)

Autumn Aurora¹²

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Jason Hart| T: J & S Quinn

25/1

10,000 gns yearling, half-sister to several winners, including Japanese Grade 3 1¼m winner Cosmo Phantom. 22/1, slowly away and late headway in 7.2f Musselburgh novice auction on debut 12 days ago.

Form: 5

(10)

Oot Ma Way

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Rowan Scott| T: K Scott

200/1

Foaled May 19. €7,000 yearling, Power filly. Half-sister to 3 winners, including winner up to 1m Ouistreham and 7.5f winner Sapore Di Roma.

Form:

Non-Runners

(2)

The Thin Blue Line¹⁰

Weight: 9-5| Age: 2

T: K Dalgleish J: Non Runner

Forecasts

Invincibly (7/4), Crystal Guard (3/1), Macmerry Jim (9/2), Kentucky Kitten (7/1), The Thin Blue Line (7/1), Fairmac (10/1), Depp (18/1), Autumn Aurora (25/1), Intrusive (28/1), Louis The Warrior (40/1), Subtle Innuendo (50/1), Hear Me Roar (125/1), Trevolli (150/1), Oot Ma Way (200/1)

INVINCIBLY makes most appeal in this 2-y-o event. Twice a six-figure purchase at the sales, he shaped well in second on debut at Thirsk a fortnight ago and looks sure to improve for a stable who have won divisions of this race 3 times since 2012. Macmerry Jim is next on the shortlist after a similarly-promising first run at Southwell. Depp is an interesting newcomer for Kevin Ryan.