17:20 Southwell

Wednesday 15 January 2020

All16:2016:5017:2017:5018:2018:5019:20

Betway Novice Stakes

Off time: 17:26 | Winning time: 1m 15.31s

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Selected odds by:

(1)

Been Bobbied^h1¹²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: Connor Murtagh⁽³⁾| T: R A Fahey

12/1

Didn't play a major role in the finish when a keeping on fourth to Monday's winner National Anthem over C&D 12 days ago; can the newly applied hood provide a much needed boost to his chances?

Form: 0-4

(8)

Global Esteem²⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: L Morris| T: Miss Gay Kelleway

2/1

Kodiac colt (cost 150,000gns as a juvenile); placed on debut at Leicester (7f, good to firm) in September; pulled very hard when well below that level of form at Wolverhampton (7f) subsequently; drops back in trip here.

Form: 35-

(4)

Lion Tower⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: J Fanning| T: C & M Johnston

10/3

Exceed And Excel colt; started 9-2 when a weakening eighth of ten at Wolverhampton (6f) last week; needs to have taken plenty from that initial racecourse experience in order to figure positively; is in safe hands with Mark Johnston.

Form: 8

(6)

Mr Terry⁵³

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: Nicola Currie| T: J A Osborne

16/1

Gutaifan colt (cost 50,000gns as a yearling); closely related to the talented sprinters Divine and Alejandro; ran green when toiling throughout (33-1) on debut at Lingfield (6f) in November; is thought capable of better.

Form: 0-

(2)

Prince Caspian¹⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: M Crehan⁽⁵⁾| T: R Hannon

7/4

Muhaarar colt (70,000gns yearling); a pacy individual who went close on debut when beaten ¾L by River Nymph at Wolverhampton (6f) in November; better than the bare result latest (didn't stay 7f); does face strong competition for the lead.

Form: 25-

(3)

Sur Mer

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: Hayley Turner| T: R M H Cowell

9/1

Equiano filly (6,000gns foal); fourth foal; half-sister to the 6f winner Muscika; one to monitor in the market exchanges with Hayley Turner venturing north for the ride.

Form:

Rule 4

Rule 4 applies to board prices only - deduction 5p in the pound

Non-Runners

(7)

Lady Dandy⁵⁵

Weight: 9-0| Age: 3

T: I Furtado J: Lewis Edmunds

(5)

Lady Latte¹²⁶

Weight: 9-0| Age: 3

T: K R Burke J: Rhona Pindar

Forecasts

Prince Caspian (7/4), Global Esteem (2/1), Lion Tower (10/3), Sur Mer (9/1), Lady Latte (10/1), Been Bobbied (12/1), Mr Terry (16/1), Lady Dandy (100/1)

This 6f novice contest lacks a standout contender with the strong possibility that the proven form horses (Prince Caspian, Lion Tower and Global Esteem) could get locked into a battle for the lead. Therefore, some outside of the box thinking is applied. The Gutaifan colt MR TERRY cost 50,000gns as a yearling but was green when easy to back (33-1) on debut at Lingfield. Well-related he could feasibly step forward off a 53-day absence, so receives the tentative each-way shekels. Of the remainder, the newcomer Sur Mer is worthy of consideration for the Cowell/Turner combination, even more so if the market vibes are overtly strong.