18:15 Southwell

Thursday 10 October 2019

All17:1017:4518:1518:4519:1519:4520:15

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Off time: 18:20 | Winning time: 1m 43.63s

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Selected odds by:

(3)

Mr Strutter¹⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 9-7| J: A Elliott| T: Ronald Thompson| OR: 60| C

6/1

Unplaced on five of six starts here, his sole win coming over 6f. Well treated now back to his winning mark, and seemed to find 6f too shapr when plugging into sixth here last time. Could surprise.

Form: 125006

(6)

Is It Off²⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-6| J: L P Keniry| T: S Curran| OR: 59

25/1

Lightly-raced maiden who ran well when fourth in handicap at Wolverhampton in July. Weakened quickly on return from a break at Kempton last time, and should be fitter for that outing. One to bear in mind.

Form: 026-740

(5)

Fly True²¹

Age: 6| Weight: 9-6| J: N Mackay| T: I Furtado| OR: 59| C

20/1

Won over 7f here in March and April, and similar form when a front-running fourth over the same trip here on penultimate outing. Flopped badly last time, and debatable if she wants this longer trip. Claims if staying, however.

Form: 118249

(13)

Just Later^t¹²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: Jason Hart| T: Miss A Murphy| OR: 59

8/1

Remains a maiden, and has found it hard in handicaps, although ran better when 3L fifth of 14 to Charlie Arthur in a 1¼m handicap at Chelmsford last time. Capable of getting competitive from his reduced mark.

Form: 2-45985

(12)

Break The Silence^b⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 9-2| J: Jonathan Fisher⁽⁷⁾| T: S Dixon| OR: 55| C| D

2/1

Winner of 7f handicaps here in August/September and far from disgraced when sixth of 14 to Makambe over C&D last time. Drops in class now, and looks to have solid claims.

Form: 070116

(8)

Lily Ash²³

Age: 6| Weight: 9-1| J: Josephine Gordon| T: M Murphy| OR: 54| D

33/1

Won three times at up to 1m3½f last season, and good second on her return at Lingfield.. Has run poorly on both starts since, though, and has something to prove. Placed over C&D on sole previous Fibresand outing.

Form: 168-280

(9)

Olivia R³¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-1| J: S W Kelly| T: T D Barron| OR: 57

50/1

Ran well enough over 7f at Redcar in June to suggest she would be effective from this mark, but hasn't come close to replicating that form in four subsequent starts, and is easy enough to swerve as a result.

Form: 434900

(7)

Bold Show^v¹⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: Megan Nicholls⁽³⁾| T: R A Fahey| OR: 54

17/2

Now 4lb lower than when runner-up at Haydock (7f) in August, but inconsistent, and below form since, albeit not disgraced when 6½L seventh of 14 to Colonel Slade over 1m at Newcastle last time.

Form: 400207

(2)

Squire^b1,t¹⁶

Age: 8| Weight: 8-12| J: L Morris| T: Mrs Marjorie Fife| OR: 51| D

33/1

Has won twice from 35 AW starts, but all but one of those has been on Polytrack. Making a belated first try on Fibresand here, and first-time blinkers are another unknown for backers. Risky.

Form: 907638

(14)

Atalanta Queen^b²¹

Age: 4| Weight: 8-9| J: K T O'Neill| T: R Brisland| OR: 48| CD

6/1

Dual course winner who was back to form when third in a C&D handicap last time, albeit making hard work of things. Has made all for her course wins, and interesting is able to lead from a wide draw.

Form: 236793

(11)

Searanger^t,v²¹

Age: 6| Weight: 8-8| J: A Mullen| T: R Menzies| OR: 47

16/1

Visored for first time, and put two poor efforts behind him when 3½L fourth of 13 to Break The Silence over 7f here last time. Claims on that, but needs to prove he can replicate that form over an extra furlong.

Form: 564004

(4)

Seven For A Pound⁶²

Age: 3| Weight: 8-8| J: Barry McHugh| T: R A Fahey| OR: 50

7/1

Son of Scat Daddy who showed promise as a juvenile but is regressive this year, and looks to have his own ideas about the game.

Form: 5-77885

(10)

Little Choosey^b,t⁸⁴

Age: 9| Weight: 8-7| J: J Quinn| T: S R Bowring| OR: 45| D

100/1

Best effort this season when fourth at Leicester in July, but below form when 13¾L eighth of 12 to Affluence there last time, and is out of the handicap here.

Form: 085048

(1)

Tellovoi^p¹⁴

Age: 11| Weight: 8-7| J: Philip Prince| T: R C Guest| OR: 45| CD

66/1

Ran well when third at Chelmsford (1m) on penultimate start, but this veteran shows his form only sparingly these days, and he was well below that level on his latest start.

Form: 865036

Forecasts

Break The Silence (2/1), Atalanta Queen (6/1), Mr Strutter (6/1), Seven For A Pound (7/1), Just Later (8/1), Bold Show (17/2), Searanger (16/1), Fly True (20/1), Is It Off (25/1), Lily Ash (33/1), Squire (33/1), Olivia R (50/1), Tellovoi (66/1), Little Choosey (100/1)

BREAK THE SILENCE was in a stronger race over C&D last time, and had won twice here earlier in the summer/autumn. He can get back on track now, with Atalanta Queen nominated as a danger assuming she can start better than when third over C&D last time. Mr Strutter is on a winning mark, and should appreciate the step up to 1m around here, while Is It Off is unexposed, and probably needed the outing at Kempton last time.