racingtv.com Novice Stakes

Off time: 14:22 | Winning time: 1m 12.2s

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Selected odds by:

(1)

Manumission²⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: J P Sullivan| T: J G Given

12/1

Big prices on both runs to date and while it was an improved run on second start, it was a bunch finish and the form has already taken plenty of knocks since.

Form: 87

(6)

Whitwell

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: Nathan Evans| T: M & D Easterby

33/1

Sales price dropped to 6.000 gns as a yearling. Half-brother to winners from 6f to 1m2f but probably best watched on belated debut unless market tells different story.

Form:

(4)

Aroha²⁵⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: L Morris| T: B J Meehan| OR: 98

11/8

Put in some excellent runs at this trip in Group races as a two-year-old with placed efforts at Ascot and a sixth in the Prix Morny the stand out. This represents a massive drop in grade and a surprise if she doesn't take advantage.

Form: 432677-

(7)

Dramatista¹²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: B A Curtis| T: R Fell & S Murray| OR: 70

11/4

Improved again when 1L second of six at Hamilton earlier in the month behind a smart 77 rated prospect on soft ground. Should have more to come but stiff task if the favourite brings her best form to the table.

Form: 5-32

(2)

Newscaster

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: C Lee| T: K R Burke

7/2

€55,000 yearling. Dam won on debut and also landed a Listed race over 6f so certainly bred to be speedy but this is a hot maiden for the time of year.

Form:

(3)

Northern Charm

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: P Mulrennan| T: D H Brown

11/1

Second foal of a dam who won up to 7f but makes belated debut in a stiff contest and only of interest if market speaks in her favour.

Form:

(5)

Shanachloeleah⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: Selma Grage⁽⁷⁾| T: R C Guest

100/1

Ordinary form to date in two maidens at huge prices and hard to see why it should be any better in this stronger contest.

Form: 60

Forecasts

Aroha (11/8), Dramatista (11/4), Newscaster (7/2), Northern Charm (11/1), Manumission (12/1), Whitwell (33/1), Shanachloeleah (100/1)

AROHA has an official rating of 98 and won't have to run up to that lofty rating to get off the mark having showed strong form in Group races last summer. Dramatista is the only logical danger of those who have raced and she probably has better claims than the ratings imply. Newscaster has a tough task on belated debut but will be worth keeping an eye on for the future.