18:30 Kempton

Saturday 25 January 2020

All16:3017:0017:3018:0018:3019:0019:3020:00

32Red Casino Novice Stakes

Off time: 18:31 | Winning time: 1m 39.98s

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Selected odds by:

(5)

Delivering Dreams

Age: 4| Weight: 9-5| J: R Havlin| T: Alexandra DunnWS

50/1

Oasis Dream gelding out of a useful French 1¼m winner, herself half-sister to Group 2 Prix Eugene Adam winner Headman. A £9,000 Juddmonte cast-off last year, he has undergone wind surgery, and is probably best watched on debut.

Form:

(6)

Hill Hollow⁸⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 9-5| J: Callum Shepherd| T: D M Simcock

5/2

Similar form when in the frame in two starts over 1m at Newcastle. Bit to find on form, but may still improve, and holds fair place claims at least.

Form: 34-

(8)

Lethal Look^t⁴⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 9-5| J: Rob Hornby| T: Sarah Hollinshead

100/1

Has had a wind operation between his two runs to date, but has finished last both times, and makes very little appeal as he attempts to make it third time lucky.

Form: 05-

(1)

Orion's Shore⁵⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 9-5| J: Nicola Currie| T: J A Osborne

16/1

Better effort to date when 8½L eighth of 12 to Godhead in a C&D maiden last time, but hard to see him improving enough on that to be competitive here.

Form: 98-

(7)

Plantadream¹³⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 9-5| J: K T O'Neill| T: J R Best

9/2

Planteur gelding who made a belated start at Chelmsford in September, and belied his 50/1 odds by producing a promising effort to be third to Invictus Spirit. Should learn from that, and is one to bear in mind.

Form: 3-

(9)

Smoke On The Water²⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 9-5| J: K Shoemark| T: C Fellowes

5/1

Well beaten on debut, but well backed and improved when fourth of 9 to Emraan at Lingfield last time. That probably wasn't a strong race, but he should continue to go the right way.

Form: 04-

(3)

Happy Face^t²⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 9-0| J: Charles Bishop| T: J Tuite| OR: 63

16/1

Has gone the wrong way since a promising third at Thirsk in August for Hugo Palmer, and latest third in blinkers at Southwell saw her beaten 13L. Has a bit to prove on balance.

Form: 4354-3

(2)

Ollie's Dream

Age: 4| Weight: 9-0| J: Tyler Saunders⁽⁵⁾| T: M D I Usher

33/1

This Coach House filly is the seventh foal of her dam, but three siblings to have raced in Britain/Ireland have not achieved a great deal. Not easy to make a case for her on debut.

Form:

(4)

Qatar Queen³⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 9-0| J: Daniel Muscutt| T: J R Fanshawe| OR: 71| BF

15/8

Form pick on her Chelmsford second, but rather disappointing when fifth here next time, and made hard work of it when neck second of 5 to I Love You Baby at Wolverhampton last time. Needs to show she can build on early promise.

Form: 4252-

Forecasts

Qatar Queen (15/8), Hill Hollow (5/2), Plantadream (9/2), Smoke On The Water (5/1), Happy Face (16/1), Orion's Shore (16/1), Ollie's Dream (33/1), Delivering Dreams (50/1), Lethal Look (100/1)

Qatar Queen is arguably the form pick, but her best effort is beginning to look flattering, and she was beaten by a 33/1 newcomer last time. That form does not look strong, and she looks vulnerable to an improver, with a chance taken on PLANTADREAM. The selection was a 50/1 shot on his debut in September, but shaped well in third, and is almost sure to progress. Hill Hollow and Smoke On The Water are others open to improvement having shown a fair level of ability to date.