15:50 Bangor-on-Dee

Friday 7 February 2020

All13:4014:1014:4515:1515:5016:2016:50

tote.co.uk Handicap Hurdle

Off time: 15:50 | Winning time: 4m 14.54s

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Selected odds by:

Stonific¹⁸

Age: 7| Weight: 12-0| J: Sam Twiston-Davies| T: D O'Meara| OR: 112

6/1

Was creeping in contention after being patiently ridden on handicap debut at Newcastle (2m; soft), but came to grief three from home. Would have gone extremely close then, and provided he has got over that he must be considered a leading player.

Form: 233F

Finula^t¹⁶

Age: 8| Weight: 11-13| J: Lee Edwards| T: J G O'Neill| OR: 111

33/1

Plenty of weight to carry, and he has failed to complete on each of his previous two starts including when falling early on at Warwick (2m; soft) last time out. Lightly raced, but has enough to prove at present and is therefore opposed.

Form: 6P/13PF

Jacke Is Back^t1²³

Age: 5| Weight: 11-12| J: Conor Ring⁽³⁾| T: G Harris| OR: 110

25/1

Inconsistent/patchy profile in recent times, and since joining this yard from France he hasn't show anything of significant note. Pulled-up on stable debut in December, before being tailed off at Newbury (2m; heavy) recently. Watching brief advised.

Form: F5F2P9

Prince Khurram^t⁹³

20/1

Ended losing run when scoring over C&D in defiant style. Nowhere near as good after that though when beaten 32-length into fourth. Subsequently been given a wind-op, but needs to bounce back and he may need the run after 93-day absence.

Form: 822F14

Oscar Nomination²⁵¹

Age: 8| Weight: 11-11| J: Harrison Beswick⁽⁵⁾| T: G Hanmer| OR: 109

16/1

Looked to be going the right way over hurdles before posting a below-par effort when last seen at Hexham (2m4f; good to soft) in June. Has won after a short-break in the past, but not one as big as this.

Form: 24511-6

Christopher Robin²⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 11-11| J: Mr Zac Baker⁽⁵⁾| T: T Lacey| OR: 109

17/2

Dropped a further 3lbs by the handicapper after yet another meagre effort at Taunton (2m; heavy) last time out. Has fallen a total of 13lbs in four starts since joining this yard. Hard to say anything about positive about him at the moment.

Form: 12-8007

Mannochmore^h³⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 11-10| J: S Mulqueen⁽³⁾| T: Miss Lucinda V Russell| OR: 108

25/1

Lightly raced handicap newcomer who has been running in hot novice hurdles in the North, without threatening. Should therefore appreciate this drop in grade, and is respected with jockey claiming a handy 3lbs. Market check advised.

Form: 6-0675

Nefyn Point²⁹

Age: 6| Weight: 11-9| J: B S Hughes| T: D McCain Jnr| OR: 107| BF| D

11/2

One of three representatives for the stable in this race, and is seemingly first-string with top jockey booked for the ride. Sent off favourite on each of his last three starts, but this mark likely to leave him vulnerable for win purposes.

Form: 7-74143

Seymour Sox³⁵

Age: 6| Weight: 11-8| J: L Treadwell| T: A Ralph| OR: 106

5/1

Built upon promising handicap debut to go one better when shedding maiden tag at Hereford (2m3f; heavy). Up 6lbs, but won comfortably enough and lightly raced profile suggests he is well capable of further progress. Major player.

Form: 007-821

Oscars Leader^v1²²

Age: 7| Weight: 11-7| J: Sean Quinlan| T: J Candlish| OR: 105| BF

3/1

Got off to an encouraging start to life for this yard on his penultimate start when third at Market Rasen (2m; soft). Bit below that form despite being well-fancied (15/8f) when only fifth. Needs to raise his game slightly.

Form: 0/64-535

Karannelle^h⁷⁷

Age: 5| Weight: 11-7| J: S Bowen| T: D A Rees| OR: 105

25/1

Did show some ability during the summer of 2019 for former yard when trained in Ireland, but was well-held when falling at Ffos Las (2m; soft) last time out. May have been freshened up after being given a short break. Market should be informative.

Form: 6125PF

The Herds Garden^p⁴³

Age: 11| Weight: 11-6| J: Lorcan Murtagh⁽³⁾| T: D McCain Jnr| OR: 104

40/1

Yard having winners, but his profile would suggest he prefers quicker ground. Has won off higher marks than this in the past, but he has been beaten a long way the last twice so can be ruled out while in quiet mood.

Form: 824155

Little Stevie¹⁴

Age: 8| Weight: 11-2| J: Henry Brooke| T: Mrs Stella Barclay| OR: 100| D

40/1

Has been unable to continue good run of form from the summer through to the winter. More exposed than most, and reverts to hurdles after finishing a distant eighth at Doncaster (2m3f; good to soft) last time out. Others look more convincing.

Form: 214638

Kapga De Lily⁴²²

Age: 7| Weight: 10-13| J: Charlie Deutsch| T: Miss V Williams| OR: 97| BF

4/1

The most intriguing one in the line-up. Not seen since finishing last of four at Leicester (2m4f; good to firm) in December 2018. Makes return from 422-day absence, and market support would be significant. Only had three starts over hurdles.

Form: 51/44-

Easkey Lad²⁷

Age: 5| Weight: 10-11| J: R T Dunne| T: D Burchell| OR: 95

33/1

Yet to produce any improvement in two starts since joining this yard. Record under rules now stands at 0-16, and when sent off at a three-figure price last time out he failed to show any enthusiasm for the game.

Form: 804-678

Forecasts

Oscars Leader (3/1), Kapga De Lily (4/1), Seymour Sox (5/1), Nefyn Point (11/2), Stonific (6/1), Christopher Robin (17/2), Oscar Nomination (16/1), Prince Khurram (20/1), Mannochmore (25/1), Karannelle (25/1), Jacke Is Back (25/1), Finula (33/1), Easkey Lad (33/1), Little Stevie (40/1), The Herds Garden (40/1)

Despite not making the 1-2-3, Kapga De Lily is considered despite making her return from such a long absence. Venetia Williams knows how to ready one & this mare retains plenty of potential given the initial promise she showed early on in her career. Despite not winning off a mark as high as this before, Nefyn Point should once again run his usual consistent race. It is hard to split Stonific and SEYMOUR SOX. The former still hadn't been put into the race before he fell out three from home last time out. He is a major player, but the latter has less to prove after making no mistake on his second handicap start. He can make light work of a 6lb hike in the weights.