16:55 Bath

Wednesday 16 October 2019

All13:4014:1014:4515:2015:5016:2516:55

Silvestre De Sousa's Exclusive Blog starsportsbet.co.uk Handicap

Off time: 17:01 | Winning time: 2m 35.6s

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(9)

Tiar Na Nog⁴⁴

Age: 7| Weight: 9-11| J: Oisin Murphy| T: D J Coakley| OR: 71

8/1

Only seen twice since winning under today's rider at Windsor last May off a 1lb lower mark but hasn't really impressed on either occasion. Well below form last time when racing freely and poorly positioned; type to bounce back at this level.

Form: 6-48155

(4)

Ascot Day^p¹⁸

Age: 5| Weight: 9-10| J: Thomas Greatrex⁽⁵⁾| T: B J Llewellyn| OR: 70| D

7/1

Usually shows his best form at Chepstow (last two wins have come there) but he is starting to look a little vulnerable off his current mark. Ran poorly at Chester last time over 1m6f in testing conditions; often slow away, needs others to falter.

Form: 281450

(6)

Galactic Spirit¹⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 9-10| J: F Sweeney| T: H J Evans| OR: 70

16/1

Looks in good heart for this yard although he does have his quirks and he's yet to win for them. Often slow away he's a hard sort to settle and until he solves that particular foible, he's going to be hard to win with; others look more solid citizens

Form: 083825

(12)

Bombero^b1¹⁹

Age: 5| Weight: 9-10| J: Rossa Ryan| T: E De Giles| OR: 70| D

12/1

Made a winning return at Carlisle in June appreciating the soft conditions (had to survive a stewards inquiry) off a 3lb lower mark. Only seen twice since then; disappointed last time in conditions that should have suited; blinkers on first-time.

Form: 008-187

(2)

Maroc^p⁵⁰

Age: 6| Weight: 9-9| J: S P Davis⁽³⁾| T: Mrs N S Evans| OR: 69

50/1

Will be suited by a race that puts the emphasis on stamina but with a career-record on the Flat of 1-27 it's hard to make a solid case for him. Attracted support at Epsom last time over 1m2f but was easily left behind; one of the lesser lights.

Form: 210-636

(5)

Love And Be Loved^h¹¹³

Age: 5| Weight: 9-5| J: William Cox⁽³⁾| T: J L Flint| OR: 65

16/1

Only her fourth start of the year having had an interrupted campaign and not seen now since midsummer. Well below form when last seen she does act on this ground and looks well handicapped if she's fully tuned up on her return.

Form: 471-429

(8)

Manucci¹⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: M Dwyer| T: Mrs A J Perrett| OR: 70

6/1

Handicap newcomer with plenty of stamina in the pedigree who progressed through his minor events showing particular promise on his last outing. May have been given a rather harsher mark than he deserves on the back of his Epsom second.

Form: 672

(3)

Beer With The Boys^v⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 8-13| J: Scott McCullagh⁽⁵⁾| T: M R Channon| OR: 59| D

12/1

Yet to win this year although he has for the most part been consistent until hitting the buffers with a poor run last time. Mark has fallen but he's been beaten the last twice off this perch; lacks the finishing kick to be effective at this trip.

Form: 656330

(1)

Luck Of Clover⁶²

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: David Probert| T: A M Balding| OR: 64

9/2

Yet to win a race and is proving a frustrating sort having finished very weakly last time finding less than looked likely. Moves back in trip here; has the look of one who should be capable of winning at this level, has an off putting demeanour.

Form: 322325

(7)

Enmeshing³⁹

Age: 6| Weight: 8-10| J: Edward Greatrex| T: Alexandra Dunn| OR: 56| D

28/1

On a long losing run having fared poorly of late especially last time out on the AW (Tapeta) over a much shorter trip. Steps back up to a longer distance but lacks the consistency to get see him as a backable proposition.

Form: 020597

(11)

Hammy End^h⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 8-9| J: Georgia Cox⁽³⁾| T: W R Muir| OR: 61

3/1

Far more consistent than the majority of the field he does though find it hard to get his head in front finishing second on his last three starts (finishes weakly). Likely to give his running and handle conditions; could well find one too good again.

Form: 133222

(13)

Sherwood Forrester⁷⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 8-8| J: Megan Nicholls⁽³⁾| T: Paul George| OR: 60

16/1

Handicap debutant who has one fair piece of form to his name although it could be called into question. Well beaten at Ffos Las last time (finished last of nine); should do better in handicaps but hardly screams to be supported.

Form: 849

Non-Runners

(10)

Bug Boy¹¹

Weight: 9-2| Age: 3

T: Paul George J: Non Runner

Forecasts

Hammy End (3/1), Luck Of Clover (9/2), Manucci (6/1), Ascot Day (7/1), Tiar Na Nog (8/1), Bug Boy (10/1), Beer With The Boys (12/1), Bombero (12/1), Galactic Spirit (16/1), Love And Be Loved (16/1), Sherwood Forrester (16/1), Enmeshing (28/1), Maroc (50/1)

The majority of the form on display isn’t of the most solid variety and even the consistent form figures of Hammy End can be knocked on the back of his weak finishing efforts and it may be that he’ll nestle in the frame again without winning. Manucci would probably have had a few pounds less in the handicap were it not for his effort last time and that mark of 70 may just anchor his initial handicap attempt. Luck Of Clover is another who looks happier collecting place money so it’s TIAR NA NOG with Oisin Murphy back on board who gets the vote having been slightly eased in grade. If the blinkers work Bombero would be of interest while Galactic Spirit has a race of this nature in him.