17:25 Newcastle

Friday 1 November 2019

All15:4516:1516:5017:2518:0018:3019:0019:3020:00

Betway Casino Handicap

Off time: 17:25 | Winning time: 58.48s

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(12)

Arishka³²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-9| J: K T O'Neill| T: D & C Kubler| OR: 72| CD

20/1

Opened her account with a C&D win back in March and followed up with a turf win at Nottingham off an 8lb higher mark improving again. Failed but wasn't disgraced in her hat-trick bid; offered little though either side of a break; more needed.

Form: 911260

(2)

Hassaad¹⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 9-7| J: Hollie Doyle| T: A Watson| OR: 70| D

8/1

Lightly-raced sort who scored on her stable debut making the most of a simple task at long odds-on at Brighton. Ran well on her only AW start before running an indifferent race on handicap debut (soft ground); AW return with a little to prove.

Form: 3125

(11)

Hard Solution¹⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: S A Gray| T: D O'Meara| OR: 67| D

9/1

Three-time winner this year improving for his latest win having scored twice previously in selling grade over5f/6f. Two quick runs on the AW have shown him capable of winning again; produced a sound display over C&D last time off this mark.

Form: 338174

(3)

Almurr¹⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: S P Davis⁽³⁾| T: Phillip Makin| OR: 67

14/1

There have been flashes of promise this year although in the main he's not looked one to go overboard about despite a mark that has plummeted. Finished behind a couple of today's rivals over C&D last time; hard one to trust to turn events around.

Form: 770656

(9)

Kyllachy Warrior²²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: Oisin Murphy| T: L A Mullaney| OR: 67

4/1

Lightly-raced as a 2yo his seven starts this year have yielded some promise despite the fact he's yet to score. Given a wind op prior to his two most recent efforts he ran well enough on Fibresand last time; may fall short again though.

Form: 520733

(6)

Henley²³

Age: 7| Weight: 9-4| J: B A Curtis| T: Miss Tracy Waggott| OR: 67| CD

14/1

C&D winner who appears to be rather struggling for form this year even when tried back here over this trip last time failing to take an advantage of a much-reduced mark. Hard to recommend on the back of several bleak attempts this year.

Form: 606640

(13)

Raspberry¹⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: D Fentiman| T: Olly Williams| OR: 65

50/1

Off the mark in a weak race at the start of the year (Ayr, 6f) she's not really found the transition to handicaps easy. Ran her best race in that sphere over C&D returning to form from out of the blue; has run two poor races lately; best watched.

Form: 159297

(4)

Landing Night^p,t¹⁵

Age: 7| Weight: 9-2| J: Megan Nicholls⁽³⁾| T: R Menzies| OR: 65| CD

9/1

Took advantage of a career-low mark when scoring over 5f at Catterick in September (won with very little in hand). Done nothing since in there starts that would come close to matching that form; has won over C&D but others appeal more.

Form: 441045

(7)

Brandy Station^h¹⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 9-1| J: Gavin Ashton⁽⁷⁾| T: L Williamson| OR: 64| D

80/1

A drop in grade/mark and with first-time cheekpieces on he managed to produce his one standout effort of the season at Ffos Las (5f, good). Two AW efforts since (one over C&D) have shown him in a poor light; not one to interest in this.

Form: 435100

(1)

Superseded²⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-1| J: Dylan Hogan⁽⁵⁾| T: J Butler| OR: 64| D

66/1

Both career wins have come on Tapeta over this trip but at Wolverhampton (0-2 over C&D). Both his previous attempts here were before he won but he's not really been firing of late turning in four poor efforts including over 5f at Wolverhampton.

Form: 410880

(5)

Longroom¹⁵

Age: 7| Weight: 8-13| J: Phil Dennis| T: N Wilson| OR: 62| D

16/1

From a yard struggling for form this year (1-106); produced some solid enough efforts on occasions but it can't be ignored that his losing sequence is growing. Some positives from his last few starts; enthusiasm is tempered overall by stable form.

Form: 294473

(10)

Be Proud¹⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: Ben Robinson| T: J S Goldie| OR: 61| CD

3/1

His three best performances in ratings terms have come on the AW including his C&D win off a 7lb lower mark. Every chance when runner-up over C&D last time coming from off the pace; off the same mark here, looks to have a leading chance.

Form: 242152

(8)

Qaaraat^p³

Age: 4| Weight: 8-7| J: Cam Hardie| T: A Brittain| OR: 56

7/1

Appeared to be in a lull and on a long losing run until showing some signs of life on the Fibresand earlier in the week looking at home on that surface. Still yet to win on synthetics; career-record of 1-31 spells danger despite a much reduced mark.

Form: 066563

Forecasts

Be Proud (3/1), Kyllachy Warrior (4/1), Qaaraat (7/1), Hassaad (8/1), Landing Night (9/1), Hard Solution (9/1), Almurr (14/1), Henley (14/1), Longroom (16/1), Arishka (20/1), Raspberry (50/1), Superseded (66/1), Brandy Station (80/1)

The market leader has won all three runnings of this event and it’s hard to look beyond those at the head of the betting once again with sound profiles and winning form hard to come by. BE PROUD was just touched off here last time out off this same mark under Ben Robinson and he’s chosen to go one better having shown he goes well here. Back in fourth that day was Hard Solution and although he may struggle to reverse the form he should be on the premises once again. Qaaraat shaped nicely earlier in the week at Southwell but has to prove himself on Tapeta while Kyllachy Warrior isn’t out of this on recent efforts.