15:00 Newcastle

Thursday 21 November 2019

All13:2013:5514:2515:0015:3016:0516:35

Play 4 To Score At Betway Handicap

Off time: 15:00 | Winning time: 2m 10.33s

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(8)

Home Before Dusk^p³⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 9-7| J: Ben Sanderson⁽⁵⁾| T: K Dalgleish| OR: 84| CD

11/2

Course specialist whose last two runs have resulted in victories over 1m here (4-8 at this track overall). Now steps back up in trip, and is on a career-high mark now, but evidently in career-best form so has to enter calculations.

Form: 162211

(1)

Arabic Culture²⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 9-4| J: S H James| T: Grant Tuer| OR: 81

9/2

Runner-up the last twice at this track over 1m4f (behind Paths Of Glory), and then recently in a competitive Newmarket (1m4f; soft) handicap. Career-high mark to defy, but must be on the premises on that form.

Form: 121722

(3)

Paddyplex⁴¹

Age: 6| Weight: 9-3| J: Jason Hart| T: Karen McLintock| OR: 80| CD

33/1

Not won since scoring on handicap debut over this C&D back in November 2017. 2lb below that mark now, but could have shown more when well-beaten into seventh over 1m4f at this track last month. Doesn't look like bouncing back to form yet.

Form: 2490-57

(4)

Rajinsky^p1³¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: Jane Elliott| T: Tom Dascombe| OR: 83| D

7/2

Made a winning seasonal reappearance at Windsor (1m2f; heavy) last month on just his third handicap start. Up 3lb but there should be more to come as he makes his AW debut. Half-brother was an AW winner.

Form: 82133-1

(5)

Mostawaa^p1³¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: B A Curtis| T: H Main| OR: 82| C

8/1

Yet to achieve anything significant in three handicap starts, and he finished over 10-length behind Rajinsky at Windsor (1m2f; heavy) when last seen. Yard are out of form and so he is readily opposed until showing more encouragement.

Form: 71-4575

(10)

Seven Clans^p²¹

Age: 7| Weight: 8-13| J: Gemma Tutty⁽³⁾| T: K Tutty| OR: 76| D

33/1

More encouraging when third over this trip at Chelmsford (1m2f; standard) last time out. Needs to build on that, and overall profile would suggest he is not the most reliable sort. More exposed than some of his rivals as well.

Form: 7-04003

(9)

Skerryvore²¹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: Tom Marquand| T: J R Fanshawe| OR: 78| BF| CD

4/1

Broke maiden tag over this C&D back in September, and has since finished fourth (Seven Clans in third) at Chelmsford (1m2f; standard). Still lightly raced after just the six starts, but must find more after underwhelming recent defeat.

Form: 542314

(2)

Railport Dolly²⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 8-11| J: J Fanning| T: T D Barron| OR: 74| D

11/1

Makes AW debut. Disappointed at Doncaster (1m2f; heavy) when last seen in a slightly lower grade than this. On the basis of her form overall this year though, she would be entitled to hold an each-way squeak if handling the surface.

Form: 233726

(7)

Big Daddy Kane³³

Age: 3| Weight: 8-8| J: Jason Watson| T: M Botti| OR: 74

15/2

Unexposed handicap newcomer who has shown more than enough in three starts to suggest he can win races in this sphere. Posted a promising effort on the AW most recently, when runner-up behind a potentially above-average Godolphin sort. Major player.

Form: 342

(6)

Madeeh^t⁵⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 8-5| J: Phil Dennis| T: P A Kirby| OR: 71WS

50/1

0-7 and returns to the AW after finishing tailed off at Chester (1m2f; soft) when last seen. Something to prove off the back of that and hasn't improved for the switch to handicaps this year. Remains best watched.

Form: 526467

Forecasts

Rajinsky (7/2), Skerryvore (4/1), Arabic Culture (9/2), Home Before Dusk (11/2), Big Daddy Kane (15/2), Mostawaa (8/1), Railport Dolly (11/1), Paddyplex (33/1), Seven Clans (33/1), Madeeh (50/1)

Another tricky puzzle to solve with the handicap newcomer Big Daddy Kane an interesting runner, especially on the basis of his most recent piece of form at Wolverhampton. He is open to a lot of improvement now switched to this sphere, but this is a very competitive affair. Home Before Dusk is a four-time course winner, and took his form to a new level when successful over 1m here last month, but he must defy a career-high mark. Thus, given he still looks relatively unexposed, it may pay to side with the lightly raced RAJINSKY who may end up a fair bit better than his current mark. A 3lb rise seems fair after he made a winning return to action, and he can go in again.