16:30 Wincanton

Thursday 30 January 2020

All13:1013:4514:2014:5515:2515:5516:30

Towergate Caravan Insurance Standard Open NH Flat Race

Off time: 16:31 | Winning time: 3m 52.22s

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Selected odds by:

Baddesley¹¹⁷

Age: 5| Weight: 11-10| J: Tom Cannon| T: C Gordon

7/2

Presenting gelding who was runner-up on debut at Plumpton in April, and returned from a six-month absence with a commanding display at Fontwell in early October. Sets a solid standard, albeit stepping back in trip here.

Form: 2-1

George Of Naunton

Age: 5| Weight: 11-3| J: Sam Twiston-Davies| T: N & W Twiston-Davies

20/1

By Arakan, his dam won a point but showed only poor form under Rules subsequently. Yard has done well historically in this sphere, but others preferred here.

Form:

Glentruan^h1

Age: 5| Weight: 11-3| J: M G Nolan| T: P Hobbs & J White

12/1

By Getaway out of a winning pointer who failed to score under Rules. In good hands, and merits a market check, for all the fitting of a hood on debut is a slightly worrying sign.

Form:

Hurricane Mitch³⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 11-3| J: S Bowen| T: H Fry

7/2

Dam was a winning hurdler and a useful chaser, and this gelding found the penny dropping late when fifth of 14 to Wilde About Oscar in a bumper at Warwick. Should improve, and may do considerably better, so market check essential.

Form: 5

Lydford Lad

Age: 5| Weight: 11-3| J: H Cobden| T: P F NichollsWS

7/2

€82,000 newcomer closely related to useful winners Minella Foru and Sumkindofking. Represents champion trainer at his home track so must be high on the shortlist on debut.

Form:

Real Stone^t1

Age: 5| Weight: 11-3| J: Harry Skelton| T: D Skelton

20/1

Arvico half-brother to winners in Genstone Trail and Shady Lane. From a respected yard, but bred to need time, and presence of a tongue tie advises a degree of caution.

Form:

Runswick Bay

Age: 5| Weight: 11-3| J: Ben Jones⁽⁵⁾| T: Miss E C Lavelle

12/1

By Arvico out of an unraced mare from an ordinary family. Yard can ready a newcomer in this sphere, but this gelding doesn't jump off the page at first glance.

Form:

Scene Not Herd⁷⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 11-3| J: N de Boinville| T: C E Longsdon

9/1

Aizavoski half-brother to fair staying chaser Coopers Square. Took four attempts to shed his maiden status between the flags, but that experience will stand him in good stead.

Form: FFP-1

That Ole Chestnut

Age: 5| Weight: 11-3| J: Matt Griffiths| T: J Scott

25/1

Fracas half-brother to smart chaser Drovers Lane and bumper winner That's My Rabbit. Yard doesn't rush its bumper horses, and this gelding will be better in time.

Form:

Treacys Jim²⁵⁶

Age: 6| Weight: 11-3| J: Bryony Frost| T: J D Frost

125/1

Has a real point-to-point pedigree, but he has fared no better than fourth in four runs between the flags himself, and makes very little appeal as a result.

Form: 4U7-P

Midnight Jewel¹⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 10-6| J: J J Burke| T: K Woollacott

150/1

From family of useful stayer Henryville, but he didn't offer much for the short term when fifteenth of 18 to Here Comes McCoy in a maiden bumper at Warwick.

Form: 0

Presenting Yeats

Age: 4| Weight: 10-6| J: Jack Tudor⁽⁵⁾| T: M F Harris

9/1

Appeals on pedigree as a son of a bumper winner who is a half-sister to top staying hurdler Paisley Park. Yard not had a bumper winner in recent times, but merits a market check on pedigree.

Form:

Sam Miguel

Age: 4| Weight: 10-6| J: Millie Wonnacott⁽⁷⁾| T: C Heard

66/1

Black Sam Bellamy half-brother to useful hurdler/chaser Grandads Horse and fair chaser Solid Strike. Yard looking for first rules winner since 2013.

Form:

Forecasts

Hurricane Mitch (7/2), Baddesley (7/2), Lydford Lad (7/2), Scene Not Herd (9/1), Presenting Yeats (9/1), Runswick Bay (12/1), Glentruan (12/1), George Of Naunton (20/1), Real Stone (20/1), That Ole Chestnut (25/1), Sam Miguel (66/1), Treacys Jim (125/1), Midnight Jewel (150/1)

This sharp test is perhaps not ideal for BADDESLEY, but his Fontwell win is very solid in the context of this race, and he should make a bold bid to defy his penalty. Lydford Lad represents the leading trainer here, and merits respect, as does Hurricane Mitch, who is entitled to improve markedly from his debut at Warwick when noted running on late.