17:15 Southwell
Monday 18 November 2019
All16:1516:4517:1517:4518:1518:4519:1519:45
Betway Heed Your Hunch Handicap
- 3YO plus | Class 4 | 4f 214y | Standard | 13 Runners | Fibresand | Weighed In
- Off time: 17:17 | Winning time: 58.52s
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Out of sorts at present, but is a three-time C&D winner from five starts, and is now lower in the weights than for all of those wins. Dropping in class, too, and a revival looks on the cards.
Now 4lb higher than when second over C&D in August having won at Nottingham next time. Well below form at that venue last time, although probe to the odd off-day, and could bounce back.
Below form twice on turf last month, but back to form when 2¾L second of 8 to Hareem Queen over C&D last time. Needs to build on that to be successful here, but not discounted.
Won over 5f at Windsor in June, but below form since, and no obvious excuses when leading at Ascot last time. Untried on Fibresand, and percentage call is to swerve him on recent evidence.
Has won 13 times here in total, and five times this season between 5f-7f. Last couple of runs suggest he's just in the handicapper's grip, but folly to dismiss from calculations given his record.
Three time winner on turf this year, and has run creditably on Tapeta on his last two outings. Claims if handling this surface on first attempt, although others look safer propositions.
Fourth on sole start here, and has enjoyed a fruitful campaign in 2019, winning three times. Good second at Nottingham earlier in the month, and one to bear in mind.
Naas winner of Aidan O'Brien as a juvenile, but has run poorly since, and tried in cheekpieces and tongue on latest start without any improvement. Has since had wind surgery, and tried in a visor now, but easy to have reservations.
Won at Windsor in May for Amy Murphy, and better than the result when fourth over C&D for new yard last time, taking a significant bump shortly after the start. Should better that, and certainly worth considering.
Three-time Tapeta winner who made his debut on Fibresand over C&D last month, and ran moderately. Fared no better upped to 1m here last time, and easy to oppose him on evidence of those runs.
Has posted a couple of solid efforts since winning at Catterick in July, but disappointing on last two starts. Hood she wore when winning is belatedly refitted here, and that may help her rediscover her form.
Went the wrong way for Ger Lyons, and ran poorly on debut for new yard at Nottingham earlier in the month. Well treated on best form, but debatable what he's capable of now.
Moody sort who can start slowly, but more than capable when in the mood, and has twice finished second over C&D since winning here last month. Arguably better a rung down the class ladder, though.
Forecasts
Tawny Port (7/2), Fantasy Keeper (11/2), Canford Bay (13/2), Moonraker (8/1), Afandem (10/1), Erissimus Maximus (10/1), Free Love (10/1), Samovar (12/1), Crosse Fire (12/1), Enchanted Linda (16/1), Nick Vedder (25/1), Isle Of Innisfree (25/1), Andre Amar (80/1)
A pretty open sprint with plenty of proven C&D performers. A chance is taken on MOONRAKER, who hasn't been in great form, but will be seen to better effect here with the return to Fibresand and drop in class both catalysts for a revival. The selection has a couple of stablemates who could easily contend, but Afandem and Erissimus Maximus appeal as the biggest dangers.
- Moonraker
- Afandem
- Erissimus Maximus
Previous Winners
Prize Money
1st: £5,208.002nd: £1,550.003rd: £774.004th: £400.005th: £400.006th: £400.007th: £400.008th: £400.00
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