17:10 Kempton

Wednesday 9 October 2019

All16:3517:1017:4018:1018:4019:1019:4020:10

Close Brothers/British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (Div 2)

Off time: 17:14 | Winning time: 1m 25.76s

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Selected odds by:

(11)

Blue Skyline

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: G Mosse| T: D R C Elsworth

16/1

Half-brother to three winners although the yard have had a below-par season and are yet to score with a 2yo newcomer. Pedigree offers some encouragement though, market likely to signal the level of expectations.

Form:

(8)

Cobnut

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: George Wood| T: J R Fanshawe

10/1

Only the fifth 2yo runner from the yard this year (0-3 with newcomers); half-brother to several winners including 1m winner Spirit Raiser, winner up to 1m Lovely Pass and 7f/1m winner Almoreb, all useful. Interesting to see how he goes on debut.

Form:

(4)

Higher Kingdom

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: D Tudhope| T: A Watson

8/11

2yo newcomer from a yard that do well with their juveniles (18-68 with debutants this year). Closely related to useful winner up to 7f Wise Counsel (2yo 6f winner) and half-brother to 3 winners; very much one to consider.

Form:

(6)

HMS President⁴⁴

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: T P Queally| T: Eve Johnson Houghton

20/1

Too green to make an impact on debut at Chepstow (7f) but has a useful pedigree to fall back on. brother to useful 2yo 5f/6f winner Celebrity Dancer,half-brother to three winners, including smart 2yo 7f winner Tashweeq; one for the longer-term.

Form: 6

(2)

Old Friend³³

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: L P Keniry| T: E Walker

12/1

Expensive Breeze-Up purchase (€150,000) but despite that "experience" he failed to show much on debut looking too inexperienced, slow away. Only beat one home in the end over 7f, may well come on for that encounter switched to the AW.

Form: 9

(1)

Purple Sandpiper

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: L Morris| T: R Brisland

33/1

Newcomer (yard 1-8 with 2yo debutants this year); only cost £2,000 as a yearling. Third foal, dam of little account; half-sister to very smart 1m-1m5f winner (stayed 2m) The Whistling Teal, likely to need the experience.

Form:

(10)

Quimerico⁹¹

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: Kieren Fox| T: J R Best

50/1

Went with minimal encouragement on his debut, bred more for speed than stamina, looked in need of the experience. Now steps up to 7f switched to the AW but hard to think he's going to get involved at this level.

Form: 9

(9)

Star Of Wells⁵⁴

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: Tom Marquand| T: W J Haggas| BF

7/2

Upped to an extended 1m for his AW debut after running over 7f on his turf (Sandown) debut he failed to meet the expectations that the market had of him. Ought to be capable of better but looks to be still at the learning stage for now.

Form: 54

(12)

Zambezi Magic^h¹⁶

Age: 2| Weight: 9-5| J: A Kirby| T: C G Cox

16/1

Hooded for his debut (retained) he hinted at ability and some temperament on his Leicester debut over 7f but ultimately went in snatches; finished well held. Could well step forward on that performance but needs to keep quirks in check to profit.

Form: 7

(7)

Saffron Lane

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: S M Levey| T: H J L Dunlop

66/1

Half-sister to numerous winners; including smart 1m-1m2f winner Moneycantbuymelove and useful 1m-1m2f winner Flood Warning. Dam 1m2f winner who should have stayed 1m4f; yard 0-8 with 2yo newcomers this year.

Form:

Non-Runners

(5)

On The Right Track¹⁸

Weight: 9-5| Age: 2

T: M D I Usher J: Dane O'Neill

(3)

Well Prepared¹⁶

Weight: 9-5| Age: 2

T: R Hannon J: Non Runner

Forecasts

Higher Kingdom (8/11), Well Prepared (11/4), Star Of Wells (7/2), Cobnut (10/1), Old Friend (12/1), Zambezi Magic (16/1), Blue Skyline (16/1), HMS President (20/1), On The Right Track (25/1), Purple Sandpiper (33/1), Quimerico (50/1), Saffron Lane (66/1)

With Well Prepared a non-runner the standard set by those with experience is that high with Star Of Wells looking the pick of the bunch along with Zambezi Magic although that one doesn’t look particularly well drawn and did show some quirks on his debut. There are some nice pedigrees amongst the newcomers with HIGHER KINGDOM the pick of the bunch who holds a Group 1 entry (Irish 2000 Guineas) from a yard who have a terrific record with their 2yo debutants. Cobnut and Blue Skyline are two others making their debuts who deserve respect although the latter has a tricky draw to negotiate.