17:10 Kempton

Wednesday 16 October 2019

All16:4017:1017:4018:1018:4019:1019:4020:10

32Red Casino Novice Median Auction Stakes

Off time: 17:15 | Winning time: 1m 12.84s

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Selected odds by:

(9)

Bo Taifan

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: S W Kelly| T: R Hughes

66/1

Gutaifan colt. Out of a Cockney Rebel mare who was unraced on the track. Half-Brother to two-time winner Rumshak (5f). Yard currently in good form and merits a betting check.

Form:

(6)

Captivated¹¹

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: R Havlin| T: J & T Gosden

3/1

Bated Breath colt who struggled on debut when 29L 12th behind impressive winner at Newmarket (7f) earlier this month. That run may be too bad to be true and worth another chance.

Form: 0

(8)

Qasbaz²¹

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: Nicola Currie| T: J A Osborne

4/1

Only beaten 2L on debut last month and arguably bettered that when second over C&D in late September. Winner of that race has subsequently finished third in a Listed race so sets the form standard.

Form: 42

(5)

Tyger Bay^t1

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: Josephine Gordon| T: S L Keightley

66/1

Cable Bay colt. Dam hails from a Royal Applause family but hasn't produced any winners on the track to date. Yard rarely has first time out or juvenile winners so is opposable.

Form:

(12)

Various

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: Charles Bishop| T: Eve Johnson Houghton

50/1

By useful 7f performer Fulbright. Dam was a one-time winner (6f) on the track but has produced two winners in Secret Sharp (1m) and Henke (6f). Yard in modest form so worth a check on debut.

Form:

(4)

Cry Havoc

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Rob Hornby| T: Rae Guest

20/1

War Command filly. Dam was a 7f winner on the flat and wasn't disgraced in pattern company. Half-sister to three-time scorer Charming Guest and 6f winner Mad Rose. Interesting enough pedigree. Considered.

Form:

(3)

Etheric

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Tom Marquand| T: M Botti

25/1

By Aussie sprinter Brazen Beau. First progeny of a dam who landed two minor honour contests on the AW during her career. Notable if there is market support.

Form:

(2)

May Happen

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Elinor Jones⁽⁷⁾| T: J A Osborne

66/1

By 2012 July Cup winner Mayson and is the first progeny of an unraced mare who is closely related to Royal Applause. Not much to shout about on pedigree and looks the stable's second string.

Form:

(1)

Pepper Bay²¹

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Hollie Doyle| T: A Watson

1/1

Likeable pedigree and showed significant promise on debut when staying second over C&D despite edging left at the start. Likely to be more streetwise for this and holds obvious claims.

Form: 2

(11)

Populaire^h1²⁶

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Jim Crowley| T: Mrs A J Perrett

14/1

Encouraging fourth at Newbury on debut but raced to keenly when eighth of 15 at that track (6f) last month. Bounce back required and the hood is applied for this.

Form: 48

(7)

Quiet Word¹⁵⁹

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Adam J McNamara| T: A Watson| BF

25/1

Strongly fancied when sent off odds-on for racecourse debut but bombed out when seventh of nine at Nottingham (5f) in May. Not seen since and looks to be second string for trainer.

Form: 7

Non-Runners

(10)

Rains Of Castamere⁸

Weight: 9-5| Age: 2

T: M R Channon J: Callum Shepherd

Forecasts

Pepper Bay (1/1), Captivated (3/1), Qasbaz (4/1), Populaire (14/1), Cry Havoc (20/1), Quiet Word (25/1), Etheric (25/1), Rains Of Castamere (25/1), Various (50/1), May Happen (66/1), Tyger Bay (66/1), Bo Taifan (66/1)

An intriguing juvenile contest. Preference is for the improving QASBAZ, who ran on nicely without challenging the winner over C&D. The victor has since gone on to finished third in the Redcar Two-Year-Old Trophy and there is every chance there is more improvement to come. Pepper Bay looks likely to be the main danger judging her good C&D second on debut, while Captivated offered no hope on debut but cannot be ignored for the powerful John Gosden's yard.