13:55 Lingfield

Thursday 28 November 2019

All12:1012:4513:2013:5514:2515:0015:30

Betway Heed Your Hunch Handicap

Off time: 13:55 | Winning time: 2m 2.85s

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Selected odds by:

(1)

Lawn Ranger⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-7| J: Kieren Fox| T: M J Attwater| OR: 93| C| D

7/1

Likes to race prominently and is well drawn to attack; displayed battling tendencies to repel all challengers (drew right away) when winning at Goodwood (1m1f, good) in August; 4lb higher; has done much of his AW racing at Kempton.

Form: 165186

(4)

Stamford Raffles⁶³

Age: 6| Weight: 9-4| J: Darragh Keenan⁽³⁾| T: Jane Chapple-Hyam| OR: 90

25/1

Down the field in the Consolation Race for the Northumberland Plate (2m) when last racing on the AW; won a small field affair at Newmarket (1m4f, good to firm) subsequently; others appear to be better treated.

Form: 070155

(7)

Time Change^b1⁷¹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-4| J: R Kingscote| T: R M Beckett| OR: 90| D

9/1

Comfortable winner of a Class 3 handicap at Bath (1m2f, good to firm) in August; has struggled to make her mark in Listed contests since; lightly raced on the AW (0-1) and this is a far more realistic assignment; blinkers are applied.

Form: 521506

(5)

Universal Gleam¹²

Age: 4| Weight: 9-3| J: Callum Rodriguez| T: K Dalgleish| OR: 89

5/1

4-13 on turf (0-3 on the AW); most effective between 1m and 1m1f; remains 2lb higher than when beating Star Shield by ¾L at Redcar (1m, good to firm) in August; won't be travelling south purely for the good of his health.

Form: 015697

(2)

Mr Scaramanga¹²

Age: 5| Weight: 9-1| J: L Morris| T: S Dow| OR: 87| C| D

16/1

Weakened quickly from the furlong pole when fifth of six to Crossed Baton in the Listed Churchill Stakes over C&D 12 days ago; this race represents an ease in grade; narrow winner at Epsom (1m2f, good) in July.

Form: 381735

(8)

El Ghazwani^t²⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 9-0| J: J Mitchell| T: H Palmer| OR: 86| CD

6/4

Unbeaten in three starts over C&D (promoted to first place on one occasion); 4lb lower than when landing the odds by a neck in April; produced a reasonably solid run at Kempton latest (didn't quite stay 1m3f?); holds every chance.

Form: 377565

(3)

Michele Strogoff¹⁰

Age: 6| Weight: 8-13| J: Alistair Rawlinson| T: M Appleby| OR: 85| D

6/1

Hasn't won since the turn of the year but is impossible to knock for consistency; likes to force the early pace and paid the price for doing so when weakening late on (third) at his favoured Wolverhampton recently.

Form: 522253

(6)

Sky Defender¹⁹⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 8-10| J: J Fanning| T: C & M Johnston| OR: 85| D

13/2

Authoritative winner of a Class 4 handicap at Bath (1m2f, firm) in May but absent since flopping in a stronger race at Newbury a few weeks later; is likely to face plenty of competition for the lead; vulnerable as a 3yo?

Form: 9173-10

Forecasts

El Ghazwani (6/4), Universal Gleam (5/1), Michele Strogoff (6/1), Sky Defender (13/2), Lawn Ranger (7/1), Time Change (9/1), Mr Scaramanga (16/1), Stamford Raffles (25/1)

A quality handicap which promises to be run at a fierce pace with any number suited by front-running tactics, including the Goodwood scorer Lawn Ranger, the eased-in-grade Churchill Stakes fifth Mr Scaramanga and the Wolverhampton regular Michele Strogoff. Of the remainder, Hugo Palmer's El Ghazwani defends an unbeaten C&D record (3-3), while the Keith Dalgleish-trained Universal Gleam won't be making the long journey south simply for the good of his health. However, in a very tight and trappy race small stakes are aimed at the blinkered filly TIME CHANGE who has found Listed assignments overly competitive since scoring at Bath in August.