12:45 Lingfield

Thursday 28 November 2019

All12:1012:4513:2013:5514:2515:0015:30

Play 4 To Score At Betway Handicap

Off time: 12:46 | Winning time: 3m 28.76s

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Selected odds by:

(11)

Affluence^p⁹^{(ex 5)}

Age: 4| Weight: 10-6| J: Jacob Clark⁽⁷⁾| T: Martin Smith| OR: 66| C

5/1

Justified favouritism with a swift turn of foot at Chelmsford (1m6f) last week; 5lb penalty negated by the 7lb claimer Jacob Clark; unexposed as a stayer; major chance.

Form:

(7)

Giving Back^v²⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 10-1| J: David Probert| T: A King| OR: 66| CD

7/1

Won twice on the Flat during September (1m6f-2m), rising in the weights a combined total of 8lb; switches to the AW following a recent spin over hurdles at Fontwell.

Form:

(4)

Continuum^v⁴⁵

Age: 10| Weight: 10-1| J: T P Queally| T: P Hedger| OR: 66

11/1

Veteran; twice placed over C&D in recent months, albeit was beaten 5L by Casa Comigo in September; clearly others are open to more improvement.

Form:

(6)

Phoenix Dawn^t⁴¹¹

Age: 5| Weight: 9-12| J: L P Keniry| T: L Allan| OR: 63| D

40/1

20-1 winner of a 2m handicap hurdle at Plumpton (for Brendan Powell) in September 2018; best watched off a 411-day absence on debut for Louise Allan.

Form:

(9)

Nafaayes^p¹⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 9-11| J: Hollie Doyle| T: Jean-Rene Auvray| OR: 62| CD

4/1

C&D winner (also runner-up on her last visit to this track in June); demonstrated that she's fit and well with a keeping on 50-1 third over hurdles at Taunton (2m+) a fortnight ago; each-way possibilities.

Form:

(3)

Sea Sovereign²²

Age: 6| Weight: 9-8| J: Robbie Walsh⁽⁵⁾| T: Ian Williams| OR: 59

9/2

15-race maiden; 1lb lower than when finishing 6L third to Star of Athena at Wolverhampton (1m6f) three weeks ago; stable going reasonably well of late.

Form:

(5)

Thresholdofadream²³

Age: 4| Weight: 9-7| J: J Fanning| T: Mrs A J Perrett| OR: 58| CD

6/1

Below-par when returning from a break latest; 4lb higher than when beating Bird For Life by 1¾L at Kempton (2m) in June; stablemate of Percy's Prince.

Form:

(13)

Betsalottie^p¹²

Age: 6| Weight: 8-12| J: K T O'Neill| T: J J Bridger| OR: 49| C

50/1

Now rated 9lb lower than when finishing second to True Destiny over C&D 12 months ago; all downhill since in terms of form; may strip fitter for his recent comeback run but largely unappealing.

Form:

(10)

Percy's Prince^p²²

Age: 3| Weight: 8-11| J: K Shoemark| T: Mrs A J Perrett| OR: 55| BF| D

11/2

With Sir Mark Prescott when beating Nordano by a neck at Kempton (2m) in September; has knocked at the door since, including on recent stable debut (cost 12,000gns); one to consider; stablemate of Thresholdofadream.

Form:

(8)

Sweet Nature^p²²

Age: 4| Weight: 8-10| J: L Morris| T: Mrs L J Mongan| OR: 47

20/1

Newcastle novice winner (1m) for William Haggas last November; precious few positives to take from her form throughout 2019; stable appear to be clutching at straws by trying this 2m trip; unlikely.

Form:

(1)

Dancing Lilly⁶⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 8-9| J: William Carson| T: Debbie Hughes| OR: 46

20/1

Hasn't shown that she possesses a great deal of ability (0-6) and continues to ease in the weights to a basement mark of 46.

Form:

(12)

Lady Natasha^t⁷⁴

Age: 6| Weight: 8-9| J: Sophie Ralston⁽⁵⁾| T: James Grassick| OR: 45

50/1

26-race maiden; made the frame at odds of 40-1 at Bath (1m5f, firm) on her penultimate start but that's an outlier on her CV; considered unlikely; look elsewhere.

Form:

Non-Runners

(2)

Tin Fandango²⁹

Weight: 10-0| Age: 4

T: M D I Usher J: Non Runner

Forecasts

Nafaayes (4/1), Sea Sovereign (9/2), Affluence (5/1), Percy's Prince (11/2), Thresholdofadream (6/1), Giving Back (7/1), Continuum (11/1), Sweet Nature (20/1), Dancing Lilly (20/1), Tin Fandango (20/1), Phoenix Dawn (40/1), Betsalottie (50/1), Lady Natasha (50/1)

AFFLUENCE is unexposed over staying trips and promises to be a better horse than a Class 6 handicapper. He carries a 5lb penalty for last week's Chelmsford win (1m6f) but that is effectively negated through the deployment of the 7lb claimer Jacob Clark. His chances of following up are there for all and sundry to see with potential threats likely to emerge from the consistent Percy's Prince (now with Amanda Perrett) and the race-fit course specialist Nafaayes.