14:00 Southwell

Tuesday 5 November 2019

All13:0013:3014:0014:3015:0015:3016:05

Betway Heed Your Hunch Handicap

Off time: 14:03 | Winning time: 1m 13.49s

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(10)

Rock Sound³⁷⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 9-7| J: D Nolan| T: D Carroll| OR: 65

7/4

Made a winning debut (Limerick, 7f soft/heavy) but didn't kick on positively thereafter for Dermot Weld; sold for 21,000gns in October 2018; debuts for Declan Carroll off a 378-day absence; consult the market for advice.

Form: 18677-

(14)

First Excel^b²⁶

Age: 7| Weight: 9-5| J: Lewis Edmunds| T: S R Bowring| OR: 63| CD

9/1

Has three C&D wins on his CV, and was runner-up on three occasions here last winter; 2lb lower than when finishing a weakening eighth of 12 to Samovar over 5f here recently; should strip fitter but a wide draw is problematic.

Form: 235778

(11)

Zebulon¹⁸⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 9-5| J: J P Sullivan| T: Mrs R Carr| OR: 63| D

22/1

3lb higher than when winning at Newcastle (6f) in October 2018; hasn't raced too often since (three times); makes his Fibresand debut off a 186-day absence.

Form: 761-495

(1)

Shellebeau²¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: Rossa Ryan| T: Alexandra Dunn| OR: 62

33/1

Lost her way for former trainer Paul Nicholls and was moved on for £5,500 in August; ran reasonably well for much of the race (always prominent) on debut for Alex Dunn at Kempton three weeks ago; Fibresand debut.

Form: 23-5807

(13)

Gupta²⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: Thore Hammer-Hansen⁽⁵⁾| T: D H Brown| OR: 62

12/1

Finished well down the field on return to action (handicap debut) at Newcastle (5f) last month; 2lb lower; significant improvement required on first start at 6f.

Form: 3460

(7)

Dandy Highwayman^b,t³⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 9-1| J: Ben Robinson| T: Ollie Pears| OR: 59| D

17/2

Both of his AW wins have come at Newcastle (6f); his recent form is respectable in the context of this race (finished 2¾L second to Pearl Of Qatar at Newcastle latest); place chance.

Form: 033752

(8)

Jill Rose^p²⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-1| J: Phil Dennis| T: R M Whitaker| OR: 59| D

16/1

Driven out to beat Grimsdyke by 3L at Thirsk in August (6f, soft); not disgraced over C&D on her last couple of starts (fourth and fifth) without shaping like a future winner either; 3lb above her winning mark.

Form: 481645

(3)

Freedom And Wheat^v⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 9-1| J: S W Kelly| T: M D I Usher| OR: 59

12/1

Theoretically is handicapped to be competitive; comfortably held third to Awa Bomba over 7f here on his penultimate start; always in rear when last of 14 at Lingfield subsequently; others preferred.

Form: 383730

(5)

Kodicat^p⁴³

Age: 5| Weight: 8-13| J: K Stott| T: K A Ryan| OR: 57

9/1

Doesn't tend to win all that often (1-32 career) but equally her consistency can't be knocked either; couldn't match the finishing kick of Shortbackandsides at Hamilton (6f, soft) 43 days ago; is worth trying on this surface.

Form: 523372

(12)

Sir Hector³³

Age: 4| Weight: 8-12| J: William Carson| T: C Wallis| OR: 56

7/1

Running fairly well in defeat at Chelmsford (6f) of late, with those form lines given a loose boost by Gottardo (second) at Newcastle on Friday; placed on his only previous visit to Southwell (Jan 2018); can't be discounted.

Form: 02P825

(2)

Wild Flower^p¹⁹

Age: 7| Weight: 8-8| J: K T O'Neill| T: L McJannet| OR: 52| D

14/1

Arrives seeking a hat-trick following wins at Chelmsford (7f) and Brighton (6f, soft) - reinstated after an appeal in the first instance; 4lb higher on Fibresand debut.

Form: 505711

(9)

Bawtry Lady^b²⁷⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 8-2| J: Hollie Doyle| T: D C Griffiths| OR: 45

50/1

Maiden (0-9); off the track for 278 days since finishing seventh of eight (25-1) over C&D in January; considered unlikely on the balance of probabilities.

Form: 843-657

(6)

Remission⁸⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 8-2| J: D Fentiman| T: D Shaw| OR: 45

80/1

Maiden (0-7); has shown precious little ability since sent handicapping (5f-6f); far safer to look elsewhere for the solution.

Form: 988-839

(4)

North Korea²⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 8-2| J: A Mullen| T: B P J Baugh| OR: 45

50/1

Sole win came over 5f at Lingfield (good to firm) in July 2018; unable to reach the leaders when finishing 2½L fourth (50-1) to Sharrabang in a 6f Wolverhampton classified stakes last month.

Form: 838574

Forecasts

Rock Sound (7/4), Sir Hector (7/1), Dandy Highwayman (17/2), First Excel (9/1), Kodicat (9/1), Freedom And Wheat (12/1), Gupta (12/1), Wild Flower (14/1), Jill Rose (16/1), Zebulon (22/1), Shellebeau (33/1), North Korea (50/1), Bawtry Lady (50/1), Remission (80/1)

An open contest. The consistent Kodicat is worth trying on this Fibresand surface, while the likes of Dandy Highwayman, Wild Flower and Sir Hector also merit a positive mention. The market promises to be helpful in relation to the returning top-weight Rock Sound, while the C&D specialist First Excel is seemingly inconvenienced by a wide draw. However, the opposite is true for the front-running SHELLEBEAU who is possibly worth chancing for small stakes after showing signs of a return to form on her first start for Alex Dunn at Kempton three weeks ago.