16:30 Chepstow

Tuesday 29 October 2019

All13:1513:4514:2014:5015:2516:0016:30

myracing.com Free Bets And Tips Standard NH Flat Race (Conditional Jockeys And Amateur Riders)

Off time: 16:31 | Winning time: 4m 3.6s

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Selected odds by:

Cardiff Bay

Age: 4| Weight: 11-2| J: Mitchell Bastyan⁽⁵⁾| T: Evan Williams

16/1

By Arcadio out of a half-sister to smart staying chaser Swansea Bay, and cost £9,000 last year. Others appeal more on paper, and this gelding may need time and distance to make his mark.

Form:

Falberto

Age: 4| Weight: 11-2| J: C Brace⁽³⁾| T: S Thomas

10/1

Alberto Giacometti gelding out of a mare who was placed in AQPS Flat races in France. Likely type on background for this sort of race, although yard only 1-55 in bumpers in last five years.

Form:

Frisco Bay¹⁸⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 11-2| J: Edward Austin⁽⁷⁾| T: J & A O'Neill

6/1

Full-brother to bumper winner Pileon out of a half-sister to useful bumper winner Naranja. Will stay further in time, but should be effective in this arena, and shortlisted.

Form: 4-2

Linelee King²⁴⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 11-2| J: Fergus Gregory⁽³⁾| T: O Murphy

8/13

Son of Martaline who was an impressive winner of a maiden point-to-point on his only start, and cost £160,000 subsequently. Has joined a yard with a 25% strike rate in bumpers, and appears the one to beat.

Form: 1-

Manintheshadows

Age: 4| Weight: 11-2| J: Mr Anthony O'Neill⁽⁷⁾| T: J & A O'Neill

20/1

Out of a half-sister to smart staying chaser Otago Trail, and may well make his mark over jumps, but looks yard's second string on riding arrangements, and passed over.

Form:

Mr Stan²⁵⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 11-2| J: Jack Savage⁽⁷⁾| T: N & W Twiston-Davies

20/1

Dam is a winning half-sister to top-class hurdler Harchibald, but she's not produced any winners from six previous foals, and this son of Scorpion looked limited when finishing last of 7 at Fakenham on his debut.

Form: 7-

My Friendly Cousin

Age: 4| Weight: 11-2| J: Mr Jamie Neild⁽⁷⁾| T: H Whittington

6/1

Dam was a dual bumper winner in these colours, and this homebred gelding makes more appeal that most, and represents a yard in fine form so far this season.

Form:

Plenty In The Tank

Age: 4| Weight: 11-2| J: Jack Tudor⁽⁷⁾| T: E De Giles

14/1

Flat-bred gelding from a capable yard which has few runners in this sphere. Dangerous to dismiss him on that basis, and merits a market check in the circumstances.

Form:

Thestopperdunne^p1¹⁸⁵

Age: 6| Weight: 11-2| J: Shane Quinlan⁽⁵⁾| T: K BishopWS

100/1

Has been struggling to get home in the point-to-point field (pulled up last three starts), and although wind surgery may help, he's hard to warm to on rules bow.

Form: P35PPP-

Forecasts

Linelee King (8/13), Frisco Bay (6/1), My Friendly Cousin (6/1), Falberto (10/1), Plenty In The Tank (14/1), Cardiff Bay (16/1), Manintheshadows (20/1), Mr Stan (20/1), Thestopperdunne (100/1)

LINELEE KING has been well touted ahead of his bumper debut, and this impressive point-to-point winner is almost certainly the one to beat. Frisco Bay and My Friendly Cousin make obvious appeal on breeding, and are feared, while Plenty In The Tank comes from a less obvious source, but has a decent Flat pedigree, and should not be ignored.