16:50 Chelmsford City

Saturday 26 October 2019

All16:5017:2518:0018:3019:0019:3020:0020:30

Bet toteplacepot At totesport.com Novice Auction Stakes

Off time: 16:54 | Winning time: 1m 27.52s

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Selected odds by:

(12)

Never In Red⁸

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: K T O'Neill| T: R Brisland| OR: 72| D

7/2

Off the mark at the fourth attempt when winning at Brighton (7f, good to firm) two starts ago. Contested a better race under a penalty at Newcastle (7f, Tapeta) but was too keen and weakened late on. Not ruled out if settling better.

Form: 37318

(9)

Burning¹⁸

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: S Donohoe| T: C Fellowes

5/1

Improved on his moderate debut to finish fifth of 16 at Brighton (7f, good to soft) 18 days ago. Still well beaten that day and will need another big step forward to challenge for a place.

Form: 85

(7)

Trigger Happy

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: Megan Nicholls⁽³⁾| T: R Spencer

20/1

Cost 28,000 gns as a foal. Dam 5f juvenile winner. Half-brother to winners to two winners in Europe (Spain/Italy); both as two-year-olds. Yard do have first time out winners but have just a 3.8% strike-rate with youngsters this year.

Form:

(1)

Forus⁹

Age: 2| Weight: 9-1| J: D C Costello| T: J A Osborne| OR: 63

9/1

Showed some ability when fourth of ten at Wolverhampton (7f, Tapeta) on second start but form has regressed since in three outings. Only beat two home here in Nursery company (1m2f) last time and hard to be enthusiastic about his claims.

Form: 74860

(3)

Freshwater Cliffs^h1¹²

Age: 2| Weight: 9-1| J: Finley Marsh⁽³⁾| T: R Hughes| OR: 68

10/3

Improved with each of his first three runs, culminating in a good second over C&D two runs back. Easy to forgive his run at Yarmouth (7f, heavy) given the ground and him being hampered two furlongs out. One for the shortlist back here.

Form: 3529

(6)

Scorpio's Dream¹⁶

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Darragh Keenan⁽³⁾| T: C Wallis

66/1

Finished last, beaten 34L and 21L in two starts at Kempton in recent weeks and hard to envisage anything other than a similar outcome here given that evidence.

Form: 90

(8)

Billy Button¹³¹

Age: 2| Weight: 8-13| J: Joey Haynes| T: D K Ivory

16/1

Mid-division finishes in both starts thus far here (6f, Polytrack) and at Windsor (5f, good to soft) but off the track for 131 days since. Breeding doesn't suggest this longer trip will suit and may well be one for handicaps down the line.

Form: 55

(10)

Lyricist Voice²⁵

Age: 2| Weight: 8-13| J: L Morris| T: M Botti| OR: 72

9/4

Narrowly touched off at Kempton (7f, Polytrack) in similar races on his last two runs, and was possibly unlucky not to win the first of those. Sets the form standard on that form and, with conditions to suit, will be difficult to beat.

Form: 522

(2)

Evaporust^e/s1⁹

Age: 2| Weight: 8-12| J: Ellie Mackenzie⁽⁷⁾| T: M D I Usher

33/1

Well-beaten in his two races to date at Ascot (6f, good to firm) and Wolverhampton (6f, Tapeta). Connections reach for headgear but even that is unlikely to bring about sufficient improvement to get involved.

Form: 08

(5)

High Maintenance

Age: 2| Weight: 8-10| J: S W Kelly| T: D M Loughnane

33/1

First foal; her dam won over 6f for this yard at Wolverhampton and is from the wider family of 1,000 Guineas winner Cape Verdi. Yard aren't prolific with their juveniles and she come into her own once handicapping.

Form:

(11)

Prairie Moppins¹²

Age: 2| Weight: 8-10| J: Thomas Greatrex⁽⁵⁾| T: S Kirk

50/1

Tailed off on debut at Salisbury (7f, soft) and was are only marginally better at Wolverhampton (7f, Tapeta) 12 days ago. Would be a surprise winner of this on that form and is another who qualifies for handicaps after this.

Form: 09

Non-Runners

(4)

Marhaba Salamah

Weight: 8-11| Age: 2

T: R Spencer J: J Mitchell

Forecasts

Lyricist Voice (9/4), Freshwater Cliffs (10/3), Never In Red (7/2), Burning (5/1), Marhaba Salamah (7/1), Forus (9/1), Billy Button (16/1), Trigger Happy (20/1), High Maintenance (33/1), Evaporust (33/1), Prairie Moppins (50/1), Scorpio's Dream (66/1)

With not a lot of solid form in the book, it's hard to LYRICIST VOICE not taking advantage of seems to be a good opportunity after his two narrow defeats at Kempton. Freshwater Cliffs wasn't given a hard time on heavy ground recently after being impeded and could be the biggest danger based on his C&D second two runs back whilst Never In Red has shown enough to make the frame is settling better than he did at Newcastle, when pulling his chance away last time.