13:30 Southwell

Tuesday 3 December 2019

All12:3013:0013:3014:0514:3515:0515:35

Watch Sky Sports Racing In HD Maiden Hurdle

Off time: 13:30 | Winning time: 4m 10.88s

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Selected odds by:

Bear That N Mind⁵⁴⁸

Age: 7| Weight: 11-0| J: Danny Cook| T: J Parkinson & S Smith

100/1

£8,500 Mahler gelding makes his Rules debut for stable emerging now from a lean spell. No great shakes though between the flags so will do well to make his presence felt after 548-day absence.

Form: UF/3-

Blazing Saddles¹⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 11-0| J: Matt Griffiths| T: J Scott

50/1

1m4f Flat winner when trained by Ralph Beckett. Not disgraced last time on second start over timber when noted making some late headway. Not out of it although may do better once handicapped.

Form: 07

Debden Bank¹⁷

Age: 5| Weight: 11-0| J: Patrick Cowley⁽⁵⁾| T: M Keighley

100/1

Hasn't shown a great deal in two bumpers and two hurdles so far and needs to start to get his act together. Likely to find this another tough assignment.

Form: 97-45

First Lord De Cuet²⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 11-0| J: T Scudamore| T: D Pipe

11/8

Yard has 14% strike rate here in hurdles. Easily won Plumpton bumper in the spring then absent until fourth on hurdles bow at Wincanton last month. May do better over further in time but should be wiser for that experience and worth considering.

Form: 121-4

Incredible Dream¹⁸

Age: 6| Weight: 11-0| J: J M Quinlan| T: C Allen

100/1

Two wins on the Flat at up to 1m4f for Dean Ivory. Joined current yard in April and showed only modest form on Flat prior to hurdles bow here last time when distant fourth on heavy ground. Better surface may help but more needed.

Form: 4

Keep Rolling^t²¹

Age: 6| Weight: 11-0| J: R Johnson| T: P Hobbs & J White| D

3/1

Warwick bumper winner a year ago but has looked a tough ride in two starts this term over hurdles, pulling up at Wetherby in October after leading early, then weakening into fourth at Lingfield latest. Drop back in trip will help though.

Form: 51V7-P4

Nye Bevan³¹

Age: 4| Weight: 11-0| J: Sam Twiston-Davies| T: N & W Twiston-Davies

50/1

Just three runs so far and second start wasn't without promise when distant third of 9 in Bangor maiden hurdle in October. Well beaten Wetherby last time but from top yard and too early to write him off.

Form: 0-36

One Touch²⁴¹

Age: 5| Weight: 11-0| J: N de Boinville| T: B Pauling| D

3/1

Not disgraced in two bumper last term for Michael Scudamore and made good start for new yard when winning Chepstow bumper in April. Hurdles bow here for yard that hasn't got going yet this season but could well be in the mix.

Form: 1/481-

Pinnacle Peak³³

Age: 4| Weight: 11-0| J: Alan Johns| T: M Keighley

66/1

Pasisng Lance gelding who has had trhee starts to date, the last two over timber. Hasn't made a great impression but is open to improvement although that may come once tackling handicap company.

Form: 7-86

Port Lairge¹²

Age: 9| Weight: 11-0| J: Pte Alexandra Bell⁽⁷⁾| T: M C Chapman| OR: 65

200/1

Hasn't won since 2015 and is a maiden in 14 starts over hurdles showing poor form throughout the last three seasons. Impossible to fancy.

Form: 60856-0

Radjash^t¹⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 11-0| J: Alain Cawley| T: D Carroll

66/1

14-race maiden on Flat where appeared to struggle to stay a mile. Kept on though on hurdles bow over two miles at Huntingdon recently and interesting to see if he can build on the promise of that effort.

Form: 6

South Seas²⁴⁸

Age: 5| Weight: 11-0| J: Harry Skelton| T: D Skelton

15/2

Won Group 3 Solario Stakes in 2016 and 102 rated handicapper in 2018 season for Andrew Balding. Joined current yard in January and finished last of 19 in Lincoln Handicap on only run this year. Very interesting and classy jumps recruit.

Form:

Overtrumped⁵⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 10-7| J: G Sheehan| T: H Whittington

25/1

1m2f Newmarket handicap winner for Mike Murphy last year and second at Nottngham this summer. Hurdles bow for new connections, gets weight allowance but will need to be decent to make a winning debut.

Form:

Non-Runners

Hunting Percival⁵⁵

Weight: 11-0| Age: 4

T: T Lacey J: R T Dunne

Forecasts

First Lord De Cuet (11/8), Keep Rolling (3/1), One Touch (3/1), Hunting Percival (13/2), South Seas (15/2), Overtrumped (25/1), Nye Bevan (50/1), Blazing Saddles (50/1), Pinnacle Peak (66/1), Radjash (66/1), Bear That N Mind (100/1), Incredible Dream (100/1), Debden Bank (100/1), Port Lairge (200/1)

Six of the last eight winners of this race have started at 5/2 or shorter so those toward the top of the market deserve very serious consideration. SOUTH SEAS was different class to these on the Flat but has been restricted to just one start in the last year. If he can jump and is fit and well, he may make a winning start to his new career on debut for a top jumps yard. Both First Lord De Cuet and One Touch have potential in this sphere, while the filly Overtrumped is worth noting for any market support. A similar comment applies to Wincanton bumper winner Hunting Percival.